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Economic Weather report: Foreign debt blow endangers credit rating

Posted in News

Bernard Hickey details an Economic Weather report in association with ASB on New Zealand's foreign debt and how it has blown out to 140% of GDP in the last year, endangering our credit rating and threatening to spook foreign investors. Here's the interactive chart on foreign debt.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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1 Comments

Your sound is shot....

Your sound is shot....

Yeah Yeah Yeah, how many

Yeah Yeah Yeah, how many time have we heard it before ??
We live in a land filled with old schizos...we want to borrow as much as we can but we complain that the banks are making too much money doing us a favour. We greedily invest in Finance companies for a few extra points and blame everybody else when they imploded due to our own greed.

Now you are saying we should consume less and save more ?? What's the goverment for?
Leave our debts to our grandchildren...You only live once !!!

@steven - we are having

@steven - we are having ongoing technical issues that mean the sound may not work for some viewers. At the risk of sounding like an issue ducking bureaucrat we are working to resolve them. I apologize for them.

Bryan

Neumann are calling for regional

Neumann are calling for regional RBs to lift their ocr rates before it's too late. !!!

Bryan: I was just letting

Bryan: I was just letting you know.....

Kin: "invest in Finance companies

Kin: "invest in Finance companies for a few extra points and blame everybody else when they imploded due to our own greed." Not so sure if its greed or desperation/need...what % was retired ppl investing in finance companies v others? Many retired ppl probably have a small (too small) nest egg and need to get a high return in order to get by....add in they are simple in outlook (and I dont mean that badly, maybe I shoud say straightforward) and they get hoodwinked....this is because our financial sector is just the pits and full of sharks....we could probably have saved these ppl losses by having some sound, open and fair regulation..........instead its a mine field....It would also probably help dampen the excesses of the housing market as ppl feel safe there....yet nothing seems to be happening....I wonder of its the Govn fear that it will cost votes and/or weaken the economy further....I really dont understand why the Govn does not legislate....OAP's should consider this stance when the next election comes around as that looks like the only way to get a Govn to do anything....

Kind of worrying that fools

Kind of worrying that fools seem to be rushing in, mind boggling....I assume its the rental market doing the rushing? the result is that they could trigger a downgrade, then panic and end up with huge losses for themselves....while everyone suffers....If this acceleration really is the cause of the increasing deficit then just how long can the Govn stand idle?

regards

http://www.sedlabanki.is/?PageID=287&NewsID=1124 Same downgr

http://www.sedlabanki.is/?PageID=287&NewsID=1124

Same downgrade happened to iceland based on similar fears to whats happening in NZ now. That was just before there economy collapsed and house prices plunged

Iceland story.... A bit different

Iceland story.... A bit different in details but interested how the denials the same:

"It took a while, though, for the penny to drop. As recently as this spring, when questions were being asked about the economy, the country was in denial.

Dagur Eggertsson, a former mayor of Reykjavik, said: "Someone called it 'bumblebee economics' because it is hard to figure out how it flies, but it does, and very nicely, too." The bumblebee, though, like the billionaires who thought they could buy up the British high street, is no longer flying high"

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/financialcrisis/3147866...

in fairness Iceland was a

in fairness Iceland was a bit worse (eg 30% growth in credit), I think we are more like 10%, 15% CA deficit we are 8.5%.

That said

- we are still growing our debt, it doesnt matter how fast you are travelling when you go over a cliff, it is always just as fast on the way down.
- our CA deficit is being hidden by low interest rates at the moment, what will it look like when a 300,000 mortgage is paying 27,000 pa overseass as opposed to 17,000? Especially when our export prices have pretty much halved. I would think we would be easily into double figures.

latest migration stats out.... net

latest migration stats out....
net gain of 700 in June 2009
Wow, such a large influx

For those who enjoy BALANCED

For those who enjoy BALANCED and insightful economic commentaries one can't go past, IMHO, the ANZ's weekly "Market Focus".
Interesting piece this week:

http://www.anz.co.nz/resources/3/2/324f41004ee5b201880b9840234ee33e/Mark...

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