OCR
S&P is closing in on the 5,000 level. US treasury yields stable. ECB official pushed back against chance of near-term rate cuts. Stronger NZ labour market data contributed to higher yields and the market pricing a small chance of a hike
8th Feb 24, 7:49am
S&P is closing in on the 5,000 level. US treasury yields stable. ECB official pushed back against chance of near-term rate cuts. Stronger NZ labour market data contributed to higher yields and the market pricing a small chance of a hike
With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
8th Feb 24, 5:00am
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With the Reserve Bank having little choice but to dig its toes in to fight non-tradeable inflation, Gareth Vaughan hopes the Government has an open mind to providing long-term support
Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
7th Feb 24, 2:04pm
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Stronger employment data could spook the Reserve Bank into raising the Official Cash Rate above 5.50%, economists say
US Treasury yields fall back after significant two-day sell-off. Chinese equities well supported after State regulator steps in. No fireworks from RBA yesterday. Dairy prices continue to recover
7th Feb 24, 7:53am
US Treasury yields fall back after significant two-day sell-off. Chinese equities well supported after State regulator steps in. No fireworks from RBA yesterday. Dairy prices continue to recover
David Hargreaves looks at the 'inevitable' discussion we are about to have as to whether it's still the right economic approach to just target low inflation at all costs
6th Feb 24, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves looks at the 'inevitable' discussion we are about to have as to whether it's still the right economic approach to just target low inflation at all costs
A large upside surprise to US nonfarm payrolls prompts a further scaling back of market pricing for near term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Treasury yields and the US dollar surge higher in response to the labour market data
5th Feb 24, 7:46am
A large upside surprise to US nonfarm payrolls prompts a further scaling back of market pricing for near term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Treasury yields and the US dollar surge higher in response to the labour market data
Squirrel's David Cunningham says it's 'pretty realistic' to expect 1-year fixed home loan rates below 6% by the end of 2024, and below 5% by the end of 2025
3rd Feb 24, 9:00am
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Squirrel's David Cunningham says it's 'pretty realistic' to expect 1-year fixed home loan rates below 6% by the end of 2024, and below 5% by the end of 2025
US jobless claims rise; strong productivity contains unit labour cost inflation to a low rate; lift in ISM manufacturing index largely ignored. US Treasury yields push down to fresh lows for the year; 5-year rate at lowest level since June
2nd Feb 24, 7:50am
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US jobless claims rise; strong productivity contains unit labour cost inflation to a low rate; lift in ISM manufacturing index largely ignored. US Treasury yields push down to fresh lows for the year; 5-year rate at lowest level since June
Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show that all household groups in the country faced higher cost increases in the 2023 year than the 4.7% indicated by the CPI, the official measure of inflation
1st Feb 24, 11:16am
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Stats NZ says its household living-cost price indexes show that all household groups in the country faced higher cost increases in the 2023 year than the 4.7% indicated by the CPI, the official measure of inflation
Weaker technology stocks and renewed concerns about regional banks in the US weigh on risk sentiment. Softer than expected US labour market data supported a fall in US treasury yields and weaker US dollar
1st Feb 24, 7:49am
Weaker technology stocks and renewed concerns about regional banks in the US weigh on risk sentiment. Softer than expected US labour market data supported a fall in US treasury yields and weaker US dollar
Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
31st Jan 24, 2:27pm
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Adrian Orr will give a keynote speech to a high-powered economic forum ahead of the Reserve Bank's first Official Cash Rate decision of the year
Higher than expected US job openings data points to resilience in the US labour markets. UST yields rebound. The Eurozone narrowly avoids recession. Yields on Chinese 10-year bonds fell to the lowest level in more than 20 years
31st Jan 24, 7:55am
Higher than expected US job openings data points to resilience in the US labour markets. UST yields rebound. The Eurozone narrowly avoids recession. Yields on Chinese 10-year bonds fell to the lowest level in more than 20 years
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
30th Jan 24, 10:55am
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Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
30th Jan 24, 7:52am
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
29th Jan 24, 7:44am
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
26th Jan 24, 10:01am
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Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
26th Jan 24, 8:34am
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GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
US equities rise to fresh record high. China surprises with 50bps cut to RRR; Bank of Canada drops tightening bias; Global PMI data support the market. NZ inflation moderates
25th Jan 24, 8:11am
US equities rise to fresh record high. China surprises with 50bps cut to RRR; Bank of Canada drops tightening bias; Global PMI data support the market. NZ inflation moderates
CPI inflation falls to a two year low of 4.7% as food prices decline, albeit domestic inflation tops RBNZ expectations
24th Jan 24, 10:56am
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CPI inflation falls to a two year low of 4.7% as food prices decline, albeit domestic inflation tops RBNZ expectations
Stocks in Hong Kong surged amid reports that Chinese authorities are considering a range of measures to help stabilise equity markets after a significant period of weakness. The US dollar extended its 2024 gains
24th Jan 24, 7:50am
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Stocks in Hong Kong surged amid reports that Chinese authorities are considering a range of measures to help stabilise equity markets after a significant period of weakness. The US dollar extended its 2024 gains
US equities continue their record-breaking run, a contrast with the slump in Chinese equities. Global rates push lower, US 10-year rate down slightly. No change expected from the BoJ later today
23rd Jan 24, 7:48am
US equities continue their record-breaking run, a contrast with the slump in Chinese equities. Global rates push lower, US 10-year rate down slightly. No change expected from the BoJ later today
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
22nd Jan 24, 3:05pm
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With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
The S&P500 reached a record high close underpinned by a strong performance by technology companies. US Fed speakers push back against near term rate cuts as the blackout period begins for the January FOMC
22nd Jan 24, 7:39am
The S&P500 reached a record high close underpinned by a strong performance by technology companies. US Fed speakers push back against near term rate cuts as the blackout period begins for the January FOMC
Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
21st Jan 24, 6:00am
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Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
US 10-year rate up to a fresh high for the year of 4.15%, driven by US initial jobless claims showing a surprising fall to a 16-month low. Global forces push up NZ rates, with a weak first bond tender of the year not helping NZGBs
19th Jan 24, 7:48am
US 10-year rate up to a fresh high for the year of 4.15%, driven by US initial jobless claims showing a surprising fall to a 16-month low. Global forces push up NZ rates, with a weak first bond tender of the year not helping NZGBs