Bonds
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; QV HPI data out, less concrete poured, inflation expectations retreat, Nikkei 225 surges, swaps hold, NZD dips, & more
13th Feb 24, 3:59pm
40
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; QV HPI data out, less concrete poured, inflation expectations retreat, Nikkei 225 surges, swaps hold, NZD dips, & more
Pricing for RBNZ rate hikes fades a little, down to 33% chance for February meeting; domestic rates market messy with OIS yields lower, 2-year swap lifting to 5.23%. US Treasury rates little changed; US equities continue to push higher
13th Feb 24, 7:48am
Pricing for RBNZ rate hikes fades a little, down to 33% chance for February meeting; domestic rates market messy with OIS yields lower, 2-year swap lifting to 5.23%. US Treasury rates little changed; US equities continue to push higher
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TD rates ease up, house completion fall, Fonterra raises dairy payout indicator, some ugly NZX ugliness, swaps hold, NZD holds, & more
12th Feb 24, 3:59pm
79
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TD rates ease up, house completion fall, Fonterra raises dairy payout indicator, some ugly NZX ugliness, swaps hold, NZD holds, & more
The S&P500 closed at a record high. US CPI revisions received greater attention than usual but were unchanged. The NZD advanced despite a generally stable US dollar backdrop amid a sharp repricing of RBNZ expectations
12th Feb 24, 7:33am
2
The S&P500 closed at a record high. US CPI revisions received greater attention than usual but were unchanged. The NZD advanced despite a generally stable US dollar backdrop amid a sharp repricing of RBNZ expectations
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Westpac trims rates, fewer big renos, Zollner goes full hawk, space center opens, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
9th Feb 24, 3:59pm
54
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Westpac trims rates, fewer big renos, Zollner goes full hawk, space center opens, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
Global rates push higher; Fed and ECB speakers continue to run the line of being patient regarding future rate cuts. USD broadly stronger, NZD back below 0.61 and AUD below 0.65
9th Feb 24, 7:41am
Global rates push higher; Fed and ECB speakers continue to run the line of being patient regarding future rate cuts. USD broadly stronger, NZD back below 0.61 and AUD below 0.65
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Heartland makes surprise mortgage rate cuts, more houses sell at a loss, Auckland regional fuel tax killed, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
8th Feb 24, 3:59pm
58
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Heartland makes surprise mortgage rate cuts, more houses sell at a loss, Auckland regional fuel tax killed, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
S&P is closing in on the 5,000 level. US treasury yields stable. ECB official pushed back against chance of near-term rate cuts. Stronger NZ labour market data contributed to higher yields and the market pricing a small chance of a hike
8th Feb 24, 7:49am
S&P is closing in on the 5,000 level. US treasury yields stable. ECB official pushed back against chance of near-term rate cuts. Stronger NZ labour market data contributed to higher yields and the market pricing a small chance of a hike
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, meat exports fall, jobless rate little-changed, analyst sees an OCR rise, NAB gets new CEO, swaps up, NZD firm
7th Feb 24, 3:59pm
122
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, meat exports fall, jobless rate little-changed, analyst sees an OCR rise, NAB gets new CEO, swaps up, NZD firm
US Treasury yields fall back after significant two-day sell-off. Chinese equities well supported after State regulator steps in. No fireworks from RBA yesterday. Dairy prices continue to recover
7th Feb 24, 7:53am
US Treasury yields fall back after significant two-day sell-off. Chinese equities well supported after State regulator steps in. No fireworks from RBA yesterday. Dairy prices continue to recover
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no retail rate changes, listings surge, FBU hit, commodity prices hold up, record bank funding levels, swaps up, NZD holds, & more
5th Feb 24, 3:59pm
44
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; no retail rate changes, listings surge, FBU hit, commodity prices hold up, record bank funding levels, swaps up, NZD holds, & more
A large upside surprise to US nonfarm payrolls prompts a further scaling back of market pricing for near term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Treasury yields and the US dollar surge higher in response to the labour market data
5th Feb 24, 7:46am
A large upside surprise to US nonfarm payrolls prompts a further scaling back of market pricing for near term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Treasury yields and the US dollar surge higher in response to the labour market data
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Barfoots weak in January, building consents weak, car sales soft, consumer confidence low, retail weak, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
2nd Feb 24, 3:59pm
32
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Barfoots weak in January, building consents weak, car sales soft, consumer confidence low, retail weak, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
US jobless claims rise; strong productivity contains unit labour cost inflation to a low rate; lift in ISM manufacturing index largely ignored. US Treasury yields push down to fresh lows for the year; 5-year rate at lowest level since June
2nd Feb 24, 7:50am
1
US jobless claims rise; strong productivity contains unit labour cost inflation to a low rate; lift in ISM manufacturing index largely ignored. US Treasury yields push down to fresh lows for the year; 5-year rate at lowest level since June
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; a hot 2yr home loan rate, household living costs higher than CPI, non-performing loans up swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
1st Feb 24, 3:59pm
57
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; a hot 2yr home loan rate, household living costs higher than CPI, non-performing loans up swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
Weaker technology stocks and renewed concerns about regional banks in the US weigh on risk sentiment. Softer than expected US labour market data supported a fall in US treasury yields and weaker US dollar
1st Feb 24, 7:49am
Weaker technology stocks and renewed concerns about regional banks in the US weigh on risk sentiment. Softer than expected US labour market data supported a fall in US treasury yields and weaker US dollar
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, business confidence up, TDs very popular, dairy prices rise, house lending up, swaps unchanged, NZD firm, & more
31st Jan 24, 3:59pm
66
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, business confidence up, TDs very popular, dairy prices rise, house lending up, swaps unchanged, NZD firm, & more
Higher than expected US job openings data points to resilience in the US labour markets. UST yields rebound. The Eurozone narrowly avoids recession. Yields on Chinese 10-year bonds fell to the lowest level in more than 20 years
31st Jan 24, 7:55am
Higher than expected US job openings data points to resilience in the US labour markets. UST yields rebound. The Eurozone narrowly avoids recession. Yields on Chinese 10-year bonds fell to the lowest level in more than 20 years
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; migrants active house buyers, FHBs active mortgage borrowers, RBNZ holds the line, eyes on dairy prices, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
30th Jan 24, 3:59pm
38
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; migrants active house buyers, FHBs active mortgage borrowers, RBNZ holds the line, eyes on dairy prices, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
30th Jan 24, 7:52am
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; less trade, more jobs, bigger intervention capacity, mortgage interest cost jumps, swaps firm, NZS holds, & more
29th Jan 24, 3:59pm
19
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; less trade, more jobs, bigger intervention capacity, mortgage interest cost jumps, swaps firm, NZS holds, & more
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
29th Jan 24, 7:44am
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate cuts, more holiday interruptions, eyes on some large equity retreats, swaps little-changed, NZD stable, & more
26th Jan 24, 3:59pm
36
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate cuts, more holiday interruptions, eyes on some large equity retreats, swaps little-changed, NZD stable, & more
GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
26th Jan 24, 8:34am
1
GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; both mortgage & TD rate changes, Crown accounts reveal slowdown, household savings up, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
25th Jan 24, 3:59pm
19
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; both mortgage & TD rate changes, Crown accounts reveal slowdown, household savings up, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more