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Westpac raises longer fixed mortgage rates as curve steepens
Westpac has raised most of its fixed mortgage rates, bringing them back into line with offers from most other banks. See and compare all mortgage rates here.
Westpac raised its 18 month fixed mortgage rate by 10 basis points (bps) to 6.09%; its three year rate by 9 bps to 7.49%; its four year rate by 25 bps to 8.2%; and five year by 24 bps to 8.49%.
While variable mortgage rates have been falling recently, fixed rates are on the way up as local funding costs rise. The Reserve Bank has been pushing the banks to fund themselves more from local deposits with longer terms of funding in a drive to diminish the banks' reliance on short term 'hot money' from global wholesale markets.
This move is part of trend in recent weeks for mortgage rate 'curve steepening', where longer term interest rates are increasingly higher than shorter term and variable rates. This is a reversal of the status quo for the last five years when borrowers could usually get a cheaper rate by borrowing for longer terms.
Cuts in variable rates by ASB, BNZ, Westpac and Kiwibank (but not ANZ National) in recent weeks have increased the competitive pressure to drive borrowers down to floating, six month or one year rates, which are around 5.5-5.7%. They are now significantly below the two and three year rates on 6.5-7.7%.
I wonder why savers are
I wonder why savers are not taking these long term deposit rates! Gosh, what can they see coming down the road? Anyone for more bank debt, cheap mortgages going here, don't rush now, line up folks.
Interesting... With everyone now coming
Interesting...
With everyone now coming off fixed rates and going onto variable or short-term rates, Bollard will be able to influence the markets more when he starts raising the OCR.
And some of you bloggers thought he didn't know what he is doing- Shame on you!!
Watch this space. :-)
The mistake Gazza is in
The mistake Gazza is in believing borrowers are rushing to floating. Just because the offers are there is no sign of a shift. The key question is; why are savers avoiding the long term deposits on offer? I think the banks are taking advantage of the pile of deposits in for short terms, to do some fishing for fools. What happens when the savers all head elsewhere. The SCF bomb is ticking and what will the explosion do to the kiwi and the credit rates.
@Wally: Bomb? that does not
@Wally: Bomb? that does not look like a bomb....more like a first nuclear strike, followed by MAD...SCF looks like a disaster area its the follow on shocks that concern me as its unknown.....
I Think there are more floaters than there were in the past?....banks must be seeing a risk so are pricing in for that risk and are setting as high as they dare to avoid the business (I think)...so not so much a rush as no where else to go. Interesting that banks are gauging the risk and seem to be pricing it in.....pity NZers generally cant seem to be able to do the same.
@gazza I think Bollard is a captain with no tiller....all he has is an anchor...he can pull it up or drop it...
Yes, SCF is a disaster
Yes, SCF is a disaster but I would be surprised if it is a "bomb" in any economic sense that is going to cause that much disruption. I don't think it is NZ's Lehman.
Apart from the GG and being a tad bigger it's no different to all the previous finance companies that have recently bit the dust.
@Marky Mark: So sure? from
@Marky Mark: So sure? from my point of view, some of this is a confidence thing, markets are governed by fear and greed, so its illusion sold to ppl. SCF's collapse, even if investors get their money back [eventually] would make others sit up and question if touching the finance sector is safe at all. Now the knock on is lots of small businesses use finance companies to get plant and expand, also retail does interest credit free deals that's finianced from somewhere, remove these important sectors and that stifles recovery, ppl stay un-employed longer. That also has an impact on the Govn's finances, and maybe its credit rating. The Govn has to bail out SCF, it has to get the money from somewhere "real" so it has to borrow and/or raise taxes....even if not right now from SCF's collapse (lets assume it does, which if its credit rating is downgraded becomes a cert before Oct 2010) then sooner or later other collapses (if indeed they happen) are probably going to cause this shift...its a risk and impact calculation to my mind....except the Govn is covering this as an insurance policy for a small fee.....but also they are borrowing for other things and companies are also borrowing so somewhere are ppl have have to have enough confidence in us to lend....
So taken in isolation maybe yes....its not that big...
regards
The issue of high interest
The issue of high interest rates and inflationary pressures for late 2010 and on wards was brought up a long time ago (Bernard?) when long term was still low.
When interest rates, floating and term all get high again, the banks will not be able to increase their customer base very easy....Some where talking 9.5 to over 10%...
Personally I would not be surprised to see conditions similar to the late and post muldoon yrs...most people cant remeber these times and have no idea ...which generally means once again history repeats.
But suck people in now, even if the banks loose a bit on the deal, they will have customers locked into a mortgage in a yr or so time...rates sky rocket customer is locked into commitment to their home.....
If I was a bank thats exactly what I would be doing now.
Days of 'Friendly advice in the ear' from the bank manager went out decades ago...yet the general public still trust him.
Bank Manager, Steps? Haven't seen
Bank Manager, Steps? Haven't seen one of those for decades, either! It's only the Customer Solutions Executive you get to see these days. Maybe that's the problem. By the time there's an issue the CSE has moved on - performance target bonus, and all.