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Fitch Ratings places big 4 Australian banks and their NZ subsidiaries on credit watch negative

Posted in News

Fitch Ratings is threatening to complete a trifecta of downgrades of the big four Australasian banks, saying they have a weaker funding profile than other similarly rated peers due to their reliance on overseas, wholesale funding.

Fitch has put its ratings on Australia and New Zealand Banking Group and its subsidiary ANZ New Zealand, Commonwealth Bank of Australia and its subsidiary ASB, National Australia Bank and its subsidiary BNZ, and Westpac Banking Corporation and its subsidiary Westpac New Zealand, on ratings watch negative (RWN).

The credit rating agency currently has AA long-term ratings on ASB, BNZ and Westpac NZ and an AA- rating on ANZ NZ.

Like their Australian parents, the big New Zealand banks rely on offshore wholesales markets for about a third of their funding.

Fitch says the four banking groups are are justifiably highly rated.

"Nevertheless, the agency views the Australian major banks' ratings as under some pressure at their current levels."

"Specifically, the RWN for the four major Australian banks largely reflects Fitch's view that despite significant improvements, these banks continue to have a weaker funding profile than other similarly rated peers."

The banks are also subject to many of the same themes and trends as other banks globally including an uncertain macroeconomic environment and evolving regulatory regimes, Fitch says.

"Fitch expects to resolve the RWN within a short time frame and will incorporate an updated view of Australian banks' strengths, weaknesses and trends. The agency expects that any downgrades of the four major Australian banks' ratings are most likely to be limited to one notch with those entities currently rated at 'AA' most at risk."

Fitch's possible downgrades comes after rival Standard & Poor's downgraded the big four Australian banks and their New Zealand subsidiaries by one notch last December to AA- and after Moody's Investors Service cut the New Zealand banks to Aa3 from Aa2 last May.

The rating actions are as follows:

Australia & New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'AA-', on RWN;

-- Short-Term IDR: 'F1+', on RWN;

-- VR: 'aa-', on RWN;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

-- Support Rating Floor: affirmed at 'A';

-- Government guaranteed debt: affirmed at 'AAA';

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA-', on RWN; and

-- Subordinated debt : 'A+', on RWN.

ANZ National Bank Limited (ANZNB)

-- Long-Term foreign currency IDR: 'AA-', on RWN;

-- Short-Term foreign currency IDR: 'F1+', on RWN;

-- Long-Term local currency IDR: 'AA-', on RWN;

-- Short-Term local currency IDR: 'F1+', on RWN;

-- VR: 'a' unaffected;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

-- Government guaranteed debt: affirmed at 'AA';

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA-', on RWN; and

-- Short-term debt: 'F1+', on RWN.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- VR: 'aa', on RWN;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

-- Support Rating Floor: affirmed at 'A';

-- Government guaranteed debt: affirmed at 'AAA';

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-term debt: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- Subordinated debt: 'AA-', on RWN; and

-- Preferred stock: 'A', RWN maintained.

Bank of Western Australia (BankWest)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-term IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1'; and

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA', on RWN.

ASB Bank Limited (ASB)

-- Long-Term foreign currency IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term foreign currency IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- Long-Term local currency IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term local currency IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- VR: 'a' unaffected; and

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1'.

Colonial Finance Ltd. (CFL)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'AA-', on RWN;

-- Short-Term IDR: 'F1+', on RWN;

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA-', on RWN; and

-- Short-Term debt: 'F1+', on RWN.

National Australia Bank Limited (NAB)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- VR: 'aa', on RWN;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

-- Support Rating Floor: affirmed at 'A';

-- Government guaranteed debt: affirmed at 'AAA';

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Subordinated debt: 'AA-', on RWN; and

-- Preferred stock: 'A', RWN maintained.

Bank of New Zealand (BNZ)

-- Long-Term foreign currency IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term foreign currency IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- Long-Term local currency IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term local currency IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- VR: 'a' unaffected;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1'; and

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA', on RWN.

Clydesdale Bank PLC (CB)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'A+', on RWN;

-- Short-Term IDR: affirmed at 'F1';

-- VR: 'bbb' unaffected; and

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC)

-- Long-Term IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- VR: 'aa', on RWN;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

-- Support Rating Floor: affirmed at 'A';

-- Government guaranteed debt: affirmed at 'AAA';

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Market-linked debt: 'AAemr', on RWN;

-- Short-Term debt: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- Subordinated debt: 'AA-', on RWN; and

-- Hybrid capital: 'A', RWN maintained.

Westpac New Zealand Limited (WNZL)

-- Long-Term foreign currency IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term foreign currency IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- Long-Term local currency IDR: 'AA', on RWN;

-- Short-Term local currency IDR: affirmed at 'F1+';

-- VR: 'a' unaffected;

-- Support Rating: affirmed at '1';

-- Government guaranteed debt: affirmed at 'AA'; and

-- Unguaranteed senior unsecured debt: 'AA', on RWN.

Westpac Lenders Mortgage Insurance Limited (WLMI)

-- Insurer Financial Strength Rating: 'AA', on RWN

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

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6 Comments

Why are we not surprised. 

Why are we not surprised.  Interesting to see if the smiling and waving from Wellington continues. After a quick reflection  - yes it will. 

I predicted that as the

I predicted that as the finance coy sector was wiped out and the banks moved in to occupy that space that credit risk would move accordingly. Shocks are now being felt, and reported directly with the banks and umblemished reputations are now in the spotlight. This is in itself concerning. Whereas the media were brutal with the finance sector they exercised restraint with the banks. It will be interesting if they take the same approach if as reported the shite hits the provebial.... 

Time for JK to organise

Time for JK to organise drinks and sammies on the 9th floor for Fitch...a wink wink nod nod to Bolly is all he needs to relax the regs and allow the banks to push more drugs into the market...
And the debasement continues apace....savers being screwed and taxed ...what a laugh.
Meanwhile the fiscal deficit is growing...ever larger.....never ending debt....Are you ready for the day the IMF come to stay.

Conscious Media Network has

Conscious Media Network has been approached by a representative of global leaders and financiers from 130 nations to broadcast a statement about a new global economic restructuring arising in 2012.
 
http://www.cmn.tv/news/new-world-currency/
 
Wolly - with all the trouble on earth - I'm saving for my first house on Mars.
 USNASA- bank is providing a limit number of “Crater draws” (Eads) on Mars for a small annual fee of US$ 45.- for deposits in Amero’s. I’m currently holding a term deposit of 25’000.- for 7.55%
 

The Big Question  ?  How long

The Big Question  ? 
How long will it take, and will the old people have time to withdraw there funds ?
The special bond holders will be sitting pretty but what about the deposit holders .
The Goverment will have to come with gauratees soon or money will take flight. !
I hope JK is reading this.

Now its our turn.  Increased

Now its our turn.  Increased lending costs mean higher interest rates.  Higher interest rates sparks a flood of sellers resulting in lower asset prices.  Lower growth expectations forces central banks to lower lending to 1% but there are no liquid buyers to soak up the cheap money; except the 1% - who buy everything in sight.  Retired people and savers seeking yield, venture out of cash and buy AAA rated bank bonds.   The Banks face a credit crunch when overseas credit dries up.  Banks default on bondholders.