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Auctions increasingly used to end housing 'Mexican standoff'
Auctions are becoming much more prominent in the current uncertain housing market, being used more widely as a way to end the 'Mexican standoff' in the market between bargain hunting buyers and stubborn sellers and giving a clearer picture of where real prices are sitting.
Clearance rates are also rising for auctions rather than the traditional 'sole agency' process, say Auckland real estate agents.
"If the behind the scenes work is done well by the agents, for example if all potential buyers are found before the auction and are present at the auction, then auctions are the ultimate way of finding market value," Scott Cordes from Bayleys Real Estate said.
Auckland real estate agents Barfoot & Thompson held their largest auction of the year on Wednesday, November 19, advertising 60 houses to be put up for sale. Interest .co.nz attended the day-long event to see how it went and to get a further understanding of what is happening in New Zealand's housing market at the beginning of summer.
Barfoot & Thompson's Auction Manager Tim Carter told interest.co.nz that there has been a general move toward people using auction to get a result, with the transparent nature of auctions proving helpful in the current market.
"Buyers can see other buyers and there is a security blanket at both ends. Buyers can bid more strongly (if they wish to purchase) and vendors are able to reduce the reserve in order to get a sale if they wish to do so," Carter said.
He said that in the three months to November 20, Barfoot's clearance rate from auctions was 55.6%. This was compared to a rate of 28.6% through sole agencies.
"Auction (clearance rates) are nearly double," Carter said. "People like the fact of auctions and there is a general move toward people using them."
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The day-long event, from 11am to 5:30pm, was divided into two halves beginning at 11am and 1:30pm. Early attendance at each half was extremely strong, with attendees having to watch proceedings in the foyer area of Barfoot's Kitchener Street headquarters on closed circuit television.
Of the 60 houses advertised, two sold prior to the auction and one was withdrawn. Out of the 57 houses remaining, 12 were sold during the auction, 20 were passed in because the seller's reserve was not met by bidders, and 25 received no bids at all.
However, as of two days after the auction, another 12 of the advertised houses that had initially been passed on had sold following negotiations between vendors and interested buyers at the auction.
Carter said that this highlighted the forum nature of auctions in the sale process. The auction often leads to negotiations between buyers and sellers after the bidding has ended. "It's not all lost if a house doesn't sell on the day."
The early action of the 11:00 auction mirrored the attendance, with four of the first five houses being sold under the hammer. However, sales halted after that, with bids being made on eight of the remaining 16 houses offered. The other eight received no bids, despite the auctioneer making suggestions on starting prices for many of them.
Those using the auction as a way of feeling out the market were able to record what prices were offered for houses by interested buyers, as well as noting the tentative attempts by auctioneers to get bidding going. If reserves were not met and a house was passed on, then buyers were able to get a general sense of what others were prepared to offer. Sellers were able to get a sense of how high buyers were prepared to go.
This then gave the agents the central role of bringing the two together.
For the houses that sold, there was often frantic to-and-fro action by Barfoots sales-people between vendors on the phones and bidders on the floor as they tried to get the two to meet at a midpoint, above the initial public offer of the bidder but below the initial reserve set by the vendor.
If an agreement was not met, then the highest bidder had the first right to buy at the reserve price if they wished. For 12 houses, continued negotiations after bidding had ended paid off.
Of the first four houses sold, two of them sold for less than capital valuations (CV's). One Grafton house that sold for NZ$1.88 million had a CV of NZ$2.62 million. One house that sold for more than its valuation went for NZ$621,000, considerably higher than its CV of NZ$510,000. All four houses sold for at least NZ$517,000.
The second half of the auction beginning at 1:30 offered 37 houses, of which eight were sold, the lowest being NZ$410,000. Despite attendance again being high for the beginning of the 1:30 event, the first sale was not until the eleventh house came up for auction. Between the eleventh and twenty-fifth houses, eight were sold, with one selling for more than its capital valuation.
