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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more dwellings hit Auckland housing market, PSI not expanding, grocery price pressure eases, ANZ profits, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
13th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more dwellings hit Auckland housing market, PSI not expanding, grocery price pressure eases, ANZ profits, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
Roger J Kerr says the continuous switching by global investors between “risk-on” and “risk-off” mode over the course of the last year is reflected in the up-down-up pattern of the US equities Dow Jones Index
13th Nov 23, 8:58am
4
Roger J Kerr says the continuous switching by global investors between “risk-on” and “risk-off” mode over the course of the last year is reflected in the up-down-up pattern of the US equities Dow Jones Index
US equities extended the recent rally despite weak consumer sentiment data and cautious comments Fed Chair Powell. Moody’s lowered its outlook on the US’s credit rating to negative from stable
13th Nov 23, 7:23am
US equities extended the recent rally despite weak consumer sentiment data and cautious comments Fed Chair Powell. Moody’s lowered its outlook on the US’s credit rating to negative from stable
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, rental yields tick higher, PMI slumps, less ready-mixed concrete, swaps turn higher, NZD stable, & more
10th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, rental yields tick higher, PMI slumps, less ready-mixed concrete, swaps turn higher, NZD stable, & more
US 10-year rate up 9bps from the NZ close to 4.57%, after trading as low as 4.47%. Strong demand for NZ bonds continues, taking the fall for the month to 55bps for the 10-year
10th Nov 23, 7:47am
US 10-year rate up 9bps from the NZ close to 4.57%, after trading as low as 4.47%. Strong demand for NZ bonds continues, taking the fall for the month to 55bps for the 10-year
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Crown accounts confirm deficits, fewer job ads, BNZ posts record profit, huge NZGB demand, swaps lower, NZ stable, & more
9th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Crown accounts confirm deficits, fewer job ads, BNZ posts record profit, huge NZGB demand, swaps lower, NZ stable, & more
Economists say the Reserve Bank will be wary of survey results that show shorter term inflation expectations have fallen but longer term expectations for both inflation and interest rates have risen
9th Nov 23, 9:07am
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Economists say the Reserve Bank will be wary of survey results that show shorter term inflation expectations have fallen but longer term expectations for both inflation and interest rates have risen
Oil prices show the largest moves; Brent crude down over 2% to go sub-USD80 per barrel. NZ rates follow prior offshore moves to close at fresh multi-week/month lows
9th Nov 23, 8:03am
Oil prices show the largest moves; Brent crude down over 2% to go sub-USD80 per barrel. NZ rates follow prior offshore moves to close at fresh multi-week/month lows
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; end of the 6.7% SBS rate, smaller dwellings costing more, PwC dumped, positive moves on inflation expectations, swaps lower, NZD stable, & more
8th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; end of the 6.7% SBS rate, smaller dwellings costing more, PwC dumped, positive moves on inflation expectations, swaps lower, NZD stable, & more
Influential RBNZ survey shows a small but significant drop in the expected level of inflation in two years time, and a sharp drop in expectations of one-year-out inflation; house prices expected to rise
8th Nov 23, 3:51pm
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Influential RBNZ survey shows a small but significant drop in the expected level of inflation in two years time, and a sharp drop in expectations of one-year-out inflation; house prices expected to rise
Oil prices have fallen close to 3%, to the lowest level in more than 3 months, on concerns about global growth following weak Chinese trade data. US officials emphasised the need to bring inflation closer to 2%
8th Nov 23, 7:55am
Oil prices have fallen close to 3%, to the lowest level in more than 3 months, on concerns about global growth following weak Chinese trade data. US officials emphasised the need to bring inflation closer to 2%
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots get modest spring boost, Westpac uses biometrics to 'protect customers', swaps up, NZD down, & more
7th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots get modest spring boost, Westpac uses biometrics to 'protect customers', swaps up, NZD down, & more
US equities consolidate last week's hefty gains. US Treasury yields push higher, after last week's hefty fall. The RBA, the laggard of the global policy cycle, likely to hike
7th Nov 23, 7:40am
