NZ$
US Treasury yields shift back from 2024 highs ahead of key US CPI report. Local QSBO revealed weak conditions consistent with recession. Focus now on RBNZ
10th Apr 24, 7:53am
US Treasury yields shift back from 2024 highs ahead of key US CPI report. Local QSBO revealed weak conditions consistent with recession. Focus now on RBNZ
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; post-election business sentiment drops, Asteron Life downgraded, eyes on dairy prices, OCR and inflation, swaps up, NZD firms, & more
9th Apr 24, 3:59pm
68
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; post-election business sentiment drops, Asteron Life downgraded, eyes on dairy prices, OCR and inflation, swaps up, NZD firms, & more
US rates push up to fresh year-to-date highs as investors continue to push out the timing and scope of US Fed rate cuts this year. NZ rates follow up, with swap rate rises boosted
9th Apr 24, 7:29am
US rates push up to fresh year-to-date highs as investors continue to push out the timing and scope of US Fed rate cuts this year. NZ rates follow up, with swap rate rises boosted
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some retail rate changes, few farms selling; supermarket cost pressure eases; swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
8th Apr 24, 3:59pm
89
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some retail rate changes, few farms selling; supermarket cost pressure eases; swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
Roger J Kerr notes another blockbuster US jobs rise. And looks at what is driving the rise of the USD. He also wonders if the RBNZ will push-back against market interest rate pricing
8th Apr 24, 9:18am
3
Roger J Kerr notes another blockbuster US jobs rise. And looks at what is driving the rise of the USD. He also wonders if the RBNZ will push-back against market interest rate pricing
Strong US labour market suggests their economy remains resilient and intensified the debate about when the Fed might ease monetary policy. US treasuries back near the yield highs for the year while the US dollar couldn't sustain initial gains
8th Apr 24, 7:34am
Strong US labour market suggests their economy remains resilient and intensified the debate about when the Fed might ease monetary policy. US treasuries back near the yield highs for the year while the US dollar couldn't sustain initial gains
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more big bonds, more FBU departures, DST ending, Aussie data sags, markets await NFPs, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
5th Apr 24, 3:59pm
65
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more big bonds, more FBU departures, DST ending, Aussie data sags, markets await NFPs, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
Risk appetite higher ahead of the key US employment report tonight; S&P500 up while Treasury yields show little net movement. AUD rises so that NZD/AUD fell to a 9-month low overnight
5th Apr 24, 7:46am
Risk appetite higher ahead of the key US employment report tonight; S&P500 up while Treasury yields show little net movement. AUD rises so that NZD/AUD fell to a 9-month low overnight
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots sees rising sales, fewer building consents issued, weak spending, swaps little-changed, NZD up, & more
4th Apr 24, 3:59pm
43
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots sees rising sales, fewer building consents issued, weak spending, swaps little-changed, NZD up, & more
A softer than expected US services ISM moved markets but Powell didn't. Eurozone CPI below estimates in March; ECB might start rate cuts in June. Gold prices extend to fresh record highs having gained more than 15% since mid-February
4th Apr 24, 7:43am
A softer than expected US services ISM moved markets but Powell didn't. Eurozone CPI below estimates in March; ECB might start rate cuts in June. Gold prices extend to fresh record highs having gained more than 15% since mid-February
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, filled jobs rise but labour force rises faster, another huge syndicated bond success, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
3rd Apr 24, 4:02pm
75
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, filled jobs rise but labour force rises faster, another huge syndicated bond success, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
Global rates higher; US 10-year Treasury yield reaches fresh high for the year not helped by oil prices rising to fresh year-to-date highs. Equity investors show further signs of fatigue. Currency moves modest
3rd Apr 24, 7:41am
Global rates higher; US 10-year Treasury yield reaches fresh high for the year not helped by oil prices rising to fresh year-to-date highs. Equity investors show further signs of fatigue. Currency moves modest
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; housing market's unsold inventory swells, Synlait in trouble, Rabobank in good shape, car sales sluggish, swaps up, NZD stays low, & more
2nd Apr 24, 3:59pm
58