During the 1:30 event, eleven houses were passed in because reserve prices were not met, and 17 did not receive any bids at all from buyers. Four people remained in the auction room as the fifth-to-last house was offered, which thinned out to this corespondent and one other observer for the final three.
50 Comments
You forgot the most important
You forgot the most important part.
REAL ESTATE AGENTS LOVE AUCTIONS.
They use them to find the market and to coerce their clients into selling as they can prove the most recent sale price.
\Auctions are great for sellers on a climbing market, great for buyers on a falling market.
Either way the agent wins so long as he gets a sale. That is why agents are talking sellers into Auctions to get a sale. "Never HAVE TO BE a buyer or a seller", is what I teach my children.
How do you know the
How do you know the bidders were real, not the real estate agents bidding up the price when offered below reserve?
Quite right and the biggest
Quite right and the biggest sin of all ,there is no comeback on any of the parties if it has been found there are serious flaws in the building.Reasons being the purchasers do all the due diligence prior to the Auction,It becomes literally CAVEAT EMPTOR.
What I cannot understand about
What I cannot understand about NZ property auctions is why the highest bidder, when the reserve has not been met, would increase his offer after the auction has finished. He has proved at the auction that he is the one willing to pay the most yet on many occaions I have seen them being coerced by the Agents into paying more, very strange behaviour.
"He has proved at the
"He has proved at the auction that he is the one willing to pay the most yet on many occaisions I have seen them being coerced by the Agents into paying more, very strange behaviour."
Its to the benefit of the vendor / agent for the highest bidder to increase their bid. Allows the property to be passed in at the higher bid. Seen some patsies bid the property up another 50 - 75 K against their prior bid, only for the property to be passed in.
Then when people ring in the next day to check what happened at the auction, the agent is able to say "Property was passed in at x"... where x is the higher price... Good work by the agent on the vendors behalf. Stupid tactics on the buyers behalf.
Over the past year, my guess would be that over 2/3 of the increased bids in this scenario that I have seen, have resulted in the property being passed in. In this market I would suggest that increasing your bid if you are already the highest bidder, is not in your best interests.
"Over the past year, my
"Over the past year, my guess would be that over 2/3 of the increased bids in this scenario that I have seen, have resulted in the property being passed in. In this market I would suggest that increasing your bid if you are already the highest bidder, is not in your best interests."
hmmm, is it in your best interest as a buyer to increase your own bid in ANY market? I would think not...
And I like the bit
And I like the bit where the auctioneer can keep increasing the vendors bid if there are NO BIDS from the floor, continuously, until it is at the "right price to pass it in". I urge no one to take much notice of the level at which a property is passed in.
If you read Tim Harfords
If you read Tim Harfords , The Logic of Life.
He talks of the "winners Curse"
Auctions produce the biggest sucker the one who thinks the house is worth more than anyone else . The crowd produces the average real price the Auction will not, it produces the biggest sucker. The one who thinks it is worth more than anyone else in the room.
When you discuss the CV
When you discuss the CV of the houses that were sold at B&T's auctions are you referring to the 2005 or the 2008 one? Real estate agents nowadays use both, particularly when the house has been on the market for a while and the flyers haven't been updated.
An, I used the latest
An,
I used the latest CV's - 2008.
Got them from the council websites.
Cheers
Alex
Marketing is about IMPACT! This
Marketing is about IMPACT!
This form of selling lets the vendor know the true value of what the martket is prepared to pay. The cliche', "It is only worth what people are prepared to pay" is probably more relevant in this market than any other. The Agents job is to, through a properly vendor funded marketing campaign, attract potential buyers and get the best and fairest possible price on the day of Auction, and if need be, post Auction.
A couple of questions to the previous respondents to this subject is,
1> Have you ever been a vendor wanting the best price possible?
2> If you have, would you rather your agent not utilize all of the options available to them to facillitate a sale of your home?
Response to Andrewj comment, ""Never HAVE TO BE a buyer or a seller", is the sit on the fence attittude that will stop his children from growing in a world where buying and selling is a necessity.
Response to Roger Witherspoon, Regarding Barfoot and Thompson Auction policy is that there is no vendor bidding nor do they have any other "form",of bidders other than genuine qualified bidders.
To the others, stop knocking the Real Estae Agnts for doing their job. You make light of what they earn but don't know the time and energy involved, ask their famillies.
Something to ponder,
There are other proffesions out there that get paid whether they get a result or not, ie, Solicitors, Surgeons,Surveyors, Doctors, Plastic Surgeons etc etc.
A Real Estae agent can spend months on selling a property only to be cancelled out of his agency with not a cent to show for the late nights, weekends and countless hours on the phone and computer giving feed back to the vendor and following up potential buyers.
In the words of Stephen R Covey, "Seek first to understand, then be understood."
Yes I am a passionate Real Estate Agent Branch Manager from Whangarei.
How about if you are
How about if you are the highest bidder and the auction is passed in, if the agent pesters you for an increased bid you then bid down in 10k decrements - to meet the market avg.
Andrew; Ponder this. "Solicitors, Surgeons,Surveyors,
Andrew; Ponder this. "Solicitors, Surgeons,Surveyors, Doctors, Plastic Surgeons etc etc." are fee based structures. Real Estate agents are commission based. Any industry that is commission based, whether it be car salesmen, insurance agents etc. have only the same, one product to sell. That being the sale itself. Your job is a necessary part of the real estate industry but the nature of your compensation will always be viewed with suspicion, as you will know, through good times and bad.
I have to disagree about
I have to disagree about the "late nights, weekends and countless hours on the phone chasing potential buyer" by agents. We have been looking seriously to buy a house or a section to build on for at least a year now on the Whangaparaoa peninsula, and have been amazed at how useless the agents are. They quite often can't be bothered to return emails or phone calls, and on several occasions have 'forgotten' to find out information about the property that we have requested!! We have never had a telephone call from on agent after attending an open home. Our experience has taught us NEVER to sell a house through an agent.
Andrew, your comment about andrewj's
Andrew, your comment about andrewj's snippet >> Response to Andrewj comment, ""Never HAVE TO BE a buyer or a seller", is the sit on the fence attittude that will stop his children from growing in a world where buying and selling is a necessity.
You miss the point mate - he is saying buy when people need to sell and sell when people need to buy. There is nothing sit on the fence about that attitude.
Amanda - having trouble selling
Amanda - having trouble selling that Fishermans cottage in England are you?
No Lara we sold the
No Lara we sold the cottage May 2007 at the top of the market without using an agent even though we were then in New Zealand!
Andrewj touches on the point
Andrewj touches on the point that real estate agents love auctions. The main reason for this is that they are a guaranteed source of income, regardless of whether the property sells on the day. My understanding is that the fixed auction fee will invariably be $2000 plus when no sale is achieved; much higher when a sale is achieved of course. I am sure one of the real estate agents on this thread will correct me if I'm wrong.
Not a bad source of cashflow for real estate agents in "tough times".
Yet another conflict of interest to think through carefully whenever a real estate agent recommends that you sell via auction.
I was trying to say
I was trying to say the strongest man/woman is the one who can walk away. I dont like buying something that has never been so expensive, i like buying at prices lower than the peak. something that has fallen in Value then I have some safety. Im trying to teach my children to have the strength to turn their backs if the price is high,and never get into a position where you have to sell and cannot turn down the offer..Ive spent years at auctions, Id rather buy privately but in distressed times auctions are fine. In a falling market Auctions should peter out about the time the market has reached bottom, when real estate agents go off auctions then we should be close to ground zero.
Personally, apart from living in I suspect houses will be a bad investment for a very long time.
Time to move on try something new that requires less capital. Id still avoid debt. I dont like the colour of the storm clouds on the horizon. It may not be raining yet but the chance of it missing us is really really small.
Thanks expat.
