Manufacturing sector in “modest” expansion mode, but not yet strong enough for job growth, BNZ says
Thursday, February 11th, 2010Activity in New Zealand’s manufacturing sector expanded for the fifth month in a row in January and is sitting “modestly in expansion mode,” BNZ economist Doug Steel said. However, the recovery has come off a low base after seven quarters of decline, and growth is still not strong enough for net job creation in the sector, Steel said.
The BNZ-Business NZ Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) recorded a seasonally adjusted expansionary score of 52 in January, down slightly from 53 in December. A score above 50 indicates an expansion of activity in the sector, while a score below 50 indicates contraction.
January’s PMI indicated “classic signs of a sector in the early stages of recovery,” Steel said, and was consistent with BNZ’s view that manufacturing GDP posted positive growth in the fourth quarter of 2009.
Forward indicators suggest the employment situation in the sector would turn around mid-year, Steel said.
“For now, in the manufacturing sector, rising productivity – the result of production picking up and employment lagging – is turning profitability around. In fact, according to the January Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, profitability in the manufacturing sector has just ticked positive for the first time in six years. Long may it last,” he said.
Here is the release from Business NZ:




