Offers for readers

The comment stream

Reader poll

What do you think floating mortgage rates will be at the end of 2011?

Key says tackle housing supply first before looking at 'punitive' capital gains tax

Posted in News

Prime Minister John Key has stopped short of completely ruling out a capital gains tax, but has said the government should address restraints on new housing supply before imposing any 'punitive' tax such as a capital gains tax. Key told the Q&A programme a debate was going on in government over the issue of a capital gains tax, with Treasury in favour, but the IRD opposed. Key said countries with capital gains taxes had also experienced booms and it was not very effective. But he pointed to the Buckle Tax Working Group's review in New Zealand and the Henry review of Australia's tax system as part of the process of finding ways to improve the tax system. He reiterated that any changes would not happen in the current term and any suggestion of major reform would be put before voters. Here is the section of the interview below where TVNZ Political Editor Guyon Espiner asked Key about tax reform.

GUYON Okay you've talked about that, I want to take you to another area that people would see as being one of the central things in terms of actually lifting the ability to invest and grow more wealthy as a country. The Reserve Bank this week said pretty much, they warned that we were gonna enter possibly the same boom and bust cycle in housing. Are you going to do anything to make housing a less attractive investment for people in terms of investment properties, and try to shift investment into the productive areas of the economy, are you going to do anything about that issue? JOHN KEY Well firstly under Bob Buckle the government has established a Tax Working Group. Now that Tax Working Group has a wide range of participants and it's going to report back to the Minister of Finance at the latter part of the year, and it's having a look at all of the structure of the tax system, how it operates, where there are efficiencies, maybe where there are loopholes, maybe where there aren't. I'm gonna leave that working group to come back and report to the government and not again prejudice its outcomes on day one. GUYON Haven't you ruled out a capital gains tax? JOHN KEY Well I've repeatedly said I'm quite happy to say today, I personally don't like capital gains taxes. I don't think that they work very effectively, they certainly don't stop housing booms, I mean the United States, Australia and the UK, all have a form of capital gains tax on housing, and it hasn't worked, they all had housing booms, and in fact even within the bureaucracy in New Zealand, the Secretary of the Treasury is very supportive of a capital gains tax, the main policy advisors in IRD are opposed to one. So there's quite a debate, but one of the reasons why housing has been such an effective form of investment for New Zealanders is the system hasn't been working well, and the Minister of Local Government can talk about that, but the RMA has held back the lease of land, the Building Act's been highly inefficient, we haven't had the supply for what's been an increasing population. So let's go and tackle those issues first, a punitive tax won't necessarily just deal with the issue. GUYON On tax Bill English said this week when he was visiting Australia, that he kind of expected Australia to move on tax next year, and that we might have to respond. Are your tax cut agenda programme actually back on the agenda over this term? JOHN KEY Well again we delayed personal tax cuts reluctantly. GUYON But will you cut them if Australia does? JOHN KEY Not specifically because Australia does, but the point that the Finance Minister is making he's quite right. Australia's undertaking a thing called the Henry Review, so Henry "“ Lex Henry I think at the moment is out there reviewing tax in the Australian structure in the very same way that we are through the Bob Buckle Review. So what is going to happen is, we're ob going to go and have a look at what Australia does. Now we can't ignore the fact that our large Australian partner, the partner that we have a single economic market has been established with is undertaking tax review, otherwise we'd be too closing our eyes to the competitive threats around them. GUYON So it sounds like if they cut taxes you'll follow? JOHN KEY Well let's just have a look at what they do, they've got a different tax structure to us so we're not saying holus bolus we would sign up to what they're doing, we're simply just saying we would need to look at what happens and what comes out of that review in Australia, who knows how ambitious it will be.

"even within the bureaucracy in

0 points

"even within the bureaucracy in New Zealand, the Secretary of the Treasury is very supportive of a capital gains tax, the main policy advisors in IRD are opposed to one.

but one of the reasons why housing has been such an effective form of investment for New Zealanders is the system hasn't been working well, and the Minister of Local Government can talk about that, but the RMA has held back the lease of land, the Building Act's been highly inefficient, we haven't had the supply for what's been an increasing population. So let's go and tackle those issues first, a punitive tax won't necessarily just deal with the issue."

So he sees it as primarily a supply of land issue ((as does the 20 Corporate $14B assets (prior to present recession) Property Council))?

Is it that the IRD find it hard to assess CGT? Or can it be got around by the crafty?

