Bonds
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; house buyers elusive, productivity retreats, eyes on CPI, Auckland bribery prosecuted, swaps up, NZD down, & more
16th Apr 24, 3:59pm
78
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; house buyers elusive, productivity retreats, eyes on CPI, Auckland bribery prosecuted, swaps up, NZD down, & more
Markets continue to trade with a cautious tone, with Israel vowing to retaliate against Iran’s weekend attack. US equities down about 1%; oil prices barely lower. US Treasury yields reach fresh 2024 highs
16th Apr 24, 7:51am
Markets continue to trade with a cautious tone, with Israel vowing to retaliate against Iran’s weekend attack. US equities down about 1%; oil prices barely lower. US Treasury yields reach fresh 2024 highs
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; net migration settles in high, service sector now contracting, strong tourism, swaps slip, NZD holds, & more
15th Apr 24, 4:00pm
84
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; net migration settles in high, service sector now contracting, strong tourism, swaps slip, NZD holds, & more
Investor risk aversion weighed on growth sensitive assets at end of last week amid concern about escalating hostilities. The S&P fell -1.5%, while US Treasuries and the US dollar rallied. The NZD was amongst the weakest developed market currencies
15th Apr 24, 7:26am
2
Investor risk aversion weighed on growth sensitive assets at end of last week amid concern about escalating hostilities. The S&P fell -1.5%, while US Treasuries and the US dollar rallied. The NZD was amongst the weakest developed market currencies
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; inflation proving stickier than expected; both retail and factories in severe downturns, OCR cut prospects fade, swaps up, NZD up, & more
12th Apr 24, 3:58pm
83
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; inflation proving stickier than expected; both retail and factories in severe downturns, OCR cut prospects fade, swaps up, NZD up, & more
US equities bounce back. US Treasury yields show only small movements, with a modestly steeper curve. Little impact from the ECB's in-line policy update
12th Apr 24, 7:50am
US equities bounce back. US Treasury yields show only small movements, with a modestly steeper curve. Little impact from the ECB's in-line policy update
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; rents rise, per capita activity slips, GHGs fall (slightly), strong NZGB demand, scrum screwed, swaps jump, NZD eases, & more
11th Apr 24, 3:59pm
47
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; rents rise, per capita activity slips, GHGs fall (slightly), strong NZGB demand, scrum screwed, swaps jump, NZD eases, & more
Stronger than expected US CPI data prompted large moves across global asset markets. The S&P is down more than 1%. US treasury yields surged with big gains for the US dollar. The RBNZ decision had limited market reaction
11th Apr 24, 8:05am
Stronger than expected US CPI data prompted large moves across global asset markets. The S&P is down more than 1%. US treasury yields surged with big gains for the US dollar. The RBNZ decision had limited market reaction
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no OCR change, more here on work visas, job ad levels ease, consumer card activity soft, swaps soft, NZD firm, & more
10th Apr 24, 3:59pm
33
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no OCR change, more here on work visas, job ad levels ease, consumer card activity soft, swaps soft, NZD firm, & more
US Treasury yields shift back from 2024 highs ahead of key US CPI report. Local QSBO revealed weak conditions consistent with recession. Focus now on RBNZ
10th Apr 24, 7:53am
US Treasury yields shift back from 2024 highs ahead of key US CPI report. Local QSBO revealed weak conditions consistent with recession. Focus now on RBNZ
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; post-election business sentiment drops, Asteron Life downgraded, eyes on dairy prices, OCR and inflation, swaps up, NZD firms, & more
9th Apr 24, 3:59pm
68
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; post-election business sentiment drops, Asteron Life downgraded, eyes on dairy prices, OCR and inflation, swaps up, NZD firms, & more
US rates push up to fresh year-to-date highs as investors continue to push out the timing and scope of US Fed rate cuts this year. NZ rates follow up, with swap rate rises boosted
9th Apr 24, 7:29am
US rates push up to fresh year-to-date highs as investors continue to push out the timing and scope of US Fed rate cuts this year. NZ rates follow up, with swap rate rises boosted
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some retail rate changes, few farms selling; supermarket cost pressure eases; swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
8th Apr 24, 3:59pm
89
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; some retail rate changes, few farms selling; supermarket cost pressure eases; swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
Strong US labour market suggests their economy remains resilient and intensified the debate about when the Fed might ease monetary policy. US treasuries back near the yield highs for the year while the US dollar couldn't sustain initial gains
8th Apr 24, 7:34am
Strong US labour market suggests their economy remains resilient and intensified the debate about when the Fed might ease monetary policy. US treasuries back near the yield highs for the year while the US dollar couldn't sustain initial gains
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more big bonds, more FBU departures, DST ending, Aussie data sags, markets await NFPs, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
5th Apr 24, 3:59pm
65
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more big bonds, more FBU departures, DST ending, Aussie data sags, markets await NFPs, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
Risk appetite higher ahead of the key US employment report tonight; S&P500 up while Treasury yields show little net movement. AUD rises so that NZD/AUD fell to a 9-month low overnight
5th Apr 24, 7:46am
Risk appetite higher ahead of the key US employment report tonