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Double Shot Interview: Bernard Hickey talks to South Canterbury CEO Sandy Maier

Posted in News

By Bernard Hickey

South Canterbury Finance Chief Executive Sandy Maier has talked up the prospect of splitting South Canterbury's delinquent loans off into a 'bad bank', which would create a 'good bank' with enough capital to satisfy Reserve Bank capital adequacy rules due to kick in later this year. He was speaking after the release of South Canterbury's prospectus last week.

Maier also spoke in a long video interview below with interest.co.nz about South Canterbury's cash position, its dividend reinvestment rate, its ability to survive without a government guarantee from the end of 2011 and the health of Allan Hubbard. Among other details, he said:

* He was appointed by the board of South Canterbury, not by the government.

* South Canterbury's cash position was "uncomfortably tight" at the end of December and was still tight with "tens of millions of dollars" of cash in the bank, rather than the hundreds of millions of dollars it would prefer.

* South Canterbury plans to unwind its related party transactions by selling assets, finding alternative financiers or running down the loans.

* South Canterbury has not put any of its equity investments up for sale "with any sense of urgency because that's not how you get the best price."

* On reinvestment rates he said: "I have days at 38% and days at 65%. Generally reinvestment rates have been trending down for some months because South Canterbury has two constituencies of investors". The first group were around 40,000 'warm nosed loyalists to South Canterbury'. The second group were more recent arrivals who were investing because of the government guarantee.

* South Canterbury is planning roadshows this week promoting its new prospectus and beginning to offer un-guaranteed debentures.

* South Canterbury sees a long term future for itself as a finance company in area where banks are not competing, including equipment finance and rural lending.

* On the 'good bank, bad bank, equity investments: "We need to split the business into segments. Into a good company with close to a NZ$1 billion of compliant assets that are very financeable. We could seek partners in that, we could attract capital in that and it would have a certain amount of capital and it will fit the bill. There's a second pile of assets that are discontinued activities that are the larger real estate loans where we haven't done well at it and we've provisioned them down to a good level and they'll be managed for disposal. The last category is several hundred million dollars of things like South Island Farm Holdings and Dairy Holdings, which aren't good loans or bad loans. They are equity interests with some loans attached, and they need a different type of management and home and holder. Over time we'll start to manage those on a segmented basis and you'll find that depending how we do it, the amount of capital may not be anything like the rumours (NZ$400 million plus) of 600% of this or 400% of that. That would be a dumb way to do it.".

*On whether South Canterbury needs new capital: "Mathematically, depending on how you do it, we might get by with little or no capital. My suspicion is to make it all go, we probably will raise some new capital."

* George Kerr (PGC)'s Torchlight has prior ranking over secured debenture holders, using a facility in the trust deed for 7.5% of assets to have a 'first position'. "There's nothing unusual or sinister in it and it's quite handy."

* Maier confirmed that South Canterbury Finance would keep its extended government guarantee even if Standard and Poor's downgraded its rating below the BB rating required for the guarantee extension in the first place.

* Maier said South Canterbury Chairman and owner Allan Hubbard was actively involved in the business and healthy. "He is at South Canterbury virtually every day seven days a week at 6.30am, or in the adjoining office. He is active in our affairs. He carries on a spirited correspondence with depositers, with borrowers, with regulators and is a vital part of the business, and makes a hell of a contribution, not just in the equity. He is our chairman and he runs the board meetings and we're on the phone and on the end of memos very frequently. Going forward, part of this change, part of talking about independent directors, part of refreshment of the board, part of talking about potential equity, is a sign that we all know there must be a transition at some point and we've actually started that."

This was first published exclusively in our Daily Banking and Finance newsletter, which is for our paying subscribers. Find out more here.

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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28 Comments

[...] http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2010/04/19/d

[...] http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2010/04/19/double-shot-int... Canterbury Finance Chief Executive Sandy Maier has talked up the prospect of splitting South Canterbury’s delinquent loans off into a ‘bad bank’, which would create a ‘good bank’ with enough capital to satisfy Reserve Bank capital adequacy …. National Bank’s shiny black horse. A timeless, glossy and reliable steed; Westpac’s stick figures. Quirky and friendly if a little …er..thin.. TSB’s faux-hawk guy. New Plymouth needed some style. Rabobank’s sultry brunette. … [...]

Is it just me or

Is it just me or does anyone else prefer to see a NZ 'captain of finance' NOT look like he obtained his outfit from the local charity shop when he is undertaking an important interview?

Andy, To be fair to

Andy,

To be fair to Sandy Maier, he spends a lot of time in Timaru and was rushing around Auckland. Glad he came in. Informal interview, but hopefully plenty of useful information.

cheers
Bernard

......... huh , silly me

......... huh , silly me ...... and I thought andy was having a crack at you , Bernard ! [ Warren & Tarquain will be ever so relieved . ]

I am not sure where

I am not sure where Part II is but Part I convinced me. No straight answers, but evasion and waffle. Dairy Holdings loans appear not be performing. Re-investment rates are declining any way you spin it.

If that is that is the best SCF can offer then I believe the end is only a matter of time and asset deflation.

classic@Roger Thompson. Has to be

classic@Roger Thompson. Has to be post of year!!!