I just heard on the
I just heard on the radio while driving home that on TV1 news will be an item tonight about an auction of 100 homes by Ray Whites where they have had great success - will be interesting to watch.
Dosser - we had 3 big real estate firms make a presentation to us when we were thinking of selling and the highest fee for the auctioneer was $500. They charge for advertising (ranged from $2,000 to $2,800) but I doubt they would make any profit from this and the auctioneer gets the $500 fee.
So doubt they get much profit out of auction/advert fees -they only appear to make real money if they get a sale through.
Never forget all you pundits
Never forget all you pundits ,in Real estate employment ,there are always positions, you can come aboard and get the big bikkies ,bearing in mind the average salesperson earns the huge sum of $18000?per year. The rules of the game are NO SALE NO FEE.Its the only profession where its ok to work for nothing until a sale takes place,most salespeople get in the vicinity to list and sell approx 55% of 85% the company takes their cut of the top.A good lister is like gold,it takes a long time to be totally proficient.Yet out of the blue can come a new kid on the block, feed of the top lister and get the same cut,the new kid gets the kudos ,forgetting that all the hard work has already been done.So all you pundits before you knock an industry ,you all think you know alot about,come join us we need people like you,you too can get the silver medals ,that are easy to come by in the easy money industry.
Lara said: ''I just heard
Lara said: ''I just heard on the radio while driving home that on TV1 news will be an item tonight about an auction of 100 homes by Ray Whites where they have had great success - will be interesting to watch''.
A great success? I just saw the TVNZ3 report - the bidding room looked half empty, the report spoke of 300 potential bidders (for 100 properties -hardly many), and then said only 8 out of 60 properties thusfar had sold - that would be a clearance rate of 13%?
The whole report was pretty negative, apart from the usual REs trying to talk it up.
A great success? I wonder what a failure counts as?
Confirmation of the auction flop:
Confirmation of the auction flop:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10545003
The mega-auctions were indeed a
The mega-auctions were indeed a good gauge of where the market is at the moment. Plenty of houses, and very few buyers. You still need interested buyers that have done all their homework.. yeah right. Still, it was a good experiment.
Auctions: I'm a 1st home buyer looking and think they're better for when the market is on the up. In a buyers market, I can't be bothered doing all the work on a house and might be outbidded. Why bother? I don't even look at a house that doesn't have a price on it or say by negotiation. Vendors need to put themselves in buyer's shoes. Buyers feel they've been stepped over (in the words of Fredo Corleone).. Why would I look at a house when I don't even know how much it is?
Real estate agents: Not all of them are bad. But I have seen some very dodge behaviour. Government may need to regulate them. They've regulated health practitioners, and now it's time other professionals step up to the plate.
Reality: No, it's not a good time to buy yet. And me all my 1st time home buyer friends know that and just refuse to buy until prices have come down considerably. People just can't afford these high prices. Interest rate drops and tax cuts included - we'll not go back till prices have dropped a lot further - and they will.
The general tone of most
The general tone of most forums like this one often degenerates into seeking blame. Regarding agents (I am one) I would tend to agree that there are some rogues out there, but no more than any other profession, and possible less. I do know that because the vulnerability of the people involved in the sale and purchase of residential property, any miscomunication or mistakes are magnified and the agent generally gets the blame. In a rising market the agen is blamed for talking it up, which is absurd! In a falling market the agent is also blamed for extracting unrealistic prices.
The agent has NOTHING to do with the market in general, but a skillful agent may find the best price for a property. I dont think I have ever heard a vendor complain about getting too much, nor do I hear vendors willing to sell at socialist prices. Most of the complaints come from buyers who want to purchase remuera on a birkdale budget.
We have to deal with endless queues of greedy little people who come armed with clipboards and grandiose ideas of importance who try to steal houses! Dear me, they dont realise a professional is paid only by the vendor and has a fiduciary responsibility to get the best price.
Since its all a matter of perception there a huge possibilty for the aforementioned complaints.
As for the money, yes some agents earn stratospheric amounts, a few more earn good incomes but by far an away most earn doodly dick! There are no paid holidays, no healthcare or super schemes.... For those that sit back and knock the sales profession I suggest you try it. Lets see if you can make it on no security! The fact is that most professional agents who have been around a long time are good people who have been well and truly tested in a public arena. I wonder how many of you would stand up to the level of job scrutiny that a busy agent deals with daily?
I for one welcome this correction as it will purge the profession of the get rich quick types and allow us to get on with our job which it to get vendors the best price given their circumstances in any market.
Rant over!
LOL - re; the mega
LOL - re; the mega auction - things are often not what they seem - it appears that a significant number of the properties were actually being sold by an agent of Ray White's:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10545070
Auctions? You would be nuts to want to buy at them IMO, there are so many opportunities for dodgy dealing.
Isn't New Zealand a wonderful
Isn't New Zealand a wonderful place!
The fact that we all have our opinions and are able to air them without fear of retribution in an open forum like this is truly wonderful. We can go on for ever and a day splitting hairs.
November 2009 will see the introduction of the Real Estate Agents Act. This will weed out scurrolous operators. It will also stop people from coming into the industry and taking the cream in the good times. There will also be a strong emphasis on occupational education of which you must attain a certain amount of credits during the year. About time i say! Fines introduced are hefty as well as the need for companies and individuals to have personal indemnity insurance. This in effect means the cost of being a Real Estate Agent increases dramatically. Take time, if you will, to study the Act and consider the contents if they were governing your industry?
I would like to read your response.
Response to Paul G,
Hear hear! Ours seems to be a task of constantly having to defend our proffession. No more i say! Let us go about our daily chores with the enthusiasm and unwavering ethic that has made our vendors and purchasers proud to employ us!
To you that responded to my comment, whenever you have a house to sell,call me and I will show you how it's done.
Kia Kaha! From a warm and sunny Whangarei.
Snow
I've been watching the listings
I've been watching the listings on the websites over the past 6 months and have been bemused to see the rise of the auction and tender as the market heads south, fast.
That said, the market prices still dont seem to have dropped enough to get the sales figures up.
Does anyone have anecdotal stories re: price movements in their areas?
Andrew and Paul G: I
Andrew and Paul G: I don't mean to bag your whole profession, as I know there are some pleasant agents to deal with. I hope you don't take it personally.. Agents do work hard and I trust you get rewarded. Thanks for the info regarding the 2009 Act, Andrew. I'm glad to hear your industry is moving forward, and especially glad that you're positive about it. I wish all Agents were like youselves. I work in the health industry, which was governed by the medical act which is now the updated heatlh practitioners competency assurance act. A lot of people, especially older people with experience, don't like having to upskill and be told how to toe the line. It requires a lot of extra work and commitment and cost, but it betters the profession.
expat: I picked up a property press for the Eastern Auckland area the other day. Compared to a year ago, there are definite drops in prices, and more by negotiation. Central Auckland hasn't reached that point yet. Agents preferring auctions still? Money up front from the Vendors. I can see why. If houses don't sell, there's a lot of work and very little back. My partner saw a house the other week that was up for auction. We don't go to auctions, but we rang to find out what it went for - but it was passed in (really? apparently for a price over 700 - yeah right). Auctions, still are a successful way of finding a serious buyer who has done their homework.. if they don't bid high enough, the vendor can then talk tough and negotiate. It's a very passive way of doing work though. Perhaps the Vendors (and agents) can do more? should they offer to do more of the homework at a cost to them if there is a serious buyer with an offer? eg building report, LIM etc.
Isn't the answer to Auctions
Isn't the answer to Auctions to not allow a vendor bid in any circumstances? If there is no bid, or a low bid then simply state "passed in, as under reserve price of $xxx" or simply "Passed in" and let the process continue from there. The only thing that I see as a problem is the concern by a buyer of being "done over" in one way or another. If the object of an auction is price discovery, then why camoflague the true process with what are widely regarded as dodgy bids?
