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Top 10 at 10: Watch the Latvians; America's lost decade; What US$1 trln looks like; Dilbert
Here's my Top 10 links from around the Internet at 10am. I welcome your additions in the comments below or please send any contributions for tomorrow's Top 10 at 10 to bernard.hickey@interest.co.nz Interest .co.nz is idiot proof...
1. It pays to keep an eye on Latvia because it could be the flashpoint that destabilises the European banking system. If Latvia is forced to devalue, other Baltics may be forced to do the same, which could trigger banking and monetary chaos across Eastern Europe. That would force many of the Scandinavian banks and some of the Western European banks to book big, big losses. It would all kick off from there.
FTAlphaville has done a fine job here picking apart the latest results of Parex Banka in Latvia and how both its capital and its customer deposits have slumped. It seems this is all part of a standoff between the IMF and Latvia on a bailout necessary to protect the Lat from a slump versus the Euro. One to watch.
2. Here's something from French economics and markets website called GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin which predicts another September/October meltdown this year. Crikey. HT Rob via email.
Contrary to the dominant political and media stance today, the LEAP/E2020 team does not foresee any economic upsurge after summer 2009 (nor in the following 12 months) (1). On the contrary, because the origins of the crisis remain unaddressed, we estimate that the summer 2009 will be marked by the converging of three very destructive « rogue waves » (2), illustrating the aggravation of the crisis and entailing major upheaval by September/October 2009. As always since this crisis started, each region of the world will be affected neither at the same moment, nor in the same way (3). However, according to our researchers, all of them will be concerned by a significant deterioration in their situation by the end of summer 2009.
LEAP/E2020 believes that, instead of « green shoots » (those which international media, experts and the politicians who listen to them (5) kept perceiving in every statistical chart (6) in the past two months), what will appear on the horizon is a group of three destructive waves of the social and economic fabric expected to converge in the course of summer 2009, illustrating the aggravation of the crisis and entailing major changes by the end of summer 2009"¦ more specifically, debt default events in the US and UK, both countries at the centre of the global system in crisis. These waves appear as follows:
1. Wave of massive unemployment: Three different dates of impact according to the countries in America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East and Africa
2. Wave of serial corporate bankruptcies: companies, banks, housing, states, counties, towns
3. Wave of terminal crisis for the US Dollar, US T-Bond and GBP, and the return of inflation
3. Richard Berstein, a former chief investment strategist at Merrill Lynch, says in this opinion piece in the FT that America is forever blowing bubbles and is set for a Japanese-style lost decade.
Japan's post-bubble strategy during the 1990s supported excess capacity and stymied the post-bubble consolidation forces. Companies were deemed "too big to fail", and excess capacity (particularly in the financial sector) was kept alive. Basic economics states that significant overcapacity leads to lower product prices, and Japan's policies accordingly resulted in an extended period of deflation. Japan did have some inflation during its "lost decade", courtesy of China's boom, which soaked up Japan's excesses. However, deflation returned to Japan and overcapacity grew once the Chinese economy cooled.
US policymakers made a clear choice to follow a Japanese-like route when they declared that a select group of financial institutions were too big to fail, and devised the troubled asset relief programme (Tarp), term asset-backed securities loan facility, and public-private investment programme. The bankruptcies of General Motors and Chrysler may seem to run counter to this contention, because the government took swift action to reduce unnecessary productive capacity, but it will be interesting to see how the government deals with the resulting consolidation within the industries that supply carmakers.
4. George Magnus, a senior economic adviser at UBS, points out in this FT comment piece that the problem of an ageing population retiring too soon is one faced by most developed nations. New Zealand is no exception and it can only be a matter of time before the retirement age is extended, regardless of John Key's ludicrous promise to resign if he extends it.
Commonplace angst about the surge in public borrowing caused by the recession and the costs of fixing the banking system is a foretaste. In the US and the UK, the banking crisis could end up costing between 15 and 25 per cent of gross domestic product. However, age-related spending ( pensions, healthcare, disability benefits and residential care) already consumes a similar amount of GDP in the eurozone and Japan every year, and about 12-13 per cent of GDP in the UK and the US. This proportion is expected to increase in the next decades by about 7 per cent of GDP on average, a little less in the UK, and possibly as much as 10 per cent of GDP in the US, depending on the details of healthcare reform.
