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Michael Gordon

Economists are seeing little change in the unemployment rate when official statistics are released this week
3rd May 21, 11:34am
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Economists are seeing little change in the unemployment rate when official statistics are released this week
Westpac economists say landlords might be better off selling their property to the tenants rather than trying to push through large rent hikes
10th Apr 21, 10:00am
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Westpac economists say landlords might be better off selling their property to the tenants rather than trying to push through large rent hikes
It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
15th Mar 21, 12:14pm
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It's a toss of a coin as to whether the New Zealand economy grew or contracted in the December quarter - but either way our recovery from lockdown has been impressive
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
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The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped to 4.9% in the December quarter from 5.3%; economists had universally expected unemployment to rise
3rd Feb 21, 11:02am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped to 4.9% in the December quarter from 5.3%; economists had universally expected unemployment to rise
Economists are picking a December quarter 2020 unemployment rate of around 5.6%, higher than the 5.3% rate in September; unemployment likely to peak later this year
2nd Feb 21, 9:51am
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Economists are picking a December quarter 2020 unemployment rate of around 5.6%, higher than the 5.3% rate in September; unemployment likely to peak later this year
Economists are picking a record economic recover in the September quarter, with GDP expected to grow by possibly as much as 14%
14th Dec 20, 9:15am
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Economists are picking a record economic recover in the September quarter, with GDP expected to grow by possibly as much as 14%
Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
2nd Nov 20, 10:16am
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Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
23rd Oct 20, 11:11am
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Consumer price index inflation undershoots RBNZ and market expectations in September quarter, coming in at 0.7% quarter-on-quarter and 1.4% year-on-year
The country is set to see its largest ever contraction in the economy reported this week - but the final figure's actually expected to be much smaller than first feared and the focus is already on how much the economy will grow by in the September quarter
14th Sep 20, 1:37pm
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The country is set to see its largest ever contraction in the economy reported this week - but the final figure's actually expected to be much smaller than first feared and the focus is already on how much the economy will grow by in the September quarter
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment rate actually FELL to 4%, but the 'underutilisation' rate had a record climb, up to 12%, employment fell by 11,000 jobs and 37,000 people left the workforce
5th Aug 20, 11:13am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment rate actually FELL to 4%, but the 'underutilisation' rate had a record climb, up to 12%, employment fell by 11,000 jobs and 37,000 people left the workforce
Economists on average are picking unemployment to surge up from 4.2% to 5.7% for the June quarter - but they stress that the impact of the lockdown is going to make it difficult to get a clear picture
3rd Aug 20, 12:10pm
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Economists on average are picking unemployment to surge up from 4.2% to 5.7% for the June quarter - but they stress that the impact of the lockdown is going to make it difficult to get a clear picture
Economists see the Reserve Bank having to do much more in future with its quantitative easing programme after inflation dropped 0.5% in the June quarter
16th Jul 20, 11:00am
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Economists see the Reserve Bank having to do much more in future with its quantitative easing programme after inflation dropped 0.5% in the June quarter
Plunging fuel prices have contributed to inflation falling off a cliff and reverting from an eight year annual high to possibly a near-22-year quarterly low
14th Jul 20, 11:09am
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Plunging fuel prices have contributed to inflation falling off a cliff and reverting from an eight year annual high to possibly a near-22-year quarterly low
NZ's current account deficit narrowed to $1.6 bln in the March quarter, while the annual deficit of $8.5 bln, at 2.7% of GDP, was in line with economists' forecasts
17th Jun 20, 11:01am
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NZ's current account deficit narrowed to $1.6 bln in the March quarter, while the annual deficit of $8.5 bln, at 2.7% of GDP, was in line with economists' forecasts
GDP figures out this week for the March quarter will show a fall in economic activity - but this will just be a taste of what is to come in the June quarter
15th Jun 20, 11:11am
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GDP figures out this week for the March quarter will show a fall in economic activity - but this will just be a taste of what is to come in the June quarter
Statistics New Zealand says job numbers fell by 37,500 in April, the biggest volume and percentage fall since its 'filled jobs series' began in 1999
28th May 20, 11:50am
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Statistics New Zealand says job numbers fell by 37,500 in April, the biggest volume and percentage fall since its 'filled jobs series' began in 1999
The RBNZ will buy up to $30 bln of Government bonds as the negative impacts of the emergency intensify in New Zealand and financial conditions tighten 'unnecessarily'
23rd Mar 20, 8:23am
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The RBNZ will buy up to $30 bln of Government bonds as the negative impacts of the emergency intensify in New Zealand and financial conditions tighten 'unnecessarily'
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr reiterates next OCR review is scheduled for March 25 in speech on central bank's potential use of unconventional monetary policy tools
10th Mar 20, 2:56pm
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RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr reiterates next OCR review is scheduled for March 25 in speech on central bank's potential use of unconventional monetary policy tools
With unemployment figures likely to be unchanged at 4.2% there's little pressure on the Reserve Bank to make changes when it next reviews the Official Cash Rate on February 12
3rd Feb 20, 11:07am
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With unemployment figures likely to be unchanged at 4.2% there's little pressure on the Reserve Bank to make changes when it next reviews the Official Cash Rate on February 12
Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
16th Dec 19, 1:02pm
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Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
Why Treasury only expects to issue an additional $8 billion of bonds to cover $15 billion of new capital expenditure, and how further issuance is expected when higher operational expenditure is 'inevitably' announced
12th Dec 19, 7:29am
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Why Treasury only expects to issue an additional $8 billion of bonds to cover $15 billion of new capital expenditure, and how further issuance is expected when higher operational expenditure is 'inevitably' announced
Jury out over whether the RBNZ will loosen loan-to-value ratio restrictions on Wednesday, with some observers raising doubts over whether an easing would have much of an effect
24th Nov 19, 6:31am
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Jury out over whether the RBNZ will loosen loan-to-value ratio restrictions on Wednesday, with some observers raising doubts over whether an easing would have much of an effect
Despite the fairly flat outcome in the latest GlobalDairyTrade auction, economists are increasingly optimistic of a strong milk price return for farmers this season
16th Oct 19, 12:51pm
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Despite the fairly flat outcome in the latest GlobalDairyTrade auction, economists are increasingly optimistic of a strong milk price return for farmers this season
Westpac economists say unconventional monetary policy could help the Reserve Bank meet its inflation target but they warn that any monetary policy is 'no panacea'
18th Sep 19, 11:06am
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Westpac economists say unconventional monetary policy could help the Reserve Bank meet its inflation target but they warn that any monetary policy is 'no panacea'