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What do you think floating mortgage rates will be at the end of 2011?

ANZ and National cut variable mortgage rates, but lift fixed rates

Posted in News

ANZ National has announced a raft of mortgage rate changes for both the ANZ and National banks, but the changes are surprisingly different across the two brands. ANZ has left its standard variable rate unchanged at 6.45%, but has introduced a new 'Simple Variable' rate at 5.69% that only applies to customers with an Loan to Value Ratio (LVR ) of 80% or less. Meanwhile National Bank is cutting its standard variable rate to 5.75% from 6.45%. ANZ is cutting its Flexiplus mortgage rate to 5.95% from 6.6%, but is increasing its 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 year rates by between 30-45 basis points. A full list of ANZ and other bank mortgage rates is available here.

National Bank increased its 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 year fixed mortgage rates by 30 to 50 basis points. National Bank's rates were marginally higher than for ANZ through 1, 2 and 3 year fixed rate terms, but identical for 4 and 5 year terms. Their rates have often mirrored each other in the past, suggesting ANZ National is trying to differentiate the brands in some way. A full list of National and other bank mortgage rates is available here. Speculation has brewed recently that ANZ National is looking to let its presence in New Zealand ebb away given its CEO Mike Smith is focused on growth in Asia and ANZ National's profits have slumped in the last year, much more than ANZ Banking Group's other arms. Banks have been reducing their variable rates in recent weeks as market conditions become more relaxed for very short terms, although they have been increasing their fixed rates slightly in line with higher rates in wholesale markets. Increasing demand to fix rates is pushing up rates in the market, although market expectations are also growing that the Reserve Bank will have to start increasing the Official Cash Rate from early next year. See interactive charts here of bank mortgage rates.

6 Comments

The banks don't know what

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The banks don't know what kind of train will pull into the station next either.

Of caorse they do..what goes

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Of caorse they do..what goes up, must come down, and what goes down, bounces up....
What with OCR at lowest levels, fed etc printing money, which will eventually lead to inflation....
If the banks have it right and I think they do..the floating will be near the current 2, 3...5 yr rate in 2, 3 ,5 yrs and the ocr with be about 1/3 lower.

OCR won't be lower -

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OCR won't be lower - the OIS is pricing in 44 bps in tightening to Mar 2010. IR Swaps still selling off - 2 yr sold off about 12 ticks in the last week - so look for higher 90d BKBM rate sets moving right out through the curve

@ Merv - I don't

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@ Merv - I don't think Steptoe meant that the OCR will be lower than it is now, I think he was saying that the OCR will be 1/3 lower than the 2, 3, 5 year rates in 2, 3 and 5 years time. I.E The OCR is usually sitting lower than the short term rates like it is now.

For example, in 2 years, the banks are saying the short term rates will be around 7.0%, and Steptoe is saying the OCR may be around 4.5 - 5.0%. I tend to agree.

Are your facts straight? I

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Are your facts straight? I am not trying to be a jerk, but I don't see how this makes total sense!

Thank's 4 A Great Article

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