We cannot afford simply to hope that a solution will turn up. We should not believe for a moment that financial engineering, or adjustments to pensions, savings and benefit systems will provide an easy fix. The challenge is to think holistically about how we can raise the participation rate and productivity of people at work in general, and of women and persons aged over 55 in particular.
5. Here's a fun video showing what US$1 trillion actually means. Very clever viral marketing video too by US budgeting website mint.com.
6. Here's an extraordinary investigation by the Florida Herald Tribune into mortgage fraud in Florida during the housing boom and the practice of 'flipping'. This is where a house is bought and sold quickly among friends and associates to raise values and skim cash off ever rising mortgages. HT Mish. Does anyone know if this happened in New Zealand?
Here's more details in this piece
More than 100 properties from Palmetto to North Port doubled in price in a single day during the recent real estate boom. Proposed condos -- no more than ideas on paper -- flipped two or three times before anyone moved in. Some investors bought up dozens of houses within a few blocks. Within weeks or months, they flipped them at a profit.
A yearlong Herald-Tribune investigation has found that many of these sales cannot be explained by shrewd deal-making or as an innocent consequence of the real estate boom. Instead, they were manufactured by property flippers who found ways to drive up housing prices so they could make money at the community's expense.
7. The Bridgecorp pain goes on. Gareth Vaughan at Stuff (BusinessDay) reports that the Momi resort auction yesterday was postponed for a month "to allow potential bidders more time to do due diligence."
8. Matt Nolan at TVHE has an excellent post on the productivity debate, hitting back those, incuding Idiot/Savant, who say National wants to cut wages and big business doesn't invest enough in plant and machinery. This chart says it all. Business does invest in gear, yet we still have a big problem.

9. The New Yorker gets creative here with a mock memo from Goldman 'Vampire Squid' Sachs CEO Lloyd Blankfein to his staff after its recent motherlode profit.
Wanting to celebrate our renewed success is natural, but it's important that we don't go crazy here. Remember, ten per cent of the non-bank country is unemployed, and even those who are working have "real" jobs, where payment is proportional to the creation of a "product" or a "service." Those poor bastards. So I ask that, in celebrating our raping of the stock market, we show restraint in the following ways:
- Please limit high-fives and chest bumps to a dozen a day.
- Don't wear your crowns, except around the office.
- Stop paying for things in Monopoly money"”I understand it is the same as real money to us, but there have been some complaints.
- For now, let's take down the giant scoreboard that reads "Main Street: zero. Wall Street: a billion gazillion bajillion."
Furthermore, to avoid drawing criticism from the press, this year the bonuses, expected to be comically large, will be distributed in blood diamonds, which can be easily concealed in a briefcase so it looks like we're working.
I'd like to thank everyone who made this possible"”for a second time. Respect to President Obama for keeping us in the green. Thanks to the big guy upstairs (me). And let's not forget all the ordinary Americans, who, for some unfathomable reason, have refused to put us behind bars. We are literally taking money out of their wallets. Seriously, with these returns we are making Madoff look like a little kid with his hand caught in the cookie jar. Amateur!
10. China has announced it plans to 'mobilise' its massive foreign reserves by buying real assets globally, the FT.com reported. Here we go.
Beijing will use its foreign exchange reserves, the largest in the world, to support and accelerate overseas expansion and acquisitions by Chinese companies, Wen Jiabao, the country's premier, said in comments published on Tuesday.
"We should hasten the implementation of our "˜going out' strategy and combine the utilisation of foreign exchange reserves with the "˜going out' of our enterprises," he told Chinese diplomats late on Monday. Mr Wen said Beijing also wanted Chinese companies to increase its share of global exports.
The "going out" strategy is a slogan for encouraging investment and acquisitions abroad, particularly by big state-owned industrial groups such as PetroChina, Chinalco, China Telecom and Bank of China.

Bernard - many years ago
Bernard - many years ago I remember writing a letter to the paper in which I described the EU as 'evil'. Nothing has changed my view. Here we see Latvia first 'hyper-geared' and then busted - with all the tragic consequences for that country and its population. Just a dispensable pawn in a bigger strategic game. Maybe they would have been better off under the auspices of Mr Putin? Kiwi beware, one is inclined to enquire whether the same phenomenon is being cynically developed here?
Malcolm I'm not sure the
Malcolm
I'm not sure the EU or the Euro is evil. But I'm no fan of the euro. It pushes too many square pegs into round holes.
It's a good lesson for those wanting New Zealand to adopt the Australian dollar as a combined currency.