I suspect that there will
I suspect that there will be those who will say,"You will never stop vendor bids, one way or another. Isn't it better to know about them, openly, from the floor?". But are they all open,from the floor? And to those who would thus remain sceptical of the process, I guess it's quod erat demonstardum.
Janet - if the auctioneer
Janet - if the auctioneer bids on behalf of the vendor he has to disclose the fact that it is a vendor bid, that's the law. An auction is a very open process and the buyers can eyeball each other and at least have some comfort that there was somebody else keen to buy it within $1,000 of their own final bid - a buyer will not be done over if he has only outbid the next highest person by $1,000 or $100 and if he bids more than an identified vendor bid then that's his choice. Vendor bidding is not allowed once the property hits the vendors reserve price. It's really quite a simple process and perhaps the auction agents need to do more to educate how it all operates.
Under the new Act buyers and sellers have to be given an approved guide to the buy/sell process before they sign up for a property and sellers will have a cooling off period after listing for sale.
Auction method is used for selling cars, art, furniture etc and don't seem to have too many complaints about the method in those areas.
Bevan the salespeople/agency earn nothing from an auction campaign unless the house sells - the auctioneer gets his fee and the other charges are for the high profile marketing and professional photographer.
Some firms may make a very small margin on the marketing however under the new Real Estate Agents Act which comes into effect next year all such margins must be disclosed to the vendor so that will no doubt be the end of that rort. I too applaud the new Act which will clean up the industry - anecdotal evidence says over 5,000 salespeople have already left in 2008 - only the experienced and successful will survive and most sellers will enjoy the experience of working with those people.
Most real estate companies would now provide a LIM report, Title Search Council Value Report and a Building Report up front if the owner has paid for them - LIM and Builders report could be as much as $1,000 per property so there is no way the real estate agency would pay for those and why should they - it's the owners responsibility and the odds of a sale in the current market are only around 6.4% chance given that there are 4,500 sales per month vs 70,000 approx for sale.
Some real estate companies will in fact agree to reimburse either half or the whole of the additional expenses by deducting from their fees the figure that has been spent on marketing, LIM, Builders report once the property has been sold. ie once we have a result we will come to the party - pretty fair and reasonable.
Many buyers will only look at homes that have an asking price, however in the Auction scenario or Negotiation buyers have very easy access to data - through council websites they can obtain the CV, from www.quotable.co.nz they can get an E-Valuer report, find out when the owner bought the home and what they paid for it last time and if necessary a Registered Valuation for approx $500. It's easier now to get this stuff in the information age than it ever has been - there are no secrets.
To clear up another misconception
To clear up another misconception - as far as I am aware here is how most real estate companies operate their commission structure:
Say $12,000 commission excl GST
Less $ 960 - 8% franchise fee to corporate group
$11,040 Balance split:
$5,520 to the real estate office/licensee
$2,760 to the salesperson who listed the property
$2,760 to the salesperson who sells the property
On average a salesperson in the current climate would make 8 sales per year and earn $44,160 if they are the lister and seller of those 8 properties.
From that deduct mobile phone, petrol, personal marketing, ACC levies etc, licensing, accountant fees, training etc and it just shows that it's not that lucrative for the hours put in at nights and weekends.
So there is not enough margin there for the company or the individual to personally spend $2,000 or $3,000 per property on advertising or marketing in high profile expensive publications.
AREINZ - thanks for the
AREINZ - thanks for the background info. I was interested in your comment about 4,500 sales per month vs. 70,000 properties fro sale - if you're right, that means it's currently taking about 18 months to sell on average.
Are you aware of any hidden discounts/kickbacks taken by unscrupulous agents for advertising/marketing costs?
IMHO.. CV values too have
IMHO.. CV values too have been vastly overinflated as property prices have rocketed past what they are *actually* worth. The RV/CV/QV/GV on a place is no better indication of what its worth than the Christmas fairy or real estate agent could tell you.