Roger Thompson Heh. I do

Roger Thompson

Heh. I do need a hair cut...

cheers
Bernard

To all I've updated with

To all

I've updated with Part II and Part III

cheers
Bernard

SCF is <em>ROCK SOLID!</em> Hubbard

SCF is ROCK SOLID!

Hubbard won't let me down.

My money is safe.

You'll see.

(Mummy, hold me...)

SCF is rock solid till

SCF is rock solid till dec 2011 at least,why not invest in their debentures nobody else is offering 8% and I dont want to see our finance industry controlled by aussies or GE money.

Bernard - thanks for the

Bernard - thanks for the interview. Good to see interest doing some real journalism. There is no question this company is struggling - survival seems very unlikely IMO, but credit to Hubbard for putting more assets in when he could have walked away - didn't see that from Hotchin/Watson.

The price history of SCF

The price history of SCF securities says much - there is now a 28% yield on their longer dated, unguaranteed SCF010:

http://www.nzx.com/markets/nzdx/SCF010/price-history

Curtis - alot of people

Curtis - alot of people were saying the same about Marac/PGC last year and they seem to have come right.

Shorts - very true. I

Shorts - very true. I doubt SCF could list and get away a public offer however. But Im sure Kerr has some grand plan - probably converting his current exposure to SCF and transferring some of these property loans to Torchlight (at a very favorable prices).

@Curtis – alot of people

@Curtis – alot of people were saying the same about Marac/PGC last year and they seem to have come right.

Don't bet on it as the reporting season is a coming

So, Bernard, would you invest

So, Bernard, would you invest a couple of hundred grand in SCF (government guaranteed) debentures? If so, why? If not, why not?

Roger - well at least

Roger - well at least someone got my dig at Bernard.........

# You Fools! Says: April

# You Fools! Says:
April 19th, 2010 at 7:39 pm

SCF is ROCK SOLID!

Hubbard won’t let me down.

My money is safe.

You’ll see.

(Mummy, hold me…)

LOL! oh, jezz you had me in stitches, I bet alot of people are feeling this way

"South Canterbury Finance Chief Executive

"South Canterbury Finance Chief Executive Sandy Maier has talked up the prospect of splitting South Canterbury’s delinquent loans off into a ‘bad bank’, which would create a ‘good bank’ with enough capital to satisfy Reserve Bank capital adequacy rules due to kick in later this year."

This senario sounds very similar to what those on wall st and the FED were suggesting to do to some of their banks "toxic assets". Quite frankly, it just won't work. SCF are going, going, ............

So do you reckon that

So do you reckon that if I go down to the BNZ and ask them to 'compartmentalise' my accounts; put my credit card balance to one side; leaving me with an unencumbered current account balance, they'd allow me to borrow more money against that current account, on the assurance that one day that new lendings activities will allow me to pay off the separated, grossed-up credit card balance ? Of course not! Why? Because I'm not insolvent. Put the net balance into a Bad Bank and let's get on with it. It's called the Government Guarantee. Why chance giving the 'goods bits' away at a discount and leaving the gross debts with the taxpayer?

[...] Blogging On Interest Rates,

[...] Blogging On Interest Rates, Economics & Business in New Zealand [...]

<blockquote># shorts Says: April 19th,

# shorts Says:
April 19th, 2010 at 8:58 pm

Curtis – alot of people were saying the same about Marac/PGC last year and they seem to have come right.

Being listed, they could force through a deeply discounted rights issue, plus they didn't need much money. Big differences...

My big question....Who pays for

My big question....Who pays for the deficit in the "bad bank" ? Only the shareholders ?
Think there is enough equity to withstand the losses in the "bad" bank ??...or is "Unc Bill" going to have to "top up" under the guarantee??

PeterR Where do you get

PeterR
Where do you get your misinformation from? The longer dated bond IS guaranteed - just like the shorter term one - all guaranteed until Dec11. I'd say 28% yield sounds mighty attractive, given that if SCF is going to fall over its more than likely going to happen before end of guarantee period.

"Bernard – thanks for the

"Bernard – thanks for the interview. Good to see interest doing some real journalism. There is no question this company is struggling – survival seems very unlikely IMO, but credit to Hubbard for putting more assets in when he could have walked away – didn’t see that from Hotchin/Watson."

How True.

Wayne. You are correct, but

Wayne.

You are correct, but I was working on SCF not failing till after the guarantee expires post the next election. Until then significant political efforts will go into keeping them going.

Someone tell me how divisionalisation

Someone tell me how divisionalisation is going to help them with their regulatory capital.

If they have about $1b in good assets (that belong in a finance company) out of a total of about $2b, then how will they finance the other billion without raising a lot more capital for that? Will wholesale investors debt finance a bunch of bad loans and private equity businesses under a separate entity?

What SCF needs to do to get into compliance with the new rules is sell off Helicopters NZ (and the helicopters on operating leases to them) and Scales Corp at a profit of at least $50m. (Whether this is possible I do not know.) This will take out about $50m of their equity (the convertible notes), leaving them where they are today on book equity, and improve their regulatory capital position to close to where they need to be. But they're talking about not selling these assets with any sense of urgency. I wonder if the trustee will give them another waiver after 31 May 2010.

I wonder why BH didn't ask him the hard question of whether or not SCF is making a money-go-round self-financed equity with those Southbury Corp convertible notes secured by prior ranking charge over SCF assets.