What about Nevilles Land tax?

A capital gains tax does

0 points

A capital gains tax does not address the issue of why people invest in houses - there is simply no decent investment vehicle for the man in the street. The big name institutions simply fleece you with exorbitant management fees, hidden fees, and legalised theft by creating reserves from your money which you then lose.

So all of you out there pushing for a CGT - tell us where you are investing your money to get a decent after tax, after inflation, rate of return?

yes John, capital gains tax

0 points

yes John, capital gains tax did not prevent bubbles in the UK, US, and Aus but

1) UK and US never had a bubble as bad as us and now their markets are starting to look affordable again as the needed correction occurred
2) AUS reduced their tax by 50% under howard, so relative to savings it carries tax benefits.

JK, the central bankers favourite

0 points

JK, the central bankers favourite son, knows that it is the volume of money in circulation that causes inflation, deflation - Boom, Bust.
I am a little surprised that hes not keen on GGT, thinking maybe most of his rich mates who are in tune with bank/business cycles have already exited their property investments with their usual "miraculous" timing and GGT would now assist the middle class to much as they would be claiming losses in the crash.
Great solution he presents, lets convert productive land into more urban sprawl. The reason for this, as by now a few more a beginning comprehend, mortgages are a major part of credit creation mechanism, along with bonds and fractional reserve banking, every new mortgage that a new lender signs on the dotted line for is simply written into existance as a debt book entry and goes on to become a tradable commodity. When the lender pays those that build his house, that money generally ends up deposited back in the banking system where it is then expanded as further created credit by fractional reserve process.
And of course, if an increase in money/supply sees another speculative bubble in any market, not just housing, the owners of money in this nation wont want to be paying any tax on their money making money returns.

What about the massive profits

0 points

What about the massive profits going to land bankers.
Rich listers have been making their millions selling to migrants.
Developers sell to a local and overseas market.
Bring in a land tax.
http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/05/22/opinion-the-mer...

http://www.interest.co.nz/ratesblog/index.php/2009/05/19/opinion-the-cas...

The purpose of an effective

0 points

The purpose of an effective CGT isn't to stop asset bubbles but reduce the unbalanced amount of property investment compared to business investment in a normal enviroment, as Iain has pointed out asset bubbles are a money/debt supply issue.
Having a CGT tax on property investment (without the loopholes) would reduce the major incentive that influences investors decision to invest in property rather than shares/business and would change the "mindset' leading to a more balanced investment decision and a stronger economy.

As I suggested months ago,

0 points

As I suggested months ago, there is nothing quite like a tax review process to sidetrack the public away from the real issue and keep them accupied arguing the toss for years and years while the govt carries on doing bugger all to stop the expanding residential property bubble of madness. Guyon could have asked Key why he didn't put in place mortgage limits on residential loans. But no, that was not on the list. Why not?
There will be no action by this govt that restricts the steady market domination by the banks as they sign up the whole country into massive mortgage debt. Bubbles cannot expand forever and when this one explodes it will take the whole bloody country down. All we will be left with are the families destroyed, the land owned by the banks and two knighthoods being handed out for service to the country. Sir Bill English and Sir John Key. Some service that will have been!

André Says: "So all of

0 points

André Says:

"So all of you out there pushing for a CGT - tell us where you are investing your money to get a decent after tax, after inflation, rate of return?"

Right on Andre. It is naive to assume that if money is not borrowed to buy houses it will be borrowed to buy factories (or will that have CGT as well), business or invested in shares etc. Either it will not be borrowed, or if you you have money to invest, it will end up overseas. Who is going to trust finance companies or NZ shares.

All a CGT tax will do is push up the cost of housing (purchasing and renting). Extra supply will lower the cost (and it does not have to be urban sprawl, NZ should go higher density for many reasons) and raise the quality (which is desperately needed)!

as previously mentioned - get

0 points

as previously mentioned - get the 2 billion out of the big four, and goodness knows how much tax already due from private individuals and companies, speculators and anyone already owing tax (including family support etc) and we will not be needing any more taxes CGT or otherwise. it is about enforcing the rules, not just getting the honest to pay more to cover the shonky folk....

What a load of cwap....

0 points

What a load of cwap....

We have a fundimental problem and Key isnt going to address it....is that because too many of his core supporters are landlords I wonder? So we are going to build more houses we probably dont need, wasting resources and labour that could be productively used elsewhere....it seems democracy's achillies heel is pork barrel politics....too much self interest....

regards

Who's going to be building

0 points

Who's going to be building new homes to correct the supply balance when there are so many leaky buildings to be dealt to in the near future?

