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Business defaults up almost 50% in year to October, Veda says (Update 1)
November 5th, 2009Credit checking firm Veda Advantage has reported a 49.5% increase in the number of defaults by commercial borrowers in the year to October. Commercial defaults in the month of October were up 55% on the same month a year ago.
Veda Managing Director John Roberts says “business always lags about 18 months behind consumers when it comes to a downturn in the economy and they are really hitting the tough times now.”
Update 1 includes full Veda statement and powerpoint below.
Thousands of businesses up and down the country are falling victim to the recession as increasing numbers default on loans and lines of credit.
Veda Managing Director John Roberts says “business always lags about 18 months behind consumers when it comes to a downturn in the economy and they are really hitting the tough times now.”
Latest statistics from the country’s largest credit bureau Veda Advantage show a 49.47 percent increase in commercial defaults for the year to October 2009 compared with the same period last year. Defaults for the October month alone are up 55.34 percent compared with the same month last year.
“These are the numbers which explain, in part, why the government’s tax take is down. Businesses are experiencing tough trading conditions and now we are seeing the end result – businesses can’t pay their bills. This means they are paying less tax and for some – businesses closing down, shops empty and people losing their jobs.”
Mr Roberts expects commercial defaults to get worse before they get better. “The recession may be technically over, but the bad times still have to feed through the economy and businesses will be feeling it well into next year. The tough times aren’t over yet.”
Veda Advantage statistics also show consumer defaults on loans and credit up 4.29 percent for the first 10 months of the year compared with the same period last year. Defaults by Baby Boomers remain high at 16.80 percent for the same period.
Consumer applications are down for credit cards (13.38 percent), personal loans (4.05 percent) and hire purchase (20.45 percent) for the January to October period compared with the same 10 months in 2008.
Mortgage applications are bucking this trend. Applications are up 20.20 percent for the 10 month period compared with same period in 2008. Baby Boomers are leading the charge. Applications for mortgages by those aged 44 to 62 are up 25.63 percent for the period.
Tags: Commercial defaults, John Roberts, Veda
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November 5th, 2009 at 1:00 pm
Yes, but South Canterbury Finance hasn’t had any provisions or write downs of assets since 30 June. Maybe it is because if they recognised any such losses it would put them in breach of the capital requirements under their trust deed? Go figure
November 5th, 2009 at 1:05 pm
David
Visited your site,interesting reading. I consider SCF a dead duck ,the only debate is when it drops out of the sky how hard it lands and who’s underneath it. Sites like yours are an important source of information since the mainstream media became so politicised,keep up the good work.
November 5th, 2009 at 3:23 pm
AndrewJ, Thanks for the kind comments. I’ve been surprised the media are not reporting SCF ran out of cash in late October, they don’t seem to think it’s a major issue for SCF’s situation and prospects. I think the next event for SCF is credit rating downgrade, and if its below BB, as I expect, then we’ll see who still backs it, and if it can raise any capital while rated below BB and without much prospect of an upgrade.
PS, your comments are also welcome on my blog