Jarrod Kerr
Economists disagree on whether the latest Consumers Price Index data is good news or not
21st Apr 23, 7:27am
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Economists disagree on whether the latest Consumers Price Index data is good news or not
NZIER’s quarterly survey of business opinion shows RBNZ winning inflation battle and causing recession
4th Apr 23, 2:00pm
23
NZIER’s quarterly survey of business opinion shows RBNZ winning inflation battle and causing recession
Reserve Bank expected to keep its inflation fight going despite weaker than expected GDP, cyclone impact & global banking ructions
27th Mar 23, 3:15pm
72
Reserve Bank expected to keep its inflation fight going despite weaker than expected GDP, cyclone impact & global banking ructions
Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank should hold fire with any increase of the Official Cash Rate while the country deals with the impact of Cyclone Gabrielle
16th Feb 23, 1:28pm
130
Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank should hold fire with any increase of the Official Cash Rate while the country deals with the impact of Cyclone Gabrielle
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
25th Jan 23, 4:12pm
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Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
ANZ economists change their call and now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the Official Cash Rate by 50 points next month, rather than the signalled 75 points; Kiwibank economists see peak OCR of 5% - 'enough is enough'
25th Jan 23, 11:00am
162
ANZ economists change their call and now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the Official Cash Rate by 50 points next month, rather than the signalled 75 points; Kiwibank economists see peak OCR of 5% - 'enough is enough'
Kiwibank economists are hoping the Reserve Bank can be deterred from its signalled 75 basis point Official Cash Rate hike and 'meet in the middle' with a 50 point rise
23rd Jan 23, 11:00am
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Kiwibank economists are hoping the Reserve Bank can be deterred from its signalled 75 basis point Official Cash Rate hike and 'meet in the middle' with a 50 point rise
[updated]
REINZ says December's sales plummeted nationally to the lowest in years at 4,336; national median price slipped over 12% for the year. In Auckland the fall was 18%. In Wellington 20%. House prices now down around 15% from November 2021 peak
18th Jan 23, 9:00am
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REINZ says December's sales plummeted nationally to the lowest in years at 4,336; national median price slipped over 12% for the year. In Auckland the fall was 18%. In Wellington 20%. House prices now down around 15% from November 2021 peak
[updated]
National's finance spokesperson scalds Government after long-running NZIER business survey records the weakest result in its history; ASB economists say economy has 'run into a brick wall'; BNZ economists see 'stagflation on steroids'
17th Jan 23, 10:23am
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National's finance spokesperson scalds Government after long-running NZIER business survey records the weakest result in its history; ASB economists say economy has 'run into a brick wall'; BNZ economists see 'stagflation on steroids'
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
7th Dec 22, 8:08am
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Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
Kiwibank economists believe the interest rate hikes that have already been delivered will have a huge impact on households and discretionary income will evaporate for many mortgagees
28th Nov 22, 1:57pm
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Kiwibank economists believe the interest rate hikes that have already been delivered will have a huge impact on households and discretionary income will evaporate for many mortgagees
Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on what needs to happen before the Reserve Bank takes its foot off the rate hike pedal
16th Nov 22, 10:42am
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Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on what needs to happen before the Reserve Bank takes its foot off the rate hike pedal
[updated]
Searing domestic inflation has the financial markets now picking a 75-point rise to the Official Cash Rate from the Reserve Bank next month and a peak OCR of over 5%
18th Oct 22, 11:01am
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Searing domestic inflation has the financial markets now picking a 75-point rise to the Official Cash Rate from the Reserve Bank next month and a peak OCR of over 5%
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the volume of cash withdrawals is 70% higher than a year ago
10th Oct 22, 11:50am
18
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the volume of cash withdrawals is 70% higher than a year ago
With a weak NZ dollar harming the outlook for imported inflation, could the RBNZ be tempted to intervene to try and prop the NZ dollar up?
29th Sep 22, 1:15pm
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With a weak NZ dollar harming the outlook for imported inflation, could the RBNZ be tempted to intervene to try and prop the NZ dollar up?
Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
15th Sep 22, 11:01am
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Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
Kiwibank economists believe that fixed mortgage rates have peaked
Latest labour market data showing 'severe capacity constraints and intensifying wage pressures' prompt change of view and perceived need for the Reserve Bank to do a little more against inflation
4th Aug 22, 9:46am
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Latest labour market data showing 'severe capacity constraints and intensifying wage pressures' prompt change of view and perceived need for the Reserve Bank to do a little more against inflation
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the June quarter did see a rebound in consumer spending, but thanks to inflation, the growth in dollars spent is outpacing the volume of transactions
11th Jul 22, 10:57am
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the June quarter did see a rebound in consumer spending, but thanks to inflation, the growth in dollars spent is outpacing the volume of transactions
Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may soften its tone around the outlook, acknowledging the waning strength in forward economic activity indicators
4th Jul 22, 2:40pm
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Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may soften its tone around the outlook, acknowledging the waning strength in forward economic activity indicators
[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
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The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on why he expects the OCR to be hiked another 100 basis points by August, but why the RBNZ doesn't need to go as high as its 4% OCR forecast
29th May 22, 6:00am
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Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on why he expects the OCR to be hiked another 100 basis points by August, but why the RBNZ doesn't need to go as high as its 4% OCR forecast
Kiwibank economists see mortgage rates ranging as high as 7.5% even though they don't see the OCR going as high as currently forecast
23rd May 22, 3:03pm
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Kiwibank economists see mortgage rates ranging as high as 7.5% even though they don't see the OCR going as high as currently forecast
Bank economists agree the RBNZ will lift the OCR by 50 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, so what else are they focusing on?
21st May 22, 9:05am
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Bank economists agree the RBNZ will lift the OCR by 50 basis points to 2% on Wednesday, so what else are they focusing on?
Economists at Westpac NZ say RBNZ inflation targeting facing the biggest challenge in its 30+ year history
17th May 22, 7:50am
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Economists at Westpac NZ say RBNZ inflation targeting facing the biggest challenge in its 30+ year history