JK says: "but one of

0 points

JK says:

"but one of the reasons why housing has been such an effective form of investment for New Zealanders is the system hasn't been working well, and the Minister of Local Government can talk about that, but the RMA has held back the lease of land, the Building Act's been highly inefficient, we haven't had the supply for what's been an increasing population."

EXACTLY.

Hey ho, here we go

0 points

Hey ho, here we go around the mulberry bush again, anyway,

Bernard, it might be helpful if you could you try to ascertain what IRD's objections are please?

By the way, well said:

Banks hold out on business

http://blogs.nzherald.co.nz/blog/show-me-money/2009/7/19/banks-hold-out-...

And well said Finlay:

Cut the waffle and answer the question

http://www.stuff.co.nz/opinion/2607431/Cut-the-waffle-and-answer-the-que...

Not so well said John K....

Much of the boom was

0 points

Much of the boom was caused by private investors, after gong to seminars, refinance the home, then build/buy a new home either to mover up to or rent...then right off tax loss, often illegally, then pick up the capital gains...
If under the current system, everyone was honest, they then pay tax on profits..No problems
But the whole situation got way out of control, banks handing out 100+% finance, and the IRD, just not having the manpower to police the scams...and have had to create special 'task force'..at the expense of the honest tax payer.
The issue is about tax evasion and some rather dickey tax avoidance, all based on the of the IRD being swamped.

A capital gains would have simplified everything... which would have reduced the degree that the boom got way out of hand....

When Key goes to dinner

0 points

When Key goes to dinner parties and is chatting around the dinner table I expect he doesn't want to tell his friends, who probably own a lot of the houses that we rent and now can't afford, that he'll start taxing them. Why want to dampen the fun?

Monopoly must be fun on those evenings

"any changes would not happen

0 points

"any changes would not happen in the current term and any suggestion of major reform would be put before voters" but not before we have guided the debate down the right pathway which we have decided will lead nowhere. You see the real issue is keeping the public preoccupied, keeping them from forcing us to do something that might be a threat to the profits of the banks. The problem is too much debt and a most dangerous residential property bubble and we have decided the solution is to make sure the credit continues to flow strongly and the bubble is allowed to grow yet larger. You have to realise the public is like a lump of clay, you soften it up and then mold it into the shape you want.

Matt Nolan at TVHE has

0 points

Matt Nolan at TVHE has some interesting views on capital gains tax.

http://www.tvhe.co.nz/2009/07/20/capital-gains-tax-an-issue-of-structure...

cheers
Bernard

Anyone advocating tax as a

0 points

Anyone advocating tax as a market solution needs their head examined.

Mitch - so why is

0 points

Mitch - so why is it that for the past 7 years or so practically every discussion on property I've had with someone else has started with 'why don't you invest in property to reduce your tax rate'? And then usually followed by a comment on how rich somebody has got by selling their property when the value went up by a ridiculous amount. Nary a mention of tax paid on the increase in value...

Meanwhile I'm doing my part to support real growth with a small amount of shares in the R&D sector - and get nailed when the share price dives due to debt suddenly going out of fashion because of all the silly property investment. Do I get any tax breaks for supporting industry - hell no. So why isn't anyone else doing what I am - obvious answer, no incentive to do so.

Elephant in the room I think best describes this situation.

I suspect that you have

0 points

I suspect that you have not ever been subjected to a 'capital gains' tax?? As a US and NZ taxpayer, I can tell you that the capital gains tax I have experienced for most of my life is onerous.

1. it is expensive in terms of time and money with respect to the record keeping and professional services required. Example, you have held a property for 30 years. When you sell this you must have kept track of every capital improvement over this time. You must be prepared to defend against the IRD where they will say that your 'capital improvement' is actually a repair or maintanence expense.

2. Where you have shares, and you have added to the position over time - and you have held the position for a very long time, you must have all records. Any lost record leads to being unable to demonstrate the 'basis' of your investment - you are faced with a capital gains tax that is well above the actual gain. Also, you must account on the basis of first in, first out - if you sell out portions.

3. No nation that has got capital gains taxes discounts these for inflation, inflation created by the government itself. So, for example, you sell a house you purchased for $50K 20 years back - for $300K. The inflation may have averaged 4% over that time (which raises the issue of whose inflation number is correct) - over $60K of the 'capital gain' they will assess is NOT A GAIN. So, capital gains taxes confiscate capital!!!

