Finn Robinson
ANZ economists say services-sector inflation is showing no signs of slowing and should that continue we may see inflation 'get stuck' above the targeted 1% to 3% band
7th Mar 23, 11:43am
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ANZ economists say services-sector inflation is showing no signs of slowing and should that continue we may see inflation 'get stuck' above the targeted 1% to 3% band
The Reserve Bank will be looking for any signs that the jobs market is cooling when new figures are released in the coming week. David Hargreaves says it might not get these signs. Not yet, anyway
29th Jan 23, 6:00am
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The Reserve Bank will be looking for any signs that the jobs market is cooling when new figures are released in the coming week. David Hargreaves says it might not get these signs. Not yet, anyway
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
25th Jan 23, 4:12pm
55
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
ANZ economists change their call and now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the Official Cash Rate by 50 points next month, rather than the signalled 75 points; Kiwibank economists see peak OCR of 5% - 'enough is enough'
25th Jan 23, 11:00am
162
ANZ economists change their call and now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the Official Cash Rate by 50 points next month, rather than the signalled 75 points; Kiwibank economists see peak OCR of 5% - 'enough is enough'
[updated]
Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate has remained at 3.3%; but private sector hourly wages have risen more than anybody forecast - which could have big ramifications for interest rate rises; RBNZ says employment situation 'not sustainable'
2nd Nov 22, 11:00am
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Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate has remained at 3.3%; but private sector hourly wages have risen more than anybody forecast - which could have big ramifications for interest rate rises; RBNZ says employment situation 'not sustainable'
[updated]
Searing domestic inflation has the financial markets now picking a 75-point rise to the Official Cash Rate from the Reserve Bank next month and a peak OCR of over 5%
18th Oct 22, 11:01am
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Searing domestic inflation has the financial markets now picking a 75-point rise to the Official Cash Rate from the Reserve Bank next month and a peak OCR of over 5%
ANZ economists see inflation getting back to targeted levels by the middle of 2024 but think there are 'significant risks' that inflation will remain 'too high for too long'
7th Sep 22, 9:10am
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ANZ economists see inflation getting back to targeted levels by the middle of 2024 but think there are 'significant risks' that inflation will remain 'too high for too long'
Beating inflation will likely require a sustained period of higher interest rates and slower economic growth if things like indexing wage growth to the previous year's inflation get entrenched, ANZ economists say
6th Sep 22, 9:38am
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Beating inflation will likely require a sustained period of higher interest rates and slower economic growth if things like indexing wage growth to the previous year's inflation get entrenched, ANZ economists say
Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate has risen to 3.3% from 3.2%, while private sector hourly wages have risen 7%
3rd Aug 22, 11:10am
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Statistics New Zealand says the unemployment rate has risen to 3.3% from 3.2%, while private sector hourly wages have risen 7%
David Hargreaves assesses the possibilities and prospects ahead of the release of labour market data next week that will likely show the country's unemployment rate hitting a new low and the biggest rates of pay rises in well over a decade
31st Jul 22, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves assesses the possibilities and prospects ahead of the release of labour market data next week that will likely show the country's unemployment rate hitting a new low and the biggest rates of pay rises in well over a decade
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
18th Jul 22, 1:53pm
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ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
Annual inflation is widely expected to hit a 32-year high of at least 7% when the latest official data is released - but the real issue is whether this will be the peak
15th Jul 22, 9:07am
90
Annual inflation is widely expected to hit a 32-year high of at least 7% when the latest official data is released - but the real issue is whether this will be the peak
ANZ economists say rising wages and strong savings should prevent consumer spending falling rapidly though they do think consumption growth 'will slow to a crawl' from the second half of the year
7th Jul 22, 7:50am
28
ANZ economists say rising wages and strong savings should prevent consumer spending falling rapidly though they do think consumption growth 'will slow to a crawl' from the second half of the year
Statistics New Zealand says private sector wage costs rose 3.1% in the past year
4th May 22, 11:04am
25
Statistics New Zealand says private sector wage costs rose 3.1% in the past year
Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
21st Apr 22, 2:22pm
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Economists are tentatively suggesting the 6.9% annual inflation rate might be somewhere near the peak, but they don't see high prices subsiding any time soon
The forthcoming inflation figures are set to have a '7' in front of them for the first time in over 30 years; the real question is what this does to 'inflation expectations' and how ingrained price rises may become
18th Apr 22, 9:00am
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The forthcoming inflation figures are set to have a '7' in front of them for the first time in over 30 years; the real question is what this does to 'inflation expectations' and how ingrained price rises may become
ANZ economists say latest survey results shows urgent need for RBNZ to hike rates; ANZ sees likely annual inflation of 7.1% as of March quarter end
12th Apr 22, 11:42am
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ANZ economists say latest survey results shows urgent need for RBNZ to hike rates; ANZ sees likely annual inflation of 7.1% as of March quarter end
ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank will need to 'move aggressively' to defend its inflation target from people's rising expectations - and that won't be good for economic growth
23rd Mar 22, 8:30am
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ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank will need to 'move aggressively' to defend its inflation target from people's rising expectations - and that won't be good for economic growth
This week's December quarter GDP figures will show a recovery from the sharp fall in September but all eyes will be on what the figures point to in the more problematic months ahead
14th Mar 22, 8:55am
4
This week's December quarter GDP figures will show a recovery from the sharp fall in September but all eyes will be on what the figures point to in the more problematic months ahead
David Hargreaves assesses the economic landscape as the Reserve Bank gets inexorably drawn into a 'squeeze it to death' struggle with inflation
10th Mar 22, 9:17am
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David Hargreaves assesses the economic landscape as the Reserve Bank gets inexorably drawn into a 'squeeze it to death' struggle with inflation
ANZ economists say a significant drain of people out of the country could put pressure on the housing market and have ramifications for RBNZ monetary policy
1st Mar 22, 2:41pm
49
ANZ economists say a significant drain of people out of the country could put pressure on the housing market and have ramifications for RBNZ monetary policy
Inflation hit 3-decade high in December quarter, as consumer prices rose 5.9% over the year; Economists fear higher inflation is embedded
27th Jan 22, 11:17am
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Inflation hit 3-decade high in December quarter, as consumer prices rose 5.9% over the year; Economists fear higher inflation is embedded
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
15th Dec 21, 9:01am
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ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
14
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
ANZ economists say interest rate hikes will be tough - but ongoing high inflation would be worse
2nd Dec 21, 1:23pm
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ANZ economists say interest rate hikes will be tough - but ongoing high inflation would be worse