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Opinion: Why the public should not be so worried about public asset sales

Posted in News

By Infometrics economist John Carran There has been a renewed focus on public asset sales in some western countries as governments reassess the value they get from owning commercial assets when faced with spiraling public debt. The British Government, for example, has announced it will sell £16bn ($35.8bn) in public assets over the next two years. Several other European countries such as France and Germany are also undergoing or seriously pondering public asset sales. The New Zealand Government has a considerable amount of capital tied up in commercial assets on its balance sheet "“ around $15bn as at 30 June 2009. Examples of State Owned Enterprises include New Zealand Post, TVNZ, KiwiRail, and the government-owned electricity generators. Consider what could be achieved for taxpayers if a proportion of that capital was freed for use elsewhere. For instance, it could be invested in much needed infrastructure such as roads, or it could be invested in schools, hospitals, and other public amenities.

Alternatively, the Government could reduce the burgeoning public debt burden. This would improve New Zealand's overall debt position, helping to improve our sovereign credit rating and lowering the cost of financing for all New Zealand businesses. The fiscal consequences of public asset sales are only a small part of the overall effects. There is a wealth of evidence to suggest that on average privately owned businesses are run more efficiently, innovate more, and provide better customer services than government owned businesses. The nub of the reason for this is because private owners are acutely responsible for the financial performance of their companies. Sustained bad performance will result in a private company going out of business. Government owners of commercial businesses on the other hand don't have their own "skin in the game" as they say. In many cases the true objectives of government commercial entities are unclear or conflicting (profitability versus social objectives versus "strategic" objectives) making accountability for results difficult to determine. Poor performance can be supported by taxpayers indefinitely to their ultimate detriment. Those against selling public assets often cite loss of economic sovereignty as a reason against such action as the assets often end up in foreigners' hands. Foreigners do not always end up controlling sold public assets. Controlling stakes in Telecom and Air New Zealand remained in New Zealand due to the Kiwi Share provisions, which limited foreign influence in these companies. Nevertheless, there is a high likelihood that privatised assets will be sold to overseas owners because of the dearth of capital available in New Zealand to support large-scale enterprises. Regardless of who owns the sold assets, the jobs associated with them remain in New Zealand. Foreign owners are bound by the same laws and regulations and are required to pay the same tax as New Zealand owners. Foreign owners are not treated any differently than private domestic owners, nor do they act fundamentally differently. Some argue that there is the potential for foreign owners to plunder their acquired assets sending booty offshore. This doesn't make sense. If foreign owners pay a market price for assets their aim will be to extract maximum value from them. They will be shooting themselves in the foot if they destroy value through indiscriminate slash and burn. If there is more value to be realised from dividing assets up and selling off parts then this suggests that the assets were poorly run in the first place. Selling parts of operations to other owners who can run them better will improve their competitiveness to the benefit of New Zealand. Of course foreign owners will repatriate a share of the profits overseas. That is the return they get for the risk of investing their capital here. In return New Zealand gets capital not otherwise available locally, access to overseas technology and skills, best practice management expertise and knowhow from overseas, and often easier access to large markets through foreign owners' overseas contacts and distribution channels. Some may not mind a return being earned by private owners if it is generated in competitive markets. The beef they have is if monopoly profits are generated so that consumers are ripped off delivering inflated returns to owners. Monopolies are a problem regardless of ownership. The solution is to effectively regulate them so that they do not exploit their market power. The current perceived abuses in the New Zealand energy industry, for instance, are perpetrated by government-owned electricity operators in a poorly structured market. Get the market structure right (challenging, admittedly) and most of the problem will be solved. Sale of public commercial assets needn't be seen as a bogy. In reality it would result in no great changes in the distribution of power and wealth in New Zealand and confer long-lasting benefits to taxpayers and consumers. Sounds like a free lunch. And it is if sales are an open process and markets are properly regulated. Sales of public commercial assets will help us wring extra performance out of our economy without the economic upheaval that some fear. ________________ * Infometrics is an economic information and forecasting company based in Wellington. To find out more, see its website here. This piece first appeared in the Dominion Post.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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24 Comments

I am being kind in

I am being kind in my assessment by describing this article as absolute garbage.

Agree with PeterR.

Agree with PeterR.

$ 15 billion ? Is

$ 15 billion ? Is that all . That is far less than the gumnut's annual tax take . Rather than sell off all the silver-ware to pay the debt burden , question the level of gumnut spend . WFF loses them $ 3 billion annually . The student loan debt exceeds $ 10 billion in total .

If gumnut can float some assets onto the NZX , allowing Kiwi investors to gain a stake in SOE's that their taxes paid for over the years , fair enough . But let's not line the pockets of investment banks , hedge funds , vulture funds , and the like , from overseas .

