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Direct FX

BoE continues to hint next interest rate move will be higher, market disagrees; strong rise in Yen creating headaches for BoJ; rise in NZD coming from commodity rally and USD weakness
12th Apr 16, 1:50pm
BoE continues to hint next interest rate move will be higher, market disagrees; strong rise in Yen creating headaches for BoJ; rise in NZD coming from commodity rally and USD weakness
Asymmetric rate setting concerning Fed Chair; expect USD to find greater levle of support; NZD moves lower on commodity price falls
5th Apr 16, 2:29pm
Asymmetric rate setting concerning Fed Chair; expect USD to find greater levle of support; NZD moves lower on commodity price falls
Deal flow influenced by terrorist attacks; USD receives support following upbeat Fed commentary; eyes on US non-farm payroll report due at weekend
29th Mar 16, 2:15pm
Deal flow influenced by terrorist attacks; USD receives support following upbeat Fed commentary; eyes on US non-farm payroll report due at weekend
Global economic concerns to play major role in US monetary policy; more dovish than expected Fed statement sees NZD/USD spike towards 69c
22nd Mar 16, 3:22pm
Global economic concerns to play major role in US monetary policy; more dovish than expected Fed statement sees NZD/USD spike towards 69c
Expect volatile week for fx markets as central banks hold meetings; stimulus warranted in Japan but BoJ unlikely to deliver, Fed and BoE expected to leave rates unchanged
15th Mar 16, 1:43pm
Expect volatile week for fx markets as central banks hold meetings; stimulus warranted in Japan but BoJ unlikely to deliver, Fed and BoE expected to leave rates unchanged
Key commodities have turned the corner, iron ore up 19% and oil on cusp of recouping all 2016's losses; AUD leading the charge among the majors; Chinese growth target 6.5% to 7%
8th Mar 16, 1:45pm
Key commodities have turned the corner, iron ore up 19% and oil on cusp of recouping all 2016's losses; AUD leading the charge among the majors; Chinese growth target 6.5% to 7%
Weakening NZ data and cooling outlook could see RBNZ cut rates; equity market rally increases demand for risk sensitive currencies like NZD
1st Mar 16, 3:08pm
Weakening NZ data and cooling outlook could see RBNZ cut rates; equity market rally increases demand for risk sensitive currencies like NZD
Thought of Britain leaving EU sends GBP to lowest level since March 2009; heavy buying of commodity currencies sees NZD/USD break resistance levels
23rd Feb 16, 3:13pm
Thought of Britain leaving EU sends GBP to lowest level since March 2009; heavy buying of commodity currencies sees NZD/USD break resistance levels
Markets worried over effectiveness of further central bank action; challenges ahead in light of sharp volatility and significant contraction in global markets; another step up in credit concerns
16th Feb 16, 2:01pm
Markets worried over effectiveness of further central bank action; challenges ahead in light of sharp volatility and significant contraction in global markets; another step up in credit concerns
Spike in global fear and anxiety levels; JPY surges 5% against USD; risk off selling sends NZD & AUD lower
9th Feb 16, 2:43pm
Spike in global fear and anxiety levels; JPY surges 5% against USD; risk off selling sends NZD & AUD lower
Negative interest rate announcement in Japan catches market off guard; US Fed dials back rate hike expectations; NZD trading with a firm tone
2nd Feb 16, 2:50pm
Negative interest rate announcement in Japan catches market off guard; US Fed dials back rate hike expectations; NZD trading with a firm tone
RBNZ interest rate cut expectation lifted on low inflation data; decline in dairy pricing suggests bias for lower interest rates; weaker local data and risk off selling holding NZ dollar down
26th Jan 16, 2:09pm
RBNZ interest rate cut expectation lifted on low inflation data; decline in dairy pricing suggests bias for lower interest rates; weaker local data and risk off selling holding NZ dollar down
Oil price weakness as sanctions lifted on Iran; Chinese authorities look reactionary and confidence in their abilities declining; global growth forecasts under threat already
19th Jan 16, 2:26pm