Try this next time you go to an auction / open home.
1. Take the land price from 1999 + 5% year on year increase to allow for inflation.
2. Add the cost to build an equivalent house *Brand New*.
3. Then minus 5-10% from that building cost for *every year in age of the house*, depending on its condition, to allow for wear and tear, devaluation, cost of updating and modernising, maintenance, etc.
Now you have your **actual** value of the property. The difference between that price and what the agent is telling you / reserve price is, now that is how much that property price is being over-inflated.
Well Matt working on your
Well Matt working on your market value of any given property i assume you have crunched many vendors to your way of thinking.How many properties have you gotten control off?
"Are you aware of any
"Are you aware of any hidden discounts/kickbacks taken by unscrupulous agents for advertising/marketing costs?"
I have never heard of anything like this. Marketing companies are very competitive and there isnt room for kickbacks. Remember the vendor only pays for marketing in commercial print publications which unfortunately seem high, but are actually very sharp pricewise.
The marketing of a property is to attract buyers, and the if the agent is getting a margin it would be tiny. There would be no advantage to an agent who did this. Some companies own share in property magazines but there is no profit in it as such. If fact I am surprised to hear of this at all. In other professions such as building the builder buys at trade and passes it on to you at retail. In real estate the agent carries all the in house costs and only gets paid if a sale is made. Its a great system, just ask anyone form the UK about levels of service.
Another factor to consider in NZ is that it is so damn easy to buy & sell property and there is no stamp duty, capital gains tax etc. Moreover you can simply plaster a sign on your fence if you really felt that bad about using the profession, no one signs a listing or sale and purchase agreement with a gun to their head!
"Well Matt working on your
"Well Matt working on your market value of any given property i assume you have crunched many vendors to your way of thinking.How many properties have you gotten control off?"
Typical negative sentiment that we deal with. Remember Jill, the buyers set the price, always has and always will. The vendor has an idea of price, that is in my experience is almost always high. In a rising market who cares because in 6 months the market will catch up and pay. But in our falling market (yes it is falling) allowing a vendor to live in dreamland may cost that person 50k if they refuse market price today and are forced to sell in 6 months.
Its all about trust and evidence.
AREINZ - I see ANZ/National
AREINZ - I see ANZ/National have now virtually ruled out loans with < 20% deposit. As I said before, the tightening of credit will have far greater impact than lowering of interest rates. I must say I am a little worried about what is in the fiscal stimulus package given govtal bias towards high house prices.
"IMHO.. CV values too have
"IMHO.. CV values too have been vastly overinflated as property prices have rocketed past what they are *actually* worth. The RV/CV/QV/GV on a place is no better indication of what its worth than the Christmas fairy or real estate agent could tell you. Try this next time you go to an auction / open home.
1. Take the land price from 1999 + 5% year on year increase to allow for inflation.
2. Add the cost to build an equivalent house *Brand New*.
3. Then minus 5-10% from that building cost for *every year in age of the house*, depending on its condition, to allow for wear and tear, devaluation, cost of updating and modernising, maintenance, etc.
Now you have your **actual** value of the property. The difference between that price and what the agent is telling you / reserve price is, now that is how much that property price is being over-inflated."
Another clipboard case, this formula may give some security but it has no relevance to value. What one person sees as a great house to live in another will see as a poor business opportunity.
Part of this boom/bust is driven by pure greed from speculators and homeowners who lost sight of the fact that a house is to live in, not the main money bank!
Excellent comments and honest advice
Excellent comments and honest advice and opinions. Thank you all.
Why would anyone ever pay
Why would anyone ever pay for real estate advertising. The agent/company is going to charge you in the vicinity of $17,000 - $20,000 commission (unless you make them bid for the listing through lowering their commission). You take a risk in choosing them as an agent but they are unprepared to risk buying advertising to get the job done. Their main expense is running ads with their photo and branding and they try to shift this expense onto the vendor. Don't fall for it.