I think it will be

I think it will be a mistake selling NZ assets.Not just economic sovereignty and control.Pivate companies does not serve the best interest of NZ.Telecom sale is a big example...The country is well behind in it's infrustaructure,the government that sold it in the past cliamed selling it to oversease control will continue to invest and improve NZ infrastructures,but years on nothing has been upgraded until the recent years,with government interventions we seen some movements.I think we are shooting our foot all the time..Selling power generators,Postal service off shore oil digging rights, is the wrong step.AS it already monopolise easily and no competion will improve the picing.

Why don't we bundle up

Why don't we bundle up the student loans into a structured investment vehicle called, 'The advanced education fund', or 'we are smarter now' fund and split it into different risk parcels and sell it it into the securities market using GS as a broker.

Love it, AndrewJ :-) Point

Love it, AndrewJ :-)

Point is, why hasn't our financial whiz of a PM thought of it!

Interestingly, no analysis from economists

Interestingly, no analysis from economists ever includes a clear and well thought through recipe for solving the 'challenges of the right market structures and regulation' ...

What a mess this economy

"In return New Zealand gets

"In return New Zealand gets ... access to overseas technology and skills, best practice management expertise and knowhow from overseas."

This argument is so full of holes I don't know where to start.

Kate & AndrewJ All that

Kate & AndrewJ

All that is required then is for investors to purchase said fund, all the people with student loans then leave the country for Australia or where ever, which would result in the fund collapsing ......

Ray Yes, it sound's like

Ray
Yes, it sound's like a sales pitch ....... or someone seriously out of touch with reality (like many economists)

"I am being kind in

"I am being kind in my assessment by describing this article as absolute garbage."

I wont be so kind.....its total crap.....Prebble et al sold our assets for peanuts to foreign investors to prop up their dodgy voodoo economics and that has cost us dearly in profits exported and balance of payments disasters for many years.

"Government owners of commercial businesses on the other hand don't have their own "skin in the game" as they say."

and yet we just had a "working group" wanting quality SOE stocks injected into the NZX so mom and pop investors would have confidence to deal in stocks....guess what bet many of these are involved with Kiwisaver or other life policies are and desperate to prop up their failing business model and/or get their assets into companies of value before the private highly indebted stock they are stuck with implodes.

What does that say? It tells us SOE's are of value and private companies/investors have broken their companies in chasing short term profits and are worthless if not broke or bankrupt....

So holding onto SOE's is benefiting NZ on many levels....

"Sales of public commercial assets will help us wring extra performance out of our economy without the economic upheaval that some fear."

absolute rot with no real world justification for this, didnt happen last time wont happen this time....

"The current perceived abuses in the New Zealand energy industry, for instance, are perpetrated by government-owned electricity operators in a poorly structured market. Get the market structure right (challenging, admittedly) and most of the problem will be solved.

Poorly regulated...poorly invested, power companies are not in the business of ensuring supply, they are there to make a profit.....just look at Enron to see what this leads to. Govn's need to invest here...best done via SOE's who, without pressure from private investors to make short term suicidal profits can plan for the long term...and keep NZers and the businesses that employ them safe and working.

These neo-con, voodoo economics are utter rubbish...

Go get real work, we dont need witchdoctors...maybe sweeping the roads.

regards

Oi , don't get suggest

Oi , don't get suggest these guys are only fit for sweeping the roads ......... Don't want any more competition for me broom .

Edmund <blockquote> All that is

Edmund

All that is required then is for investors to purchase said fund, all the people with student loans then leave the country for Australia or where ever, which would result in the fund collapsing "¦"¦

That isn't happening anyway ???

I had hoped someone would

I had hoped someone would challenge my assessment and then allow me to give my reasoning. On reflection the article is so confused it appears only to make sense in support of a prime ministers department intent on asset sales. So it got the response it probably deserves.

That is a unfortunate because the article covers a wide range of issues that need challenge and debate. John Carran could well have something useful to contribute, but for that to be conveyed effectively he would need to logically separate out the separate issues he is mixing together. These are not purely economic - the cultural and political aspects probably not being separable. Regardless, all need far more and more structured analysis than they are getting. Quick thoughts suggest working through the following at least:
1.What is government's role anyway. This badly needs to be questioned before anything else.

2.Define a suitable relationship between political parties and government. We are no longer an egalitarian society "“ we have developed classes of political and cultural elites.

3.How good is the quality of our regulation, and what is its impact on competition. Refer to political elites above.

4.What benefits do we get from government expenditure? Do we really need most of that additional, poor quality, over priced infrastructure?

5.Appropriate forms of ownership. We have co-operatives that behave like corporates, Crown Research Institutions that are expected to return 9% on assets (was it any wonder they were into property speculation) but don't allow privately owned universities when the best in the world aren't government owned. Why for instance is competition not allowed in education?

6.How does foreign ownership of assets impact on our current account deficit.

7.The quality of NZ owned assets versus foreign owned assets. How come foreigners own the banks, while for 5-10 times the investment we get the dairy industry?

8.What then is wrong with our capital markets?

By which time we might be in a position to sensibly argue about sales of government assets.

So John, why not give it a go the next opportunity you get.

