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Reader poll

Petrol prices
31% (69 votes)
Bitcoin
30% (68 votes)
Term deposit interest rates
18% (40 votes)
The NZX50
16% (35 votes)
Mortgage interest rates
5% (12 votes)
Total voters: 224

Which of these will have the biggest percentage decline this year?

Older polls

Bonds

"A rate curve inversion is coming"

Even though a negative rate slope is not likely in the next few weeks, Westpac picks an inversion to happen after that and last maybe a year

Markets view diverges from the pros

Markets move to price in an OCR cut in 2015, although BNZ see this as unlikely. German 10yr bonds now yield 0.36%

Budget deficit lower than forecast

Updated
Treasury reports deficit was NZ$121 mln below forecast; higher tobacco excise, lower spending more than offset lower than expected GST, PAYE

Volatile year for the NZ$ seen

HiFX's Dan Bell says NZ dollar could swing 20% against the greenback this year, sees global ramifications from ECB move

ASB expects OCR to stay on hold for 'the foreseeable future'

Updated
ASB expects the Reserve Bank to postpone further increases in the OCR 'for the foreseeable future'; Westpac sees no hike until June 2016

Inflation below RBNZ target

Updated
Deflation seen in Dec qtr; Annual inflation of 0.8% below most economist forecasts and below RBNZ's 1-3% target band; OCR seen on hold until late 2016; NZ$ falls

'House prices will drop by up to 25%'

Brian Gaynor says he's not quite as positive as he was a year ago on NZ economy, warns of damage from house price correction at some point

Bank shares loook good in low yield world

Big Australasian bank shares look attractive - helped by their dividends, NAB favoured by Credit Suisse

Flat-lined yield curve sending inaccurate signals

Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy

Time-based premium evaporates

Is the sudden shift to a very flat wholesale rate curve a market signal that we are about to enter another period of "inversion"? Your view?