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How insurer demands for new inspections are hampering house sales Canterbury

Posted in Insurance

By John Grant

Cantabrian home buyers and their banks face weeks of frustration trying to settle purchases as insurers are withholding approval in the wake of the earthquake for up to three weeks or until new geotechnical reports are completed.

Amid the rush of claims on damaged property and interrupted sales processes, the property market in Canterbury looks set to be frozen for weeks to come. Sales in Christchurch represent about 10% of total sales nationally each month, REINZ figures show.

TVNZ's Close Up programme reported this week that AMI Insurance, the largest insurer for the region, isn't writing any new new policies until geotechnical reports are done. Close Up highlighted the case of two families who had agreed to buy and sell properties but could not complete because insurance had been refused.

Chris Ryan, Insurance Council CEO spoke on behalf of the Insurance industry and explained that following such a major event, AMI's decision to impose special requirements was not unrealistic. AMI is based in Christchurch.

However, the story as told on Close Up was of an existing AMI customer, who were selling a property in Christchurch and moving to a new location. AMI had said that they were not issuing new cover until a Geo Technical report could establish that the property was free of damage.

Ryan also said it was an issue that was not uncommon after a major event such as this. He did say that he would be endeavoring to get a industry wide approach to this clarified in the next few days.

The problem is a significant one. Banks are not going to lend on uninsured properties and will probably be reluctant to lend on property that has conditional insurance arrangements.

IAG, which is the largest insurer in New Zealand with State and NZI brands, has imposed a 21 day stand down clause. This means it will not provide earthquake cover from the inception of the policy for a period of 21 days.

Balmforth has clarified to interest.co.nz that existing customers would be receiving preferential help with new insurance needs. Those existing customers in the Canterbury area would have their new insurance looked at on a case by case basis, he said.

AMI says it has since come to an arrangement with the two families featured on Closeup.

AMI chief executive John Balmforth told TV ONE's Close Up programme  he went and personally saw the families on Thursday.

"I contacted Darryn Ross and Mark O'Reilly, spoke to them, told them we were there to support them. "We've now put in place the cover that the families required and they have AMI insurance policies on their homes." He said he was aware other AMI customers would be put in similar situations. He advised them to get a geological survey of the site and and advice on the structure of their home to help the company assess cover options.

"For AMI's existing customers, the starting point that we can offer them is fire insurance, burglary and theft together with the EQC's $100,000 cover on the home. Advertisement "If they can provide us with the geo-technical material, then we'd certainly be able to go further, but we're looking at that on a case-by-case basis."  

Insurers are facing bills of probably in excess of NZ$1 billion. Mostly this is reinsured with Catastrophe Reinsurance programmes that for most will have a deductible of around NZ$4 million to NZ$5 million. Therefore the true cost of the Canterbury earthquake for New Zealand insurers is likely to be less than a combined total of NZ$100 million. Reinsurers will be picking up the balance of NZ$900 million plus.

What are you seeing in the Canterbury market? What other issues are affecting house sales there? What has been your experience? We welcome your comments below.

   

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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10 Comments

$900m plus - JP Morgan put an

$900m plus - JP Morgan put an estimate of cost to reinsurers of $US4.3b.  Do they know something we don't?  I think we will be seeing costs rise well beyond treasury's estimate.

In terms of settlements, I have one sale settling today, the purchaser has indicated all will go through okay, however my solicitor is frantically busy with the office having had retricted use only for most of the week (hence no staff in the office) and all sorts of issues being raised on settlements.  I think many are going to be delayed.  I've delayed an inter-related sale that we were intending to do this week because my solicitor has too much happening this week.

Chain reaction. I

Chain reaction. I can't settle on your property, because the one I sold isn't settling. What happens when the one at the start of the chain is in ruins? Does the whole chain fall over?

Surely if for example, you're

Surely if for example, you're selling your home insured with AMI to a buyer that's going to insure with AMI, the sale should proceed as the insurance company's position hasn't changed. All that happens is the new owner has all the hassels to deal with, not the vendor.

I can see what you mean to a

I can see what you mean to a point. However it is a totally different contract, with totally different risks. Different owners have different risk profiles.

Note that a full geotech

Note that a full geotech report normally costs $2500-5000, and a structural engineers report could cost $1000.

So that is a relatively large extra cost (1-2% of purchase price) to be able to get insurance which I'm sure will not help house sales.

Yesterday Harcourts biggest office in Christchurch cancelled 90% of planned auctions .... they only had 1 verses average 15 the last few weeks.      http://www.grenadier.co.nz

Banks have also postponed most of the mortgagee sales planned in the next few weeks in Chch.

On Trademe I'm seeing a big drop in new house listings in Christchurch compared to last week .... and most of the new listings appear to be in eastern suburbs that were badly affected by the quake.

But there is a big spike in new rentals on Trademe .... I guess if chances of sale are real low you're better off renting the house out to someone who has lost there's.

So Christchurch RE agents won't be getting much commission this month.

I guess sales all around the South Island could also drop since a lot of people who would normally be moving to places like Nelson come from Chch, and now they can't sell there houses.

Insurance companies like

Insurance companies like sticky paper when it comes to getting your money like slippery eels when it comes to paying out.

I've had reports from banks

I've had reports from banks that the level of enquiry for mortgages has almost completely stopped. The 90% figure at Harcourts really illustrates this point.

Chris asked the question about the $900m price tag for reinsurers. I can see now that this was not very clear so let me expand on this. The figure I quoted related entirely to the cost to private insurers. The estimate of $4.3b from JP Morgan probably came from a paper issued by AIR Worldwide. This is an organisation that reviews incidents like the Christchurch earthquake and provides estimates on likely costs. They also model potential loss scenarios. Using these models they have estimated that total claims for reinsurers could be in the range of $2.7b to $6b. These estimates were based on information the day after the event.

My $900m was based on the private insurers reinsured amount. Their gross cost is likely to be $1b but could go as high as $2.5b!

I suspect this event will see

I suspect this event will see insurance companies demanding full geotech engineering reports on all properties, especially on new subdivision plots. This would hike the costs by how much plus gst! Wellington residential property owners can expect major changes to their policies on renewal. Higher costs and reduced cover. Plots near the airport which are on an ancient sand bar...big problems....as will be those hanging to the sides of unstable slopes. The slip south of Kaikoura was probably caused by movement that started with the Sat quake. When wgtn gets its long awaited shake, whole bloody hillsides will drop off. If it takes place in a wet period, they will be mud slides. The regions geology amounts to shite rock at best and solidified porridge at worst.

Well said about the hilly

Well said about the hilly slopes in Wellington....I don't envy anyone living in a upmarket house there. A quake will just bring the homes down even though they are built on rock....even houses near the beaches are moving.. A beach home owner told me that his living room dropped by some cm...very worrying...

Don't forget that NZ sits on the ring of fire and even the best civil engineer, house builder or geotechnical reports will not stop what Mother Nature can wreck.

Just like nobody knew about the hidden fault line running under CHCH::::

 

we've been trying to but a

we've been trying to but a house for the last few months. the insurance companies require a structural report as well as a geotech report on the land, which is fair enough. problem has been the real estate agents (mainly harcourts). out of all the houses we have looked at, only 1 has had a structural report done. some agents have told us house is structurally fine, but no report done, when you can see cracks in the wall and feel uneven floors (don't know why they feel they are qualified to say this) some have builders reports but as they are not engineers, insurance companies won't accept as a structural report. and almost all the properties originally listed for auction, so the agents expect each potential bidder to obtain all the reports at a cost of a few thousand dollars, in order to go unconditional on auction day. the agents are very elusive at giving an indication of pricing, just saying things like 'since it's not in the eastern suburbs will be well above RV' which would make prices above peak of a few years ago. then they wonder why auction clearance rate so poor