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; housing market's unsold inventory swells, Synlait in trouble, Rabobank in good shape, car sales sluggish, swaps up, NZD stays low, & more
The US ISM manufacturing PMI rose to exceed all economist estimates. It was the first time the index moved into expansionary territory since September 2022. US treasury yields spiked higher in response and the USD rose
2nd Apr 24, 7:21am
The US ISM manufacturing PMI rose to exceed all economist estimates. It was the first time the index moved into expansionary territory since September 2022. US treasury yields spiked higher in response and the USD rose
Roger J Kerr says US bond market worries about inflation should start to abate as they become more comfortable that the decline in inflation is not stalling and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in June. He also looks at US job data
1st Apr 24, 9:00am
3
Roger J Kerr says US bond market worries about inflation should start to abate as they become more comfortable that the decline in inflation is not stalling and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in June. He also looks at US job data
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; consumer & business sentiment sinks, benefits & minimum wage rise, debt growth timid, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
28th Mar 24, 3:59pm
99
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; consumer & business sentiment sinks, benefits & minimum wage rise, debt growth timid, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
Global equity markets are generally higher in the absence of economic data or fresh catalysts. Japanese policy makers huddle to seek plan to rescue the Yen
28th Mar 24, 7:47am
Global equity markets are generally higher in the absence of economic data or fresh catalysts. Japanese policy makers huddle to seek plan to rescue the Yen
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no NZ Govt surplus likely either, new NZSF boss, dairy farmers face crunch, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
27th Mar 24, 3:59pm
94
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no NZ Govt surplus likely either, new NZSF boss, dairy farmers face crunch, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
Local interest rates shift up ahead of a new 2035 NZGB to be offered by syndication. US data mixed with labour market expectations tightening
27th Mar 24, 7:56am
Local interest rates shift up ahead of a new 2035 NZGB to be offered by syndication. US data mixed with labour market expectations tightening
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Bank of China moves retail rates, workers not feeling more job risk, FSCL issues warning to SMEs, swaps firm, NZD holds, & more
26th Mar 24, 4:00pm
82
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Bank of China moves retail rates, workers not feeling more job risk, FSCL issues warning to SMEs, swaps firm, NZD holds, & more
PBoC and China state banks show support for the yuan, helping the NZD regain 0.60; NZD/AUD nudges down to a fresh four-month low near 0.9180. Market ignores Japan's top currency official's threat of intervention to support JPY
26th Mar 24, 7:45am
PBoC and China state banks show support for the yuan, helping the NZD regain 0.60; NZD/AUD nudges down to a fresh four-month low near 0.9180. Market ignores Japan's top currency official's threat of intervention to support JPY
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; most companies are tiny, many house auctions modest sales, 4 things to watch, NZGB trading modest, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
25th Mar 24, 3:59pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; most companies are tiny, many house auctions modest sales, 4 things to watch, NZGB trading modest, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
Roger J Kerr says the root cause of the current economic downturn has to be sheeted home to just bad management – particularly Government fiscal policy management and RBNZ monetary policy management in response to the Covid pandemic
25th Mar 24, 8:17am
3
Roger J Kerr says the root cause of the current economic downturn has to be sheeted home to just bad management – particularly Government fiscal policy management and RBNZ monetary policy management in response to the Covid pandemic
Global equity markets consolidated near recent record highs while bond markets moved lower in yield. The Chinese yuan fell sharply after authorities set the daily reference rate weaker than expected. Yuan weakness weighed on NZD & AUD
25th Mar 24, 7:31am
Global equity markets consolidated near recent record highs while bond markets moved lower in yield. The Chinese yuan fell sharply after authorities set the daily reference rate weaker than expected. Yuan weakness weighed on NZD & AUD
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; credit card rates rise, trade deficit shrinks, Mainzeal liquidation update, FPH update; swaps hold, NZD slips, & more
22nd Mar 24, 3:59pm
72
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; credit card rates rise, trade deficit shrinks, Mainzeal liquidation update, FPH update; swaps hold, NZD slips, & more