The practice of flipping houses that you wish to discourage can be addressed by tightening current tax law in simple ways.
1. Reduce the amount of rental property 'losses' that can be deduced from other forms of income (tax shelter)

2. Reduce the depreciation rate allowed on rental properties (tax shelter)

3. Strengthen regulation that would consign 'flipping' houses to trading. Persons who are deemed traders do NOT fall into the capital gain category of taxation - thier 'flipping' income is regular income under current IRD regs - but enforcement should be tightened if flipping is to be stopped!

Capital gains tax slows investmet in productive enterprise, and may well cause a flight of capital to Singapore ect... (including mine)

More problems with capital gains taxes.

1. they distort the economy by causing decision makers to delay transactions beyond the ideal economc timing - in order to defer taxes into the next tax year.

2. once the capital gains tax is in place, tax hungry politicians start complicating the tax structure further - causing more economc distortions! In the US there are: short term capital gains tax (higher rates), long term capital gains taxes, various extreme distortionary rules - such as taxing gains into infinity, but only allowing $3,000 in capital losses against regular income etc etc ad nauseum. These are time consuming and require professional accountancy, often.

3. New Zealanders have not had these time and money wasting complications in their lives, therefore - and this is a huge isssue - they have not retained the necessary records of their lifetimes of investments. They will therefore have no means of proving the capital basis of their real property to the IRD - a catch 22 .

@Ken Shock "3. No nation

0 points

@Ken Shock "3. No nation that has got capital gains taxes discounts these for inflation, inflation created by the government itself."

Last time I looked, the UK did. You were allowed to increase the purchase price by the CPI over the period of ownership of any asset to determine whether you had made a 'real' capital gain. And you were allowed 2,500 pounds in capital gains free of tax per year on top of that- if you had owned an asset for 10 years and had made no other capital gains during the period, then you could make 25,000 pounds after inflation before you paid tax. I admit it's a good 10 years since I last checked.

As you say, a capital gains tax should discount for inflation. The income from term deposits etc. should also discount for inflation before it's taxed.

Don't see it happening though - governments like being able to crank up inflation to increase their tax take disprportionately from this stealth effect.

Interesting word use, CGT is

0 points

Interesting word use, CGT is "˜punitive' and elsewhere "˜complex' does that mean that existing taxes are not?

It seems self interest beats logic every time.

Empty buzz words Wellington that masquerade as policy "“ must have more productivity "“ and at the same time remain staunch defenders of the status quo that has delivered a crazy, underperforming and unbalanced economy demonstrate a similar warped logic.

How hard is it "“ more productivity requires more investment in productive activity, more investment requires an anticipation of a better return, without change the real economy can expect more of the kicking it has suffered for years.

If nothing changes nothing changes - the problem is systemic.

At least one man appears

0 points

At least one man appears to have seen the light:
"Australia faced a "long, tough and bumpy road" to economic recovery, with joblessness, interest rates and prices to rise long after the crisis began to ease, Prime Minister Kevin Rudd warned Saturday....Australia needed to embark on a decade of "nation-building...propeling record low interest rates higher, and returning the budget to surplus from 2016 would involve some "painful and unpopular decisions "

http://www.stuff.co.nz/sunday-star-times/business/2672535/Can-do

0 points

http://www.stuff.co.nz/sunday-star-times/business/2672535/Can-do-Kiwis-h...

"Trickle-uppers identified business tax cuts and greater tax deductibility for business expenses as the way to keep the economy going. Some even called for a flat tax rate across all income brackets.

They also wanted an end to what they saw as exploitative tax structures, such as the tax breaks for people buying investment properties. A significant number also wanted to see the introduction of a capital gains tax on investment properties and second homes."

"A significant number also wanted to see" - maybe it'd not be the political suicide some believe?

I think we all have

0 points

I think we all have to accept that productivity to those who have never practiced it (i.e. JK and BE) means getting bank loans for property even faster with less effort or perhaps FX trading by telepathy.

It's a sad day for me to realise the leader of this country is not in the slightest bit serious about productivity. I have given John the benefit of the doubt until now but it seems that was well and truly misplaced.

John and Bill, go make something and then go sell it internationally and suddenly you will understand what the real issues around productivity. Right now you dont have a clue as per the interview above.

Post new comment

The information entered here will appear with your comment.