Oil Prices
Roger J Kerr says the largest 'cause and effect' variable on the New Zealand economy next year will be the increase in pork, beef, lamb and chicken prices
4th Nov 19, 8:06am
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Roger J Kerr says the largest 'cause and effect' variable on the New Zealand economy next year will be the increase in pork, beef, lamb and chicken prices
Roger J Kerr says a bold NZ government would take the lead and invite in large Korean or Chinese construction conglomerates to deliver turn-key infrastructure projects
29th Oct 19, 8:17am
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Roger J Kerr says a bold NZ government would take the lead and invite in large Korean or Chinese construction conglomerates to deliver turn-key infrastructure projects
Roger J Kerr says the smart FX money will now anticipate improving business confidence in NZ and the Government's 'negative influence' should just be dismissed as not that relevant
21st Oct 19, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says the smart FX money will now anticipate improving business confidence in NZ and the Government's 'negative influence' should just be dismissed as not that relevant
Roger J Kerr wonders whether the 'phase 1' trade deal and swine flu factors are game-changers for the Kiwi dollar
14th Oct 19, 8:40am
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Roger J Kerr wonders whether the 'phase 1' trade deal and swine flu factors are game-changers for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the gloom being portrayed by businesses has nothing to do with the performance of the economy or their businesses
7th Oct 19, 8:38am
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Roger J Kerr says the gloom being portrayed by businesses has nothing to do with the performance of the economy or their businesses
Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement
30th Sep 19, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says while many commentators continue to be negative on the outlook for the NZ economy, the picture changes dramatically if China and the US can settle a trade agreement
Roger J Kerr says some currency speculators are likely to be disappointed when the Reserve Bank doesn't deliver an interest rate cut this week
23rd Sep 19, 9:01am
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Roger J Kerr says some currency speculators are likely to be disappointed when the Reserve Bank doesn't deliver an interest rate cut this week
Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors
16th Sep 19, 7:49am
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Roger J Kerr says the Australian dollar, with its much improved economic fundamentals, now stands out as the currency of choice for global investors
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose
9th Sep 19, 8:08am
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Roger J Kerr says New Zealand may have to lead the way again in abandoning arbitrary inflation rate targets, as that regime is no longer fit for purpose
Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence
2nd Sep 19, 8:14am
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Roger J Kerr says so far the RBNZ's 50 basis point cut to the Official Cash Rate appears to be creating the exactly opposite effect to that intended on confidence
Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy
26th Aug 19, 8:21am
6
Roger J Kerr questions whether the American dollar will continue to be a safe haven currency, with the financial and investment markets now seeing the trade wars directly damaging the US economy
Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances
19th Aug 19, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says the chances are now improving that the US President will finally start to heed the advice of those who view the escalating trade wars as counter-productive and hurting the US economy - and the President's re-election chances
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks
12th Aug 19, 9:36am
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank is consistently surprising the markets with statements at odds to prior expectations - but the Kiwi dollar keeps bouncing back after the shocks
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects
5th Aug 19, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar now looks undervalued again, with the major downside risk being if the Reserve Bank is gloomier at its OCR review this week than the market expects
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils
29th Jul 19, 7:58am
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Roger J Kerr says the US Fed Reserve will likely cut interest rates this week; the accompanying rhetoric on economic risks and future rate cuts will determine whether the US dollar holds its recent gains or recoils
Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines
22nd Jul 19, 8:18am
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Roger J Kerr says spectacular increases in iron ore, coal and gold prices are producing massive positive cash flows and profits for the mining companies and boosting Aussie government royalty revenue inflows and stimulating investment into new mines
Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them
15th Jul 19, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr says conventional economic “cause and effect” paradigms are out the window and the currency markets are just one part of the jig-saw trying to work out what it means for them
Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates
8th Jul 19, 8:17am
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Roger J Kerr says the strong US jobs figures in June will not in themselves be enough to deter the Federal Reserve from cutting American interest rates
Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely
1st Jul 19, 8:21am
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Roger J Kerr says the negative forces on the NZ dollar have reduced in intensity, while the economy’s relative performance is still pretty good, so, further gains to above 0.6800 seem likely
Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency
24th Jun 19, 8:41am
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Roger J Kerr reckons something positive has already happened behind the scenes that we haven't yet been told about in the US-China trade dispute and he sees upcoming developments as positive for our currency
Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again
17th Jun 19, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says Thursday's GDP figures may be a key short term factor in whether the New Zealand dollar can push back upwards again
Roger J Kerr says changing interest rate market pricing in the US has caused the American dollar to lose ground
10th Jun 19, 9:27am
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Roger J Kerr says changing interest rate market pricing in the US has caused the American dollar to lose ground
Roger J Kerr says selling of the Antipodean currencies may be exhausted, and the US greenback's rise could well prompt traders to reprise using the AUD and NZD as part of a safe haven strategy again
3rd Jun 19, 8:28am
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Roger J Kerr says selling of the Antipodean currencies may be exhausted, and the US greenback's rise could well prompt traders to reprise using the AUD and NZD as part of a safe haven strategy again
Roger J Kerr says low inflation has only come about through the global technology revolution - but this has not stopped the price of household staple items increasing at a much faster rate
27th May 19, 8:29am
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Roger J Kerr says low inflation has only come about through the global technology revolution - but this has not stopped the price of household staple items increasing at a much faster rate
Roger J Kerr says the unexpected victory of the Liberal National Coalition in Australia is likely to see a number of speculative positions unwound in the FX markets, resulting in large-scale buying of the Australian dollar
20th May 19, 8:10am
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Roger J Kerr says the unexpected victory of the Liberal National Coalition in Australia is likely to see a number of speculative positions unwound in the FX markets, resulting in large-scale buying of the Australian dollar