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Guy Trafford

Guy Trafford notes that while farmers have achieved substantial productivity gains, the country as a whole hasn't as some Government policies and core SOEs undermine private sector improvements
16th Apr 21, 9:31am
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Guy Trafford notes that while farmers have achieved substantial productivity gains, the country as a whole hasn't as some Government policies and core SOEs undermine private sector improvements
Guy Trafford tries to make sense of the puzzle surrounding the global sheep flock, declining in areas we understand, but rising elsewhere
14th Apr 21, 8:04pm
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Guy Trafford tries to make sense of the puzzle surrounding the global sheep flock, declining in areas we understand, but rising elsewhere
Guy Trafford finds that no matter how the world's population tracks in future, it will still be large and the demand for food will always be strong, including for the foods NZ exports
10th Apr 21, 6:51pm
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Guy Trafford finds that no matter how the world's population tracks in future, it will still be large and the demand for food will always be strong, including for the foods NZ exports
Guy Trafford struggles with the inconsistent reasons for special restrictions on some religious holidays. He also reviews the latest dairy prices, and notes Synlait Milk's unique issues with supplying A2 Milk
8th Apr 21, 9:14am
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Guy Trafford struggles with the inconsistent reasons for special restrictions on some religious holidays. He also reviews the latest dairy prices, and notes Synlait Milk's unique issues with supplying A2 Milk
Guy Trafford points out that while we may have been safe during the pandemic, we are now underperforming economically and vulnerable to the economic nationalism the pandemic has spawned
3rd Apr 21, 9:36am
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Guy Trafford points out that while we may have been safe during the pandemic, we are now underperforming economically and vulnerable to the economic nationalism the pandemic has spawned
Firm winter lamb contracts underpin a positive outlook for the sheep sector, bolstered by coming autumn rains. Freight subsidies help in keeping product in front of offshore consumers
29th Mar 21, 11:00am
Firm winter lamb contracts underpin a positive outlook for the sheep sector, bolstered by coming autumn rains. Freight subsidies help in keeping product in front of offshore consumers
Guy Trafford finds that huge rates increases for 2021/22 and further out are coming, far in excess of of the large rises we have already had. Farmers are asking, what happened to the $100+ mln previously taken?
26th Mar 21, 1:46pm
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Guy Trafford finds that huge rates increases for 2021/22 and further out are coming, far in excess of of the large rises we have already had. Farmers are asking, what happened to the $100+ mln previously taken?
Guy Trafford notes the hardline messages from the Government for climate action by farmers, and the soft excuses for Auckland Transport, their film crew friends and other mates, will likely break the feeling farmers had 'we are all in this together'
22nd Mar 21, 10:04am
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Guy Trafford notes the hardline messages from the Government for climate action by farmers, and the soft excuses for Auckland Transport, their film crew friends and other mates, will likely break the feeling farmers had 'we are all in this together'
Guy Trafford raises an eyebrow over how conflicted farmers are on Fonterra's capital structure. He is watching for carbon price gaming. And he is also watching insects being added to animal food
18th Mar 21, 12:00pm
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Guy Trafford raises an eyebrow over how conflicted farmers are on Fonterra's capital structure. He is watching for carbon price gaming. And he is also watching insects being added to animal food
Guy Trafford reviews the big power competition, and how NZ positions itself after the core rivalry shifts from amateur name-calling to a real and serious geopolitical tension, where trade can be a collateral sacrifice
16th Mar 21, 9:48am
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Guy Trafford reviews the big power competition, and how NZ positions itself after the core rivalry shifts from amateur name-calling to a real and serious geopolitical tension, where trade can be a collateral sacrifice
Guy Trafford looks at the global trends for beef production, noting New Zealand is a minor producer with a world-leading minimal environmental impact, while the second largest is expanding fast at the expense of its rainforests
11th Mar 21, 11:10am
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Guy Trafford looks at the global trends for beef production, noting New Zealand is a minor producer with a world-leading minimal environmental impact, while the second largest is expanding fast at the expense of its rainforests
Guy Trafford looks at the supply indicators for sheep over the next six months. He also assesses the beef supply situation where rewards are likely in 2021
8th Mar 21, 9:16am
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Guy Trafford looks at the supply indicators for sheep over the next six months. He also assesses the beef supply situation where rewards are likely in 2021
The latest dairy auction result is all about Chinese demand, twisted by lower northern hemisphere production forecasts, and complicated by shipping delays. The net result is sharply higher prices
3rd Mar 21, 11:25am
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The latest dairy auction result is all about Chinese demand, twisted by lower northern hemisphere production forecasts, and complicated by shipping delays. The net result is sharply higher prices
What is the right approach to reach environmental goals? Using incentives and subsidies, or using rules and disincentives? And where does food security fit in?
2nd Mar 21, 10:16am
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What is the right approach to reach environmental goals? Using incentives and subsidies, or using rules and disincentives? And where does food security fit in?
The annual report from Global Dairy Trade gives a clear view of how this trade has developed in both volume and price terms, and China's role as a buyer
25th Feb 21, 1:21pm
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The annual report from Global Dairy Trade gives a clear view of how this trade has developed in both volume and price terms, and China's role as a buyer
Guy Trafford points out that the debate of how we want the tourist industry to restart will impact the agricultural sector too who need to make their views heard
25th Feb 21, 11:49am
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Guy Trafford points out that the debate of how we want the tourist industry to restart will impact the agricultural sector too who need to make their views heard
As dairy prices rise again, new efforts are being made to reinvigorate the Canterbury sheep dairy capacity. Meanwhile Chinese demand drivers for dairy and sheepmeat warrant close attention
18th Feb 21, 10:26am
As dairy prices rise again, new efforts are being made to reinvigorate the Canterbury sheep dairy capacity. Meanwhile Chinese demand drivers for dairy and sheepmeat warrant close attention
Farmers hope that the Green Party and Labour call-outs on human rights-and-trade remain selective and inconsistent when it comes to China. Meanwhile state-owned Pamu underperforms again with zero consequences
16th Feb 21, 9:07am
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Farmers hope that the Green Party and Labour call-outs on human rights-and-trade remain selective and inconsistent when it comes to China. Meanwhile state-owned Pamu underperforms again with zero consequences
Guy Trafford points out what marketers have always known; consumers act quite differently inside a supermarket than what they claim to think outside it - even in Europe
15th Feb 21, 10:40am
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Guy Trafford points out what marketers have always known; consumers act quite differently inside a supermarket than what they claim to think outside it - even in Europe
Guy Trafford pulls together the various strands of our developing carbon price policies as debate extends around the Climate Change Commission's draft report
11th Feb 21, 9:42am
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Guy Trafford pulls together the various strands of our developing carbon price policies as debate extends around the Climate Change Commission's draft report
Guy Trafford echoes those in agriculture who note that the Climate Change Commission has been unreasonably selective in apportioning responsibility for change
4th Feb 21, 11:33am
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Guy Trafford echoes those in agriculture who note that the Climate Change Commission has been unreasonably selective in apportioning responsibility for change
Despite shrill glee from Greenpeace, Guy Trafford shows that livestock numbers are falling naturally - even dairy cows - and with the ETS carbon price rises, there is no need for agriculture to feel especially threatened
2nd Feb 21, 9:59am
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Despite shrill glee from Greenpeace, Guy Trafford shows that livestock numbers are falling naturally - even dairy cows - and with the ETS carbon price rises, there is no need for agriculture to feel especially threatened
Guy Trafford tracks the recent rises in farm gate milk prices, what the upgraded China FTA means for us, and how meat and wool prices are faring in early 2021
29th Jan 21, 10:31am
Guy Trafford tracks the recent rises in farm gate milk prices, what the upgraded China FTA means for us, and how meat and wool prices are faring in early 2021
Guy Trafford sees some extensive but quiet social support programs by rural firms overshadowed by the bad wastewater practices of these same firms. Farmers are making the clean-water effort, but processors are letting the side down
26th Jan 21, 9:54am
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Guy Trafford sees some extensive but quiet social support programs by rural firms overshadowed by the bad wastewater practices of these same firms. Farmers are making the clean-water effort, but processors are letting the side down
Guy Trafford looks ahead with some optimism, backed up by MPI's latest SOPI. However he finds a precarious situation exists for most exports as new and unexpected challenges keep popping up
21st Jan 21, 12:36pm
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Guy Trafford looks ahead with some optimism, backed up by MPI's latest SOPI. However he finds a precarious situation exists for most exports as new and unexpected challenges keep popping up