Check out the Australian dollar/NZ dollar cross in this chart series to see how we don't track each other much at all
http://www.interest.co.nz/charts/gallery4-20.asp
cheers
Bernard
China is mobilising alright,rumors abound
China is mobilising alright,rumors abound that they have just purchased 20 dairy farms in the central North Island. Sounds like its true as its now coming from thew bank manager.
Fits in with this announcement
http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/industries/2665563/Luring-overseas-inves...
these guys in line
http://www.stuff.co.nz/life-style/food-wine/2664945/Grape-glut-hits-wine...
My real estate contact informs me that as far as he is aware every vineyard and winery he knows of in NZ is on the market,if hes missed one let him know so he can get the listing . His words "NZ is way too expensive for %99 of overseas investors,most want to make a profit, minimum expectation not met"
If we sell farms to overseas investors we are shutting the doors on young keen Kiwi farmers, who just need the entry cost to fall so they can use their innovation and skills to grow a better industry. Farmers have debts banks and farmers dont want to lose so it looks like the overseas investors are being given the green light go for it. We are idiots we will become surfs in our own land.
Bernard - probably takes a
Bernard - probably takes a Pom to understand just what the EU is up to. The damage it has done to Britain is unimaginable! (not to mention the damage to NZ - interesting how you have not run a surplus on the current account since 1973, when Britain entered the then European Economic Community) As regards the Euro it is, of course, not really a currency at all. It is effectively a political expedient designed to rob member states of the last vestiges of their sovereignty. As Baron Nathan Mayer Rothschild once put it: "I care not what puppet is placed on the throne of England to rule the Empire, ... The man that controls Britain's money supply controls the British Empire. And I control the money supply." Thus far Britain has not entered the Euro. Yet one could powerfully argue that it too has been deliberately 'hyper-geared' - in advance of being busted - so it will have to embrace the Euro at a derisory rate of exchange some time hence.
As I expected some time
As I expected some time ago, Beijing learns quickly. John and Bill would like you all to learn to say: "we are happy to welcome you landlord" in Mandarin, (You better get it right because this is Noddyland's future thanks to a stupid Labour govt and the current mob) " huan ying fáng dÅng "
Wally, one of the consequences
Wally, one of the consequences of the EU. As I mentioned to Bernard, New Zealand has not run a surplus on the current account since 1973 - when Edward Heath betrayed both the British people and our dear Kiwi friends. Now you are reduced to selling off the family silver to try and offset all those plasma screen TVs, second-hand imported cars, and squandered capital used to bid up house prices!
"China is mobilising alright,rumors abound
"China is mobilising alright,rumors abound that they have just purchased 20 dairy farms in the central North Island. Sounds like its true as its now coming from thew bank manager."
A very strong reason why Governments should keep their sticky fingers out of our lives and let the markets self regulate, then our young farmers would get the chance they deserve.
The mess gets more and more messy each day and we are being fed the rot that we are coming out of the recession by our esteemed leaders. Oh yeah!
Also rumors that a large
Also rumors that a large corporate farmer is desperately trying to roll over a $80,000,000 loan (I like all the zeros) they too may have to sell to China. The Apple growers are really in trouble especially Organic growers. Grape growers are starring down the abyss,beef prices are back to old levels,$ is strong going to be a very tough year for many.Sheep is on a roll because of the strong Euro to UK Pound,could end any time. Dairy looks to be in for a hungry decade. I agree our wealth was built on access to the UK,it gave us a false sense of wealth and we still have not faced reality. Maybe we never will
Hearing that the Chinese are being very active Im thinking they may have purchased Carters Forestry - Dairy Stuff up. Hear they are looking for more,and also a corner stake in Fonterra?
from the NZ herald,why bother with the NBR anymore
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=1058...
Andrewj, are you practicing your
Andrewj, are you practicing your " huan ying fáng dÅng ". better get it right. Throw in some å©å¤´ while you're at it.
Andrewj said: "I agree our
Andrewj said: "I agree our wealth was built on access to the UK,it gave us a false sense of wealth and we still have not faced reality".
Andrew, I think this is far more important than most people realise - especially those political buffoons who go on about returning us to the top of the OECD. New Zealand became 'rich' and progressively developed all sorts of liabilities - particularly in terms of welfare - out of its unique relationship with Britain. The fact, however unpalatable, is that this country has never recovered from Britain's entry into the EU and, as you suggest, probably never will.
