Mary Jo Vergara
Kiwibank economists believe that fixed mortgage rates have peaked
Latest labour market data showing 'severe capacity constraints and intensifying wage pressures' prompt change of view and perceived need for the Reserve Bank to do a little more against inflation
4th Aug 22, 9:46am
30
Latest labour market data showing 'severe capacity constraints and intensifying wage pressures' prompt change of view and perceived need for the Reserve Bank to do a little more against inflation
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the June quarter did see a rebound in consumer spending, but thanks to inflation, the growth in dollars spent is outpacing the volume of transactions
11th Jul 22, 10:57am
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the June quarter did see a rebound in consumer spending, but thanks to inflation, the growth in dollars spent is outpacing the volume of transactions
Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may soften its tone around the outlook, acknowledging the waning strength in forward economic activity indicators
4th Jul 22, 2:40pm
15
Kiwibank economists say the Reserve Bank may soften its tone around the outlook, acknowledging the waning strength in forward economic activity indicators
[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
203
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
Kiwibank economists see mortgage rates ranging as high as 7.5% even though they don't see the OCR going as high as currently forecast
23rd May 22, 3:03pm
128
Kiwibank economists see mortgage rates ranging as high as 7.5% even though they don't see the OCR going as high as currently forecast
ASB economists say last week's 'big lift' in wholesale interest rates added to the upside pressure on mortgage rates
11th Apr 22, 2:21pm
107
ASB economists say last week's 'big lift' in wholesale interest rates added to the upside pressure on mortgage rates
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the March quarter spending was 'especially weak'
11th Apr 22, 1:11pm
24
Latest Kiwibank household spending data shows that the March quarter spending was 'especially weak'
Kiwibank economists say exit of people from NZ could be similar to the Aussie mining-fuelled outflow back in 2011
28th Mar 22, 12:45pm
121
Kiwibank economists say exit of people from NZ could be similar to the Aussie mining-fuelled outflow back in 2011
Auckland spending has bounced after the loosening of Covid restrictions, but services spending is still well down, according to Kiwibank credit and debit card data
18th Nov 21, 11:30am
3
Auckland spending has bounced after the loosening of Covid restrictions, but services spending is still well down, according to Kiwibank credit and debit card data
Kiwibank economists, who have this year been highlighting upside risks to interest rates now say some wholesale rates have gone too far and will be 'pulled down'
15th Nov 21, 1:40pm
6
Kiwibank economists, who have this year been highlighting upside risks to interest rates now say some wholesale rates have gone too far and will be 'pulled down'
Kiwibank economists say there's currently an 'imbalance' in the wholesale interest rate markets and they see more 'upside risk' for mortgage rates
26th Oct 21, 3:15pm
28
Kiwibank economists say there's currently an 'imbalance' in the wholesale interest rate markets and they see more 'upside risk' for mortgage rates
Labour market and inflation figures 'strongly demand a more aggressive approach by the Reserve Bank'
BNZ economists say the RBNZ is now 'well and truly behind the curve' as inflation heads to 'a number well above 5%'
18th Oct 21, 2:56pm
46
BNZ economists say the RBNZ is now 'well and truly behind the curve' as inflation heads to 'a number well above 5%'
'The rebound is looking less like last year’s Red bull-powered hill sprint, and more like a herbal tea inspired jog uphill'
12th Oct 21, 10:31am
9
'The rebound is looking less like last year’s Red bull-powered hill sprint, and more like a herbal tea inspired jog uphill'
Data from Kiwibank economists shows a significant drop in spending during the latest lockdown - but much smaller than the drop seen at Level 4 last year
1st Sep 21, 11:53am
Data from Kiwibank economists shows a significant drop in spending during the latest lockdown - but much smaller than the drop seen at Level 4 last year
It seems the lockdown period and subsequent changes to working patterns have helped push us towards hypochondria - and given us sore necks and bad backs
12th Jul 21, 3:27pm
14
It seems the lockdown period and subsequent changes to working patterns have helped push us towards hypochondria - and given us sore necks and bad backs
Kiwibank economists say according to the bank's own transaction data, spending slumped 9% in the March quarter
8th Apr 21, 11:46am
36
Kiwibank economists say according to the bank's own transaction data, spending slumped 9% in the March quarter
Economists see the housing changes announced by the Government as having a chilling effect on investor demand and acting as a significant drag on house price growth
23rd Mar 21, 2:57pm
114
Economists see the housing changes announced by the Government as having a chilling effect on investor demand and acting as a significant drag on house price growth
Kiwibank economists say housing changes to be announced this week 'do have the scope' to cool the housing market but won't address the clear lack of affordable homes
22nd Mar 21, 12:02pm
118
Kiwibank economists say housing changes to be announced this week 'do have the scope' to cool the housing market but won't address the clear lack of affordable homes
Kiwibank economists say they have 'drastically revised up' their projected near-term house price peak before a cooling of prices later in the year; don't see LVRs as having as much impact on investor activity as previously thought
16th Mar 21, 10:39am
190
Kiwibank economists say they have 'drastically revised up' their projected near-term house price peak before a cooling of prices later in the year; don't see LVRs as having as much impact on investor activity as previously thought
It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
15th Mar 21, 12:14pm
16
It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
Kiwibank economists have been tracking our spending - and we are still doing our best to make up for the lack of tourist dollars
29th Jan 21, 5:00am
39
Kiwibank economists have been tracking our spending - and we are still doing our best to make up for the lack of tourist dollars
Economists have differing views on whether the cheap money lending programme for banks to be announced this week will be specifically aimed at lending for businesses or will be available for banks to lend wherever, including on houses
9th Nov 20, 3:19pm
35
Economists have differing views on whether the cheap money lending programme for banks to be announced this week will be specifically aimed at lending for businesses or will be available for banks to lend wherever, including on houses
Statistics New Zealand says the 12.2% shrinkage of the economy in the June quarter is 'by far the largest on record in New Zealand'; the fall is in line with what major bank economists forecast
17th Sep 20, 10:58am
125
Statistics New Zealand says the 12.2% shrinkage of the economy in the June quarter is 'by far the largest on record in New Zealand'; the fall is in line with what major bank economists forecast
Kiwibank economist Mary Jo Vergara says women have traditionally done well in the workforce in times of war and crises - but 90% of the drop in employment according to latest figures was women
5th Aug 20, 2:46pm
19
Kiwibank economist Mary Jo Vergara says women have traditionally done well in the workforce in times of war and crises - but 90% of the drop in employment according to latest figures was women