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Government

Economist Brian Easton says the coalition party agreements are mainly about returning to 2017 when National lost power. They show commonalities but also some serious divergencies
4th Dec 23, 8:22am
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Economist Brian Easton says the coalition party agreements are mainly about returning to 2017 when National lost power. They show commonalities but also some serious divergencies
Roger J Kerr struggles to make sense of the Reserve Bank's latest 'stringent' message
4th Dec 23, 8:02am
16
Roger J Kerr struggles to make sense of the Reserve Bank's latest 'stringent' message
In the second part of his preview of 2024, David Hargreaves examines whether a combination of new Government policies, rampant migration and an enlivened housing market could undermine efforts to get the economy on a sound footing
3rd Dec 23, 8:00am
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In the second part of his preview of 2024, David Hargreaves examines whether a combination of new Government policies, rampant migration and an enlivened housing market could undermine efforts to get the economy on a sound footing
David Hargreaves explains what he is looking for in the economy in 2024 as we wait to see if the battle against inflation really can be won
2nd Dec 23, 10:23am
17
David Hargreaves explains what he is looking for in the economy in 2024 as we wait to see if the battle against inflation really can be won
David Hargreaves has a look at the economic developments in the past year and lines these up against what the expectations were at the start of the year
1st Dec 23, 9:44am
50
David Hargreaves has a look at the economic developments in the past year and lines these up against what the expectations were at the start of the year
Latest RBNZ figures show a $71 million rise in non-performing housing loans during October, while across the whole banking system there was a rise of $237 million in non-performing loans
30th Nov 23, 4:14pm
32
Latest RBNZ figures show a $71 million rise in non-performing housing loans during October, while across the whole banking system there was a rise of $237 million in non-performing loans
Economist Brian Easton assesses Winston Peters' past performance as a cabinet minister and finds that Peters has been 'a reasonable but not outstanding minister' showing very good political skills - but mediocre policy ones
27th Nov 23, 9:14am
6
Economist Brian Easton assesses Winston Peters' past performance as a cabinet minister and finds that Peters has been 'a reasonable but not outstanding minister' showing very good political skills - but mediocre policy ones
Roger J Kerr says the fundamental premise of lower US inflation, equals lower US interest rates, equals a lower US dollar still holds as compelling today as it was in early 2023
27th Nov 23, 8:52am
4
Roger J Kerr says the fundamental premise of lower US inflation, equals lower US interest rates, equals a lower US dollar still holds as compelling today as it was in early 2023
The picture the commentariat presents of Winston Peters is a misleading caricature. If we don’t try to understand the complexity of the man, we cannot understand what is going on in New Zealand politics, writes economist Brian Easton
20th Nov 23, 8:12am
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The picture the commentariat presents of Winston Peters is a misleading caricature. If we don’t try to understand the complexity of the man, we cannot understand what is going on in New Zealand politics, writes economist Brian Easton
[updated]
Economists are reviewing their inflation and interest rate forecasts after new Stats NZ pricing information suggests the rate of inflation in the current quarter may be slower than expected
15th Nov 23, 8:24am
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Economists are reviewing their inflation and interest rate forecasts after new Stats NZ pricing information suggests the rate of inflation in the current quarter may be slower than expected
[updated]
Stats NZ says food prices 'fell across the board in October'; Stats NZ has also released a new monthly series of pricing data to give more timely inflation information; airfares now dropping quickly, rents still rising, tobacco up sharply
14th Nov 23, 11:07am
23
Stats NZ says food prices 'fell across the board in October'; Stats NZ has also released a new monthly series of pricing data to give more timely inflation information; airfares now dropping quickly, rents still rising, tobacco up sharply
New Zealanders’ adherence to the values and processes of democracy is being put to the test, writes Chris Trotter
13th Nov 23, 10:00am
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New Zealanders’ adherence to the values and processes of democracy is being put to the test, writes Chris Trotter
Economist Brian Easton draws attention to the complexities of implementing a politician’s promises or popular demands and says we are going to be disappointed because once again many manifesto promises got fudged in the heat of the campaign
13th Nov 23, 9:28am
2
Economist Brian Easton draws attention to the complexities of implementing a politician’s promises or popular demands and says we are going to be disappointed because once again many manifesto promises got fudged in the heat of the campaign
Roger J Kerr says the continuous switching by global investors between “risk-on” and “risk-off” mode over the course of the last year is reflected in the up-down-up pattern of the US equities Dow Jones Index
13th Nov 23, 8:58am
4
Roger J Kerr says the continuous switching by global investors between “risk-on” and “risk-off” mode over the course of the last year is reflected in the up-down-up pattern of the US equities Dow Jones Index
ANZ economists are still forecasting another Official Cash Rate hike next year and say domestic inflation is still sky high, and yet to capitulate, while 'a lot still needs to go right' for the OCR to not need to eventually go higher
7th Nov 23, 1:40pm
17
ANZ economists are still forecasting another Official Cash Rate hike next year and say domestic inflation is still sky high, and yet to capitulate, while 'a lot still needs to go right' for the OCR to not need to eventually go higher
The first lesson Christopher Luxon will have to learn is that being Prime Minister is not at all the same as being CEO. Political power is always and everywhere a matter of negotiation, writes Chris Trotter
6th Nov 23, 10:23am
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The first lesson Christopher Luxon will have to learn is that being Prime Minister is not at all the same as being CEO. Political power is always and everywhere a matter of negotiation, writes Chris Trotter
Economist Brian Easton says there is a view that the world economy is entering a period of higher inflation and higher nominal interest rates, but who knows? Presumably New Zealand has to follow
6th Nov 23, 9:46am
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Economist Brian Easton says there is a view that the world economy is entering a period of higher inflation and higher nominal interest rates, but who knows? Presumably New Zealand has to follow
Roger J Kerr says US dollar bulls are hastily reversing their long-USD positions as the scenario for next year of US interest rates decreasing well ahead in time of all others starts to become a higher probability
6th Nov 23, 9:09am
Roger J Kerr says US dollar bulls are hastily reversing their long-USD positions as the scenario for next year of US interest rates decreasing well ahead in time of all others starts to become a higher probability
Just as the Reserve Bank appears to be turning the inflation battle in its favour, here comes the double trouble of rampant immigration and a refreshed housing market
5th Nov 23, 6:00am
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Just as the Reserve Bank appears to be turning the inflation battle in its favour, here comes the double trouble of rampant immigration and a refreshed housing market
Latest RBNZ figures show just a small rise in overall non-performing housing loans in September - though separately there was a noteworthy rise in consumer borrowing
31st Oct 23, 4:26pm
6
Latest RBNZ figures show just a small rise in overall non-performing housing loans in September - though separately there was a noteworthy rise in consumer borrowing
Economist Brian Easton says the more informed an economist is, the more they keep their head down during elections
30th Oct 23, 8:32am
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Economist Brian Easton says the more informed an economist is, the more they keep their head down during elections
Roger J Kerr says an RBA interest rate hike next week would certainly propel the AUD/USD exchange rate higher, and the NZD/USD rate will follow
30th Oct 23, 8:14am
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Roger J Kerr says an RBA interest rate hike next week would certainly propel the AUD/USD exchange rate higher, and the NZD/USD rate will follow
Brian Easton says while Claudia Goldin won the 2023 Nobel Economics Laureateship and may have progressed our understanding of women in the economy, that has not resolved all the issues
23rd Oct 23, 9:28am
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Brian Easton says while Claudia Goldin won the 2023 Nobel Economics Laureateship and may have progressed our understanding of women in the economy, that has not resolved all the issues
Roger J Kerr sees the US playing a very high-stakes 'game' that cannot last, raising the risks of an American recession. The USD is over-valued and until it comes down, American interest rates will stay high
23rd Oct 23, 7:00am
11
Roger J Kerr sees the US playing a very high-stakes 'game' that cannot last, raising the risks of an American recession. The USD is over-valued and until it comes down, American interest rates will stay high
Roger J Kerr says policy initiatives from the new Government should attract inwards capital and portfolio investors
16th Oct 23, 8:37am
4
Roger J Kerr says policy initiatives from the new Government should attract inwards capital and portfolio investors