I remember Richard Kennaway telling
I remember Richard Kennaway telling me that the 50's gave us a false sense of wealth and we have hung onto the shirttails ever since.
I like this bit from Brian Fellow in the Herald
"There is a danger that
"There is a danger that people treat this recession as viral, something that we suffer through then can shake off and carry on as before."
"It is much more like a first heart attack, a serious wake-up call to change our ways on a sustained basis, or the next shock will be much worse."
That sums up the situation very well.
The populace at large, I think, believe that they are totally immune to having to make the necessary changes to their lifestyles. Which makes me mad as farmers and businessess are being constantly reminded by bureauracrats and politicians that they have to adapt to change.
Sally, Indeed markets do self
Sally, Indeed markets do self regulate... and look at the mess we are in.
If a little more regulation was applied to the big4, with their take on foriegn debt, call it Capital... lever it up and sell it to anything that moves approach to Business... we would not be in this mess.
Excessive credit is like Weapon of Mass Destruction... and like WMD's needs to locked away and never used... too many innocent people get hurt.
"In the midst of prosperity
"In the midst of prosperity the mind is elated, and in prosperity a man forgets himself; in hardship he is forced to reflect on himself, even though he be unwilling. In prosperity a man often destroys the good he has done; amidst difficulties he often repairs what he long since did in the way of wickedness". (King Alfred the Great: 849 - 899AD)
How about Fear is not
How about
Fear is not in the habit of speaking truth: Publius Cornelius Tacitus
Try? Do or do not.
Try? Do or do not. There is no "try". (Yoda)
How about: "never underestimate the
How about: "never underestimate the imbecility potential of men in high places" (Robert Beckman - London based American financial commentator during the 1980s)
"You don't need a weatherman
"You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows." Bob Dylan.
What about... "Businessman he drinks
What about...
"Businessman he drinks my wine, Plowman diggs my earth... but there is not one among them who knows what any of it is worth" also Bob Dylan [all along the watchtower]... and ironically it's in a conversation between a "Joker and a Thief'
On a more serious note
On a more serious note I mentioned property rights earlier. In consideration of this I understand that a major 'Chinese buy-up' of dairy farms is occurring. Perhaps more learned posters than myself can opine on this matter. If it comes to a choice between the property rights of Kiwis (e.g. the people of Christchurch over water) - or the interests of a Chinese consortium - to whom will the likes of Mr Key and Mr English defer? Moreover, some time hence, might we see Chinese 'security forces' invited into New Zealand to assist with issues of order? Don't laugh - because this is exactly the scenario that threatens within the EU if a pan European defense force emerges as planned. Natives restless in London - send in EU armed forces selected from a 'non-sympathetic' domicile. Exactly what happened during the Roman occupation and the Iceni uprising. History may not repeat but it sure does rhyme!
Mouse - excellent post.
Mouse - excellent post.
Malcolm. How much do you
Malcolm. How much do you think Beijing would pay for the right to a naval base on the Chathams?
Wally, remember what happened to
Wally, remember what happened to the Falkland Islands. Was it because Argentina really wanted them for emotional reasons (despite, unless I am much mistaken, having never administered them). Or could it have been because of their strategic significance - with the possibility of massive oil reserves down there in the Southern Ocean? Why do people think China is taking such an interest in our smaller Pacific neighbours to the North?
Wally... Is'nt Fiji in the
Wally... Is'nt Fiji in the process of out bidding us?
What are they offering Mouse,
What are they offering Mouse, one thug or two?
I, for one, welcome our
I, for one, welcome our new insect overlords - Kent Brockman
Instead of scapegoating, chaps and chapesses, and indulging our monkey genes, it is more to the point to accept that we have all in some way cheerfully lived an unsustainable lifestyle, using OPM.
Now, the bill is falling due.
And, as net debtors, we don't have the luxury of many choices. Because choices are for creditors....
So no amount of arm-waving aboot 'sovereignty' and chanting 'We don' need your feelthy money', alters this situation.
Those who have the gold, make the rules. Just ask Goldman 'Giant Vampire Squid' Sachs....
I don't know Wally... maybe
I don't know Wally... maybe a Momi or two?
Looks like China is finally
Looks like China is finally making good on its noises to push for a new global reserve currency. I guess it's a bit difficult to do anything about it whilst you're holding trillions of dollars in the currency you're complaining about.
So now they're going to buy pretty much everything in sight at exactly the time when virtually everything is for sale, get rid of all those dollars and then get serious about a new reserve currency.