US equities consolidate last week's hefty gains. US Treasury yields push higher, after last week's hefty fall. The RBA, the laggard of the global policy cycle, likely to hike
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; BNZ goes high, commodity prices lift, Westpac profit dips, TSB gets new CEO, borrowers shun floating rates, swaps stable, NZD stays up, & more
6th Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; BNZ goes high, commodity prices lift, Westpac profit dips, TSB gets new CEO, borrowers shun floating rates, swaps stable, NZD stays up, & more
Roger J Kerr says US dollar bulls are hastily reversing their long-USD positions as the scenario for next year of US interest rates decreasing well ahead in time of all others starts to become a higher probability
6th Nov 23, 9:09am
Roger J Kerr says US dollar bulls are hastily reversing their long-USD positions as the scenario for next year of US interest rates decreasing well ahead in time of all others starts to become a higher probability
Weaker than expected US labour market data contributed to a rally across global bond markets boosting risk sentiment. Nonfarm payrolls increased 150k in October below estimates of 180k. The US ISM services PMI fell to a 5-month low
6th Nov 23, 7:52am
Weaker than expected US labour market data contributed to a rally across global bond markets boosting risk sentiment. Nonfarm payrolls increased 150k in October below estimates of 180k. The US ISM services PMI fell to a 5-month low
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; final election result (maybe), rents up, misery high, WorkSafe redundancies, swaps firmer, NZD stays up, & more
3rd Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; final election result (maybe), rents up, misery high, WorkSafe redundancies, swaps firmer, NZD stays up, & more
Risk sensitive assets rise investors confident aggressive monetary tightening cycle is ending. The Bank of England left rates steady at 5.25% for the second consecutive month which was in line with expectations
3rd Nov 23, 8:00am
Risk sensitive assets rise investors confident aggressive monetary tightening cycle is ending. The Bank of England left rates steady at 5.25% for the second consecutive month which was in line with expectations
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; real economy soft as public service expands fast, bank funding rise slows, another unticked box brings more FMA reaction, swaps down, NZD up, & more
2nd Nov 23, 4:08pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; real economy soft as public service expands fast, bank funding rise slows, another unticked box brings more FMA reaction, swaps down, NZD up, & more
Market expectations of Official Cash Rate settings leaning towards cuts after the increase in unemployment this week
2nd Nov 23, 2:11pm
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Market expectations of Official Cash Rate settings leaning towards cuts after the increase in unemployment this week
US Fed leaves rates on hold for a second consecutive meeting. US Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement notes intention to slow pace of longer term debt issuance which drives much lower Treasury yields, led by the long end
2nd Nov 23, 8:25am
US Fed leaves rates on hold for a second consecutive meeting. US Treasury's quarterly refunding announcement notes intention to slow pace of longer term debt issuance which drives much lower Treasury yields, led by the long end
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; jobless rate rises, pay rates up, FSR warns on more non-performing loans, new cars sell well, swaps lower, NZD lower, & more
1st Nov 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; jobless rate rises, pay rates up, FSR warns on more non-performing loans, new cars sell well, swaps lower, NZD lower, & more
BoJ loosens grip on yield curve control policy. Despite that, the yen shows a notable decline. US employment cost index slightly higher than expected. Euro area data shows economic contraction in Q3 and weaker inflation
1st Nov 23, 7:48am
BoJ loosens grip on yield curve control policy. Despite that, the yen shows a notable decline. US employment cost index slightly higher than expected. Euro area data shows economic contraction in Q3 and weaker inflation
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; more retail rate changes, businesses like election result, building consents dive, lending activity tepid, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
31st Oct 23, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; more retail rate changes, businesses like election result, building consents dive, lending activity tepid, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
Risk appetite starts week on a positive note. Oil prices down 3%. Eyes on bank of Japan. US Treasury markets jittery
31st Oct 23, 7:46am
Risk appetite starts week on a positive note. Oil prices down 3%. Eyes on bank of Japan. US Treasury markets jittery