I had hoped someone would

I had hoped someone would challenge my assessment and then allow me to give my reasoning. On reflection the article is so confused it appears only to make sense in support of a prime ministers department intent on asset sales. So it got the response it probably deserves.

That is a unfortunate because the article covers a wide range of issues that need challenge and debate. John Carran could well have something useful to contribute, but for that to be conveyed effectively he would need to logically separate out the separate issues he is mixing together. These are not purely economic - the cultural and political aspects probably not being separable. Regardless, all need far more and more structured analysis than they are getting. Quick thoughts suggest working through the following at least:
1.What is government's role anyway. This badly needs to be questioned before anything else.

2.Define a suitable relationship between political parties and government. We are no longer an egalitarian society "“ we have developed classes of political and cultural elites.

3.How good is the quality of our regulation, and what is its impact on competition. Refer to political elites above.

4.What benefits do we get from government expenditure? Do we really need most of that additional, poor quality, over priced infrastructure?

5.Appropriate forms of ownership. We have co-operatives that behave like corporates, Crown Research Institutions that are expected to return 9% on assets (was it any wonder they were into property speculation) but allow Landcorp to get away with negligible returns. We don't allow privately owned universities when the best in the world aren't government owned. Why is competition from the private sector not allowed in education?

6.How does foreign ownership of major assets impact on our current account deficit.

7.The quality of NZ owned assets versus foreign owned assets. How come foreigners own the banks, while for 5-10 times the investment we get the dairy industry?

8.What then is wrong with our capital markets?

By which time we might be in a position to sensibly argue about sales of government assets.

So John (or anyone else), why not give it a go the next opportunity you get.

PeterR There is a lack

PeterR

There is a lack of clarity in this debate. There's no clear understanding of what should be publically owned and what should be sold off to allow greater depth and investment away from property and shonky finance companies. We have the Auckland Airport fiasco and yet it's OK for Wellington power supply to be owned by the Chinese, Air New Zealand. What a great set of questions.

Iain makes the very valid point about capture by the banking system, and the fact that we are borrowing 250mil per week (I got it wrong in the other post) verifies this when all this does is prop up the value of the NZ$ for no apparent reason. Combine asset sales (to New Zealanders) encouraging share ownership and a stronger stock exchange along with monetary system reforms which I'm trying to get Les and Iain to comment on and you end up with a real chance to regain control of sovereign debt.

Have the boys from the

Have the boys from the IMF been on the phone?

KW, Well I've written it

KW, Well I've written it up, sent it to Les and Iain and. . . deafening silence. I'm sure it's Iain's system but he doesn't seem to agree, wants debt free money which cannot exist, but too busy to comment. I can't see why it wouldn't work.

Those IMF guys? don't they facilitate the yen carry trade with it's 11 "moving parts". What's up with that then? . . . . And we keep raising the OCR so we can suck em up and spit em out at the real estate market, with spillover into dairy. Then fix is the TWG, and the debate is about depreciation, it's a joke, They should have gone with the big Kauhuna.

Fred -

Fred - KISS.

http://www.interest.co.nz/news/top-10-10-cactus-kate-tax-reform-bernanke...

Cheers, Les.

PS - no offence, thanks, all good. It's at fact - KISS.

@Fred Sorry.... my ignorant jibe

@Fred
Sorry.... my ignorant jibe (6:42 p.m.) was more along the lines of:

"In the past decade, the IMF imposed a combination of liberalisation and extreme fiscal austerity on a variety of Third World countries including Mexico, Thailand, South Korea, Indonesia, Brazil and most recently Argentina. The main aim of such programmes has been to restore countries' "˜credibility' with international financial markets enabling them to repay overseas debt"

with regards to NZ selling 'family silver' and outsourcing (see other thread).

Not a direct reference to your prior post.

Your reply was much more amusing though!!!!!

Sorry Fred, as I explained

Sorry Fred, as I explained I have literally 2-3 hours between work, sleep, 6 days a week at present, only time for immediate family responsibilities. Am chomping to get back to the serious debate and rip apart the monetarist indoctrination of Muffets (monetarist finger puppets) such as the treasonist mongrel that wrote the garbage in the article above.
When are we going to hold our public credit/banking think tank, it would want to be very soon and it would want to be very desicive, as the banksters are riding roughshot right over the common (supposedly) freeworld, and if Obama doesnt turn out to be firstly genuine, secondly able to impede their massive influence, its going to get very, very ugly for the subjects of the borderless banking empire.

Is Fascist-Imperialism an existing political term, as I believe it would some up a cabal of colluding nation state administrations that rob their own populations via creative commercial pyramid scams, then used the loot to fund expansionist raids on other nations.

Our forefathers got conned into thinking they were risking their lives to prevent the citizens of NZ from suffering domination at the hands of slaveminded elitist foreigners and the desperate sods they drove to their dirty work, now you can drive round and see the flags of foreign corporates/nations sitting in the position of prominence above our national flag, what a friggin disgrace.

PeterR 100% correct.

PeterR 100% correct.

Thanks 4 The Great Article!!

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