At auction if there is only one bidder you will never receive their top price. If there is more than one bidder you will receive the second highest bidders top price + the auction increment but not the buyers top price. Auctions, don't do it.
Better give general listings to several agents. Tell them to bring their buyers best offers to you on a fixed date. Then play one agent off against another until they have pulled the best price from the buyers. If only one agent actually brings one genuine buyer's offer, bluff for a higher price, the agent will never know as long as the vendor keeps control of the process.
James - can I ask
James - can I ask where you have seen ANZ/National loan policy re: deposit stipulations?
Thanks in advance.
JOE its people like you
JOE its people like you that fires the bullets in shifty Real Estate dealings.So if you employed 6 tradesmen to build a wall for you AND THE ONE WHO PUTS ON THE TOP LAYER GETS PAID?THATS WHY NO HARDWORKING SALESPERSON WOULD GET INVOLVED IN A GENERAL LISTING,WOULD YOU.Seems you are someone who agents would tell you to get ******who would do business with such a devious loser.
ahhh James, I see it
ahhh James, I see it now. From tomorrow ANZ/National is bringing in 20% deposit cap:
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=1054...
Credit rationing, bang goes the first time buyer.
bang on Andy, and that
bang on Andy, and that will suck huge demand from the housing market - far more than will be entering on the basis of lower interest rates.
Jill no one hires 6
Jill
no one hires 6 tradesman on commission to build a wall . When you need 6 tradesmen to build a wall the head tradesman offers the job at a fixed price and pays his staff or subcontractors piece rates or hourly rates. If he places a sign next to the wall saying he's for hire he doesn't charge the wall owner an advertising fee.
If you are selling a house in a suburb and there are say six agents in the suburb they may have one really actively searching buyer each. Why would you sign an exclusive listing and cut yourself off from the other five active buyers in the market? Why would you give one agent a monopoly over the sale of your house?
When sellers do give an agent an exclusive listing and the agent doesn't get the job done in three months then the sellers invariably go with a general listing anyway. May as well go with the general listing in the first place and make sure the house is seen by all active buyers in the market.
Encouraging real estate agents to compete to sell your house to the highest bidder in the market rather than just compete for your listing is not as you suggest SHIFTY, its capitalism. Ive seen real estate agents on exclusive listing charge $18k for less than ten hours work, now that might be SHIFTY.
Here is another way to save thousands off the price if you are the buyer or thousands on the agents commission if you are the seller. When buyer and seller are negotiating and reach a mexican standoff say they are $15,000 apart get all parties including the agent to give a little to get the deal done. The agents don't like it but they always go for it so they can move onto the next sale.
Another first home buyer here-
Another first home buyer here-
I am not particularly positive about the 6 months of real estate agent interaction I've had so far. Many agents, not much actual useful information.
My concern is that the market seems to be completely illogical!
My perception is that the council doesn't have a clue how much land and house (combination) is worth. Not sure where they get there 'RV' figures from.
It is scary how little vendors know.-I was at an auction where there was only 1 bidder for a house we were interested in- young couple. I knew the house had to sell and this couple managed to 'negotiate' 100k more than their 1 and only initial bid!
I found out recently that property valuers actually go to RE agents to get valuations. This scares me- because the (commission based) RE agents are driving the markets. Knowone else seems to have a clue what a house is worth.
Yes I'm generalising, but I think you only have to look at what houses have been selling for in 2007 to validate my point.
Regards
Paul
I read (and this makes
I read (and this makes sense to me) that an auction will only ever get the second best price. i.e. the top bidder never has to disclose what their very top bid would have been, they only need to get above the second biggest bid to win. So should be good for buyers (although would need to be firm if you top bid below reserve and are then being pressured upwards in negotiations), not so great for sellers though. At the end of the day, the one person really wanting a sale is the agent. Sometimes the seller and/or buyer will also walk away feeling they got a good result, but only the agent is guaranteed to be happy with the sale.
You are dead right Hamish
You are dead right Hamish