Unemployment
Reserve Bank of Australia hikes cash rate to 2.85%, says Aussie wage growth 'remains lower than in many other advanced economies'
1st Nov 22, 4:40pm
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Reserve Bank of Australia hikes cash rate to 2.85%, says Aussie wage growth 'remains lower than in many other advanced economies'
David Hargreaves says labour market figures due to be released in the forthcoming week are arguably more important than the recent inflation figures. That's because they could have a big impact on... inflation
30th Oct 22, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves says labour market figures due to be released in the forthcoming week are arguably more important than the recent inflation figures. That's because they could have a big impact on... inflation
Adrian Orr says tensions between inflation and employment, rising interest rates and financial stability, monetary and long-term fiscal policy, geopolitical concerns and climate change are already testing political consensus within and between countries
27th Oct 22, 10:21am
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Adrian Orr says tensions between inflation and employment, rising interest rates and financial stability, monetary and long-term fiscal policy, geopolitical concerns and climate change are already testing political consensus within and between countries
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway says 'tradeable', or imported, inflation has been 'our friend' in recent decades, but this era could be coming to an end
25th Oct 22, 2:55pm
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Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway says 'tradeable', or imported, inflation has been 'our friend' in recent decades, but this era could be coming to an end
ASB economists say there is likely 'more upside' to wholesale interest rates, while the odds of an economic 'soft landing' are shrinking
17th Oct 22, 2:23pm
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ASB economists say there is likely 'more upside' to wholesale interest rates, while the odds of an economic 'soft landing' are shrinking
Soaring fruit and vegetable prices are a key contributor to an overall food price inflation figure that's come in much higher than economists expected
13th Oct 22, 11:12am
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Soaring fruit and vegetable prices are a key contributor to an overall food price inflation figure that's come in much higher than economists expected
David Hargreaves sees increasing signs the Reserve Bank will have to either raise the Official Cash Rate by more than it wants to - or concede some ground to inflation
13th Oct 22, 7:48am
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David Hargreaves sees increasing signs the Reserve Bank will have to either raise the Official Cash Rate by more than it wants to - or concede some ground to inflation
Gareth Vaughan on socialism for the rich, the dollar doom loop, a big shipping turnaround, rethinking monetary sovereignty & fat bear week
9th Oct 22, 6:00am
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Gareth Vaughan on socialism for the rich, the dollar doom loop, a big shipping turnaround, rethinking monetary sovereignty & fat bear week
David Hargreaves tries to get a sense of where we are in the battle with inflation - and how much more the Reserve Bank might need to do
6th Oct 22, 1:12pm
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David Hargreaves tries to get a sense of where we are in the battle with inflation - and how much more the Reserve Bank might need to do
Reserve Bank of Australia lifts cash rate 25 basis points as it assesses the outlook for inflation and economic growth
4th Oct 22, 4:50pm
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Reserve Bank of Australia lifts cash rate 25 basis points as it assesses the outlook for inflation and economic growth
The super hot labour market is the biggest threat to the Reserve Bank's efforts to get inflation back under control. David Hargreaves has a crunch of some numbers
22nd Sep 22, 10:00am
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The super hot labour market is the biggest threat to the Reserve Bank's efforts to get inflation back under control. David Hargreaves has a crunch of some numbers
ASB economists say even if the Official Cash Rate is cut in 2024, average borrowing costs are unlikely to move lower until 2025
21st Sep 22, 11:37am
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ASB economists say even if the Official Cash Rate is cut in 2024, average borrowing costs are unlikely to move lower until 2025
David Hargreaves thinks the Reserve Bank will actually be very comfortable with the latest GDP data - even if economists are not
20th Sep 22, 12:11pm
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David Hargreaves thinks the Reserve Bank will actually be very comfortable with the latest GDP data - even if economists are not
Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
15th Sep 22, 11:01am
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Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
12th Sep 22, 3:10pm
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BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
Figures to be released in the coming week will likely show the country stayed well clear of recession in the June quarter - but the outlook for the economy is looking, as the Reserve Bank has indicated, pretty anaemic
11th Sep 22, 6:00am
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Figures to be released in the coming week will likely show the country stayed well clear of recession in the June quarter - but the outlook for the economy is looking, as the Reserve Bank has indicated, pretty anaemic
ANZ economists see inflation getting back to targeted levels by the middle of 2024 but think there are 'significant risks' that inflation will remain 'too high for too long'
7th Sep 22, 9:10am
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ANZ economists see inflation getting back to targeted levels by the middle of 2024 but think there are 'significant risks' that inflation will remain 'too high for too long'
The Reserve Bank of Australia raises its cash rate target by +50 bps to 2.35% as expected and isn't seeing any reason to expect CPI inflation lower than 7.75% in 2022, so the pressure remains to get it back to 3% and within their policy range
6th Sep 22, 4:59pm
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The Reserve Bank of Australia raises its cash rate target by +50 bps to 2.35% as expected and isn't seeing any reason to expect CPI inflation lower than 7.75% in 2022, so the pressure remains to get it back to 3% and within their policy range
Beating inflation will likely require a sustained period of higher interest rates and slower economic growth if things like indexing wage growth to the previous year's inflation get entrenched, ANZ economists say
6th Sep 22, 9:38am
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Beating inflation will likely require a sustained period of higher interest rates and slower economic growth if things like indexing wage growth to the previous year's inflation get entrenched, ANZ economists say
'It’s the biggest real house price downturn we’ve had since the 1970s'
David Hargreaves has a crunch of inflation expectations in which he points out that getting people to predict what they think inflation will be in future is not about whether they can pick a correct number or not
10th Aug 22, 8:30am
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David Hargreaves has a crunch of inflation expectations in which he points out that getting people to predict what they think inflation will be in future is not about whether they can pick a correct number or not
BNZ economists say one of the tricky aspects facing the RBNZ is the 'market' desire to price in interest rate cuts next year
9th Aug 22, 9:17am
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BNZ economists say one of the tricky aspects facing the RBNZ is the 'market' desire to price in interest rate cuts next year
Influential RBNZ survey shows significant fall in expectations of inflation in two years time - but the fall is unlikely to deter the central bank from another 50 point OCR hike next week
8th Aug 22, 3:33pm
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Influential RBNZ survey shows significant fall in expectations of inflation in two years time - but the fall is unlikely to deter the central bank from another 50 point OCR hike next week
Westpac economists think NZ is finding where the unemployment floor lies, with no net growth in Job numbers and all of the heat in labour market coming through in pay rates
8th Aug 22, 12:00pm
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Westpac economists think NZ is finding where the unemployment floor lies, with no net growth in Job numbers and all of the heat in labour market coming through in pay rates
Frog Recruitment Managing Director Shannon Barlow on what's going on in the job market and why
4th Aug 22, 12:31pm
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Frog Recruitment Managing Director Shannon Barlow on what's going on in the job market and why