Government
Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
31st Jan 24, 2:27pm
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Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
29th Jan 24, 8:30am
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Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
Crown accounts for November show revenue doing better than forecast in the half-year update
25th Jan 24, 12:13pm
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Crown accounts for November show revenue doing better than forecast in the half-year update
David Hargreaves wonders whether the belated introduction of debt-to-income ratio controls will be a case of better-late-than-never, or whether they've already missed the proverbial bus
24th Jan 24, 9:59am
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David Hargreaves wonders whether the belated introduction of debt-to-income ratio controls will be a case of better-late-than-never, or whether they've already missed the proverbial bus
Terry McFadgen says New Zealand faces a cruel dilemma: The need for policy consensus is urgent given the challenges ahead, but the political framework for that consensus is absent
22nd Jan 24, 1:53pm
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Terry McFadgen says New Zealand faces a cruel dilemma: The need for policy consensus is urgent given the challenges ahead, but the political framework for that consensus is absent
Independent economist Brian Easton says Christopher Luxon has to address the need to maintain and enhance New Zealand’s social cohesion
22nd Jan 24, 8:45am
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Independent economist Brian Easton says Christopher Luxon has to address the need to maintain and enhance New Zealand’s social cohesion
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
22nd Jan 24, 7:55am
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Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
18th Jan 24, 4:08pm
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ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
[updated]
Stats NZ says food prices fell in December for the fourth consecutive month, taking the annual rate of food price inflation down to 4.8% compared with the peak level of 12.5% seen earlier in 2023; airfares skyrocket; rents keep pushing up
18th Jan 24, 11:01am
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Stats NZ says food prices fell in December for the fourth consecutive month, taking the annual rate of food price inflation down to 4.8% compared with the peak level of 12.5% seen earlier in 2023; airfares skyrocket; rents keep pushing up
The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
16th Jan 24, 9:54am
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The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
ASB economists assess the key risks in the year ahead - there's plenty
Independent economist Brian Easton says the New Zealand economy is struggling and he believes the new government will struggle to implement its economic promises
15th Jan 24, 8:25am
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Independent economist Brian Easton says the New Zealand economy is struggling and he believes the new government will struggle to implement its economic promises
Veteran leftist Robert Reid says New Zealand’s at war with Yemen. Chris Trotter begs to differ
15th Jan 24, 8:08am
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Veteran leftist Robert Reid says New Zealand’s at war with Yemen. Chris Trotter begs to differ
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
15th Jan 24, 7:46am
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Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
8th Jan 24, 8:51am
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Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
Independent economist Brian Easton finds the incoming Minister of Finance politically cavalier and misleading with her early judgments, not the sort of qualities a senior minister with financial responsibilities should be displaying
22nd Dec 23, 9:00am
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Independent economist Brian Easton finds the incoming Minister of Finance politically cavalier and misleading with her early judgments, not the sort of qualities a senior minister with financial responsibilities should be displaying
ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
18th Dec 23, 2:28pm
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ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
In his Economists in the Cold War book, Alan Bollard contrasts Saburo Okita of Japan with Zhou En Lai of China to highlight a critical issue, writes economist Brian Easton
18th Dec 23, 9:01am
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In his Economists in the Cold War book, Alan Bollard contrasts Saburo Okita of Japan with Zhou En Lai of China to highlight a critical issue, writes economist Brian Easton
Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
18th Dec 23, 8:23am
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Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
Stats NZ says food prices fell in November for the third consecutive month; domestic airfares and accommodation rose
13th Dec 23, 12:37pm
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Stats NZ says food prices fell in November for the third consecutive month; domestic airfares and accommodation rose
David Hargreaves wonders how able - and indeed willing - the new Government will be to get a grip on our unfolding immigration crisis
12th Dec 23, 3:19pm
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David Hargreaves wonders how able - and indeed willing - the new Government will be to get a grip on our unfolding immigration crisis
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says the 118,800 net immigrants into New Zealand in the year to September 'doesn't feel sustainable at all' and our current migration settings are 'way too loose'
11th Dec 23, 11:10am
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Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says the 118,800 net immigrants into New Zealand in the year to September 'doesn't feel sustainable at all' and our current migration settings are 'way too loose'
Economist Brian Easton says Alan Bollard, formerly Treasury Secretary, Reserve Bank Governor and Chairman of APEC, has written an insightful book exploring command vs demand approaches to the economy
11th Dec 23, 8:49am
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Economist Brian Easton says Alan Bollard, formerly Treasury Secretary, Reserve Bank Governor and Chairman of APEC, has written an insightful book exploring command vs demand approaches to the economy
Roger J Kerr says the evidence from all the US economic data over the last month has to be that the risks have subsided, therefore the Fed have done enough with tight monetary policy to achieve their 2.00% inflation target
11th Dec 23, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the evidence from all the US economic data over the last month has to be that the risks have subsided, therefore the Fed have done enough with tight monetary policy to achieve their 2.00% inflation target
Westpac economists say we should expect the Reserve Bank to be unforgiving of any shocks that boost the growth and inflation outlook over the next year. Also, the RBNZ will likely be less willing to pre-emptively ease, as markets seem to currently expect
4th Dec 23, 12:15pm
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Westpac economists say we should expect the Reserve Bank to be unforgiving of any shocks that boost the growth and inflation outlook over the next year. Also, the RBNZ will likely be less willing to pre-emptively ease, as markets seem to currently expect