GDP
Roger J. Kerr sees another bout of US dollar strength as markets re-price Fed interest rate cuts. But will the higher US inflation continue?, he asks
15th Apr 24, 7:43am
2
Roger J. Kerr sees another bout of US dollar strength as markets re-price Fed interest rate cuts. But will the higher US inflation continue?, he asks
Roger J Kerr notes another blockbuster US jobs rise. And looks at what is driving the rise of the USD. He also wonders if the RBNZ will push-back against market interest rate pricing
8th Apr 24, 9:18am
3
Roger J Kerr notes another blockbuster US jobs rise. And looks at what is driving the rise of the USD. He also wonders if the RBNZ will push-back against market interest rate pricing
Roger J Kerr says US bond market worries about inflation should start to abate as they become more comfortable that the decline in inflation is not stalling and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in June. He also looks at US job data
1st Apr 24, 9:00am
3
Roger J Kerr says US bond market worries about inflation should start to abate as they become more comfortable that the decline in inflation is not stalling and the Fed will be cutting interest rates in June. He also looks at US job data
Squirrel's David Cunningham argues the Reserve Bank should start cutting interest rates on April 10
31st Mar 24, 8:00am
188
Squirrel's David Cunningham argues the Reserve Bank should start cutting interest rates on April 10
ANZ economists say the recent published drop in GDP data 'seems to have given things a decent shunt south' in respect to business confidence
28th Mar 24, 1:23pm
49
ANZ economists say the recent published drop in GDP data 'seems to have given things a decent shunt south' in respect to business confidence
ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey shows a sharp fall with sentiment 'likely affected by recession headlines'
28th Mar 24, 10:46am
23
ANZ-Roy Morgan consumer confidence survey shows a sharp fall with sentiment 'likely affected by recession headlines'
David Hargreaves suggests it's time we looked purely at the number of migrant arrivals - rather than 'netting off' the figures against departures
27th Mar 24, 7:41am
122
David Hargreaves suggests it's time we looked purely at the number of migrant arrivals - rather than 'netting off' the figures against departures
Independent economist Brian Easton wonders if Nicola Willis is hinting that the Coalition Government will have to back down on key promises it made in Opposition
25th Mar 24, 8:31am
30
Independent economist Brian Easton wonders if Nicola Willis is hinting that the Coalition Government will have to back down on key promises it made in Opposition
Roger J Kerr says the root cause of the current economic downturn has to be sheeted home to just bad management – particularly Government fiscal policy management and RBNZ monetary policy management in response to the Covid pandemic
25th Mar 24, 8:17am
3
Roger J Kerr says the root cause of the current economic downturn has to be sheeted home to just bad management – particularly Government fiscal policy management and RBNZ monetary policy management in response to the Covid pandemic
The Budget Policy Statement will likely show the Government getting to an operating surplus one year later than hoped
24th Mar 24, 6:01am
102
The Budget Policy Statement will likely show the Government getting to an operating surplus one year later than hoped
NZ is in recession – so far there are few signs the government has a plan to stimulate and grow the economy
22nd Mar 24, 1:27pm
46
NZ is in recession – so far there are few signs the government has a plan to stimulate and grow the economy
New Zealand’s gross domestic product per person dropped 0.7% during December quarter as retailers offloaded inventory
21st Mar 24, 10:48am
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New Zealand’s gross domestic product per person dropped 0.7% during December quarter as retailers offloaded inventory
Roger J Kerr says the Fed will not be changing their view or stance due to recent oil price-induced increases in wholesale prices
18th Mar 24, 9:11am
3
Roger J Kerr says the Fed will not be changing their view or stance due to recent oil price-induced increases in wholesale prices
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
17th Mar 24, 6:01am
59
GDP figures out in the coming week might be, in the words of one economist, 'as flat as a pancake', - but this of course is in a country that grew its population by 2.8% last year, meaning many more hands are producing only exactly the same outcome
[updated]
Coalition Government plans to press ahead with tax cuts and pursue economic growth as Treasury warns the downturn could go deeper
15th Mar 24, 1:41pm
70
Coalition Government plans to press ahead with tax cuts and pursue economic growth as Treasury warns the downturn could go deeper
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
13th Mar 24, 9:34am
46
Kiwibank economists say central banks will ultimately need to have looser inflation targets in a 'world of rapidly rising, climate-related, costs
Roger J Kerr says US rate cuts are going to happen and that confirms continuing USD depreciation as the Feds cuts well ahead of all other central banks
11th Mar 24, 8:14am
2
Roger J Kerr says US rate cuts are going to happen and that confirms continuing USD depreciation as the Feds cuts well ahead of all other central banks
Stats NZ says the volume of residential building work dropped 2.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in the December quarter - but non-residential construction rose 4.6%
6th Mar 24, 11:19am
15
Stats NZ says the volume of residential building work dropped 2.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis in the December quarter - but non-residential construction rose 4.6%
Household spending data shows that - not unsurprisingly - food has been a big contributor to increased costs, while we've been trying to save with decreased spending on communication and recreation
5th Mar 24, 2:19pm
10
Household spending data shows that - not unsurprisingly - food has been a big contributor to increased costs, while we've been trying to save with decreased spending on communication and recreation
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
4th Mar 24, 11:41am
23
Kiwibank economists say that after some 'ferocious barking' and 'a lot of huffing and puffing' about potential interest rate hikes, the RBNZ has 'stripped off their wolf skin'
Roger J Kerr says from past performances we all should have known that Governor Orr would take the opportunity to, yet again, wrong-foot the markets
4th Mar 24, 8:51am
4
Roger J Kerr says from past performances we all should have known that Governor Orr would take the opportunity to, yet again, wrong-foot the markets
ANZ economists continue to think there’s a high chance that forthcoming data will show more work needs to be done by the Reserve Bank to return inflation to its target in an acceptable time frame
29th Feb 24, 1:27pm
14
ANZ economists continue to think there’s a high chance that forthcoming data will show more work needs to be done by the Reserve Bank to return inflation to its target in an acceptable time frame
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
28th Feb 24, 2:13pm
104
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% and says risks to the inflation outlook are now 'more balanced' but there is a limit to its ability to 'tolerate upside inflation surprises'
Roger J Kerr says the Australia-US exchange rate is likely to surge higher faster and further than the NZ dollar-US dollar rate over coming months
26th Feb 24, 8:08am
3
Roger J Kerr says the Australia-US exchange rate is likely to surge higher faster and further than the NZ dollar-US dollar rate over coming months
New Zealanders are spending like its 2017 as high interest rates sap retail sales volumes
23rd Feb 24, 5:57pm
46
New Zealanders are spending like its 2017 as high interest rates sap retail sales volumes