The US could be in trouble if it doesn't pull finger, and if we're not careful NZ is going to be snapped up cheap by a nation not exactly known for its clean, green, environmentally friendly and sustainable way of doing things.
Waymad: It is not a
Waymad: It is not a case of 'scapegoating' - rather it is a case of consequences! Kiwis have been fed a load of 'old Tom' about 'proud independent nationhood' ever since I have lived here. This was especially the case under Ms Clarke et al. Yet it was all nonsense because every day the country was going deeper into debt to finance a standard of living that had not been earned. Throughout that time the standard technique to silence all debate - about the implications for sovereignty and the nation's birthright etc - has been to make accusations of scapegoating and racism etc. Its not even as though this is original - such techniques are simply borrowed from Britain's sneering elite (many of whom are now starting to worry about the changes taking place - because those affected are no longer just the laughed at 'working class').
Agree, Malc. Consequences beckon. My
Agree, Malc. Consequences beckon. My motive in warning not to indulge in scapegoating etc was simply to name the process - because as you can see from other threads (notably the bank inquiry one), the gathering of a mob and issuing of torches and pitchforks proceeds apace.
For a leetle amusement, the full quote, courtesy Jonah Goldberg over at National Review, runs like this, from the 'Deep Space Homer' episode:
Kent:
"Ladies and gentlemen, uh, we've just lost the picture, but what we've seen speaks for itself. The Corvair spacecraft has apparently been taken over "” 'conquered' if you will "” by a master race of giant space ants. It's difficult to tell from this vantage point whether they will consume the captive earth men or merely enslave them. One thing is for certain: there is no stopping them; the ants will soon be here. And I for one welcome our new insect overlords. I'd like to remind them that as a trusted TV personality, I can be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their underground sugar caves."
As Bernard would say, I don't have any underground sugar caves.....
Check this out you lot.
Check this out you lot. Seems to be ok on this blog!
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/8164070.stm
Very interesting stats!!
Waymad, one of the themes
Waymad, one of the themes I have written on is the coming of the mob. Ultimately, of course, the fault lies with ourselves for insisting on a standard of living that we have not earned. You are right - where were the protesters over the banks when everything was leveraging upwards? Its only when the music (bread and circuses) stops that the mob turns nasty. Before that they were congratulating themselves on being so prescient in 'hyper-gearing' their finances and buying all those crummy rentals. Got asked some years ago, when I was on holiday in England, what I thought about the long-term prospects for New Zealand. The 'Zimbabwe of the South Pacific' was my immediate response - I do hope I am proved wrong because this really is a great country to live in!
Wally, Compelling stats alright. Someone
Wally, Compelling stats alright. Someone should point this out to steven Joyce.
How right you were, Malcolm.
How right you were, Malcolm. Zimbabwe was one of the most wonderful countries in the world to live. Mind you, it was called Rhodesia, then, and I am sure my comment will not sit well with all. Maybe it was as New Zealand was in the '50's when the Minister of Labour knew the individual names of all the unemployed here. Times change, let's hope the future for us all here, now, is for the better and does not follow in the footsteps of Mugabe.
Malcolm, Not all of us
Malcolm, Not all of us have insisted on a standard of living that we have not earned... some of us have lived frugally and prepared as best we can for these times... All I want now is a fair shot at the Cheese... but alas now I have to compete with the Chinese who have gained their wealth at the expence of externalising costs to their populace and the environment... and Bill's putting the welcome mat out for them. Gee thanks Bill.
Mouse, many Kiwis work extremely
Mouse, many Kiwis work extremely hard - and are highly innovative to boot. This is just like their Pommy counterparts. The tragedy is that there is not enough of them - and even the hardworking are forced to divert absurd proportions of their income to taxation, levies, and interest payments etc. One of the shocking possibilities (I guess just like Zimbabwe) is that the need to assuage the mob will deliver horrific inflation - thus wiping out the savings etc of the frugal. Incidentally, isn't Zimbabwe receiving a lot of 'investment' from China. Maybe Harriet can advise us. Obviously the benefits there have been enormous!
I left in '63, Malcolm,
I left in '63, Malcolm, so I can't say. But I assume the copper mines and Kariba Dam power will be of some attraction to others.
The cheese was flogged off
The cheese was flogged off a long time ago mouse, unfortunately whther you participated or not, it has been consumed.
One fears the next generation(s) wont pay for it, leaving only the chinese or insect overlords to step in.
Regardless, whoever is left working, will essentially be a slave to supporting the retired and crippling national debt repayments.
(Unless the immigration floodgates are flung open)
mouse, yeah it blew me
mouse, yeah it blew me away. I kept seeing thousands of tons of copper being used to make the engines and build the infrastructure! heheehe.
Ron Paul, on Credit Debt
Ron Paul, on Credit Debt etc 21/07/09
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pSRvnXtrmtE
Malcolm, Inflation is primarily the
Malcolm, Inflation is primarily the product of Money Printing, it is essentially a form of taxation... the moment Mr Bollard utter the words "Quantitive Easing"... I will be down to NZRB WGTN office with my Loud Hailer and my best angry voice.
mouse, don't you mean 'Squeak'
mouse, don't you mean 'Squeak' ?
Wally... thats what I need
Wally... thats what I need the Load Hailer for.
Mouse - someone who understands
Mouse - someone who understands what inflation is! Too many pieces of paper calling themselves dollars chasing insufficient cheese.
http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php/featuredcommentaryview?art_
http://www.prudentbear.com/index.php/featuredcommentaryview?art_id=10247
Andrewj you are right about
Andrewj you are right about the China buying into NZ dairy, however, they are no mugs and are having a hard time making the $ stack up. They keep asking for extensions on due diligence on deals that our banks think are done!
stevel, well you have to
stevel, well you have to give them time to send word back to stop buying milk powder.
SteveL Interesting,I take it, like
SteveL
Interesting,I take it, like me they like to think that one day you may make a profit,no one works as hard as a Kiwi farmer for so little pay except perhaps the Chinese. The debate we missed was do we want foreigners supporting our land prices and keeping Kiwis out. I would have thought that such an important debate should have been in the election manifesto. I mean we already have 1 in 4 of us born somewhere else it, apparently isnt enough so now we need more foreign ownership. Where will it start to work ,1 in 2 of us born somewhere else. I thik its time we faced the real monster in the cupboard.
We only have so much resource,to me the more we divide this resource the poorer we will be. Selling it off such as Telecom I dont see as a success but if you fail first time just do it more and bigger
These farms would be sold Chinese or not, what are they going to deliver that a Kiwi farmer with energy and the removal of the huge capital hurdle would give us anyway?
We know Fonterra is broke, so the Chinese are the likely buyers,this is a big change for every Kiwi and I dont see any benefit except to extract some greedy people from some poor decision making.
Hi Bernard thanks for the
Hi Bernard
thanks for the update always a good read and my favorite site.
I was looking through the Netguide Awards released today and was very surprised not to see Interest .co.nz feature
Know where I will be.
Revs
Mouse As soon as governments
Mouse
As soon as governments regulate it, they that decide who the winners and losers will be. And in all cases the winners are the special interest groups favoured by the politicians in power.
The losers are the special interest groups not favoured. But typically their day will come when their politician friends are in power.
The terminal losers, of course, are individuals that are forced to accept the rules decided upon by a small band of corrupt, corrupted and corruptible political and special interest groups.
Re QE - we don’t
Re QE - we don't need our own pixies, the FED and the BoE has more than enough for everyone.
LATVIA. I live there and
LATVIA.
I live there and have since independence. It's a tiny place with one city and a lot of trees and lakes. The Latvians run a strange economy but there is no reason to feel that the Russians might do better for the country than the EU. The Russians are still the enemy. Every Latvian family has had members in Siberia. The Russians are still horrible neighbors. The problem is more to do with Swedish and German banks making euro loans at low interest rates than any problem with the EU as such. This fueled a great big party. The same happened in Lithuania and Estonia ( and Poland and Slovinia and Slovakia etc etc) It also happened in Iceland if one wants to remember back a few months. It also happened in Spain and etc etc
There is no lesson in Latvia for the rest of Europe that are not already factored in. And there is no lesson for NZ. Full Stop.
ric so happy that you
ric
so happy that you have pointed this out - it never appears that way in the world's press. The problems are not in the country of origin as so many are too quick to ascribe it to. The problems are back in the countries that financed a booming property market that inevitably locked out local residents and offerred them nothing but astonishing envy - however short lived that was. The Latvians are probably beginning to realise there are advantages to NOT putting up with POMS behaving badly on stag weekends and exploiting their women (who need to make rent). NZ residents and Australian banks are warned.
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