Oil price weakness as sanctions lifted on Iran; Chinese authorities look reactionary and confidence in their abilities declining; global growth forecasts under threat already
Yuan and Shanghai stock index tumbles on fears of slowdown in China; JPY benefactor from heightened volatility; NZD & AUD sold off against USD
12th Jan 16, 2:28pm
Yuan and Shanghai stock index tumbles on fears of slowdown in China; JPY benefactor from heightened volatility; NZD & AUD sold off against USD
Road to interest rate normalisation in US a long one; NZD well bid against AUD and many other trading partners
23rd Dec 15, 11:40am
Road to interest rate normalisation in US a long one; NZD well bid against AUD and many other trading partners
Risk off selling hits commodity currencies; Fed set to hike for first time in 9-years; continued rout in energy markets and recent cracks in junk bond market causing headaches
15th Dec 15, 2:18pm
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Risk off selling hits commodity currencies; Fed set to hike for first time in 9-years; continued rout in energy markets and recent cracks in junk bond market causing headaches
RBNZ rate cut expectations heightened on pessimistic global commodity price outlook; US looks set to hike following solid non-farm payrolls data; continued volatility likely
8th Dec 15, 2:41pm
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RBNZ rate cut expectations heightened on pessimistic global commodity price outlook; US looks set to hike following solid non-farm payrolls data; continued volatility likely
Failure of ECB to meet market expectations will force a squeeze on the Euro; RBA expected to keep interest rates unchanged; a miss in US employment data will disrupt Fed plans
1st Dec 15, 2:54pm
Failure of ECB to meet market expectations will force a squeeze on the Euro; RBA expected to keep interest rates unchanged; a miss in US employment data will disrupt Fed plans
Soggy euro trading ahead of ECB meeting; AUD standout performer as RBA rate cut looks likely; NZD/USD relinquishes gains to trade under 65c
24th Nov 15, 2:14pm
Soggy euro trading ahead of ECB meeting; AUD standout performer as RBA rate cut looks likely; NZD/USD relinquishes gains to trade under 65c
Risk appetite dampened following terrorist attacks; heavy trading in EUR continues; NZ Q3 retail sales report has had little impact on NZD
17th Nov 15, 2:23pm
Risk appetite dampened following terrorist attacks; heavy trading in EUR continues; NZ Q3 retail sales report has had little impact on NZD
Market expectation is now 70% chance of US rate hike; pressure on ECB for December rate cut; dovish rhetoric from BoE sees no interest rate change in near term
10th Nov 15, 1:51pm
Market expectation is now 70% chance of US rate hike; pressure on ECB for December rate cut; dovish rhetoric from BoE sees no interest rate change in near term
RBA likely to hold if market pricing is accurate; lack of inflation in Eurozone front of mind for ECB; global dairy auction and unemployment key drivers for NZD
3rd Nov 15, 2:28pm
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RBA likely to hold if market pricing is accurate; lack of inflation in Eurozone front of mind for ECB; global dairy auction and unemployment key drivers for NZD
China's PBoC surprises market with rate cut; BoJ the closest of the major central banks to making an interest rate decision; US Fed almost certain to hold and RBNZ expected to follow suit
27th Oct 15, 4:19pm
China's PBoC surprises market with rate cut; BoJ the closest of the major central banks to making an interest rate decision; US Fed almost certain to hold and RBNZ expected to follow suit
Small chance of Fed rate hike in December; argument against raising rates centres on low US inflation; markets susceptible to swings in sentiment and commodities
13th Oct 15, 1:49pm
Small chance of Fed rate hike in December; argument against raising rates centres on low US inflation; markets susceptible to swings in sentiment and commodities
Fed want to hike but held back by global environment; rate hike in US could trigger emerging market credit events; further easing from ECB and BoJ likely
6th Oct 15, 1:13pm
Fed want to hike but held back by global environment; rate hike in US could trigger emerging market credit events; further easing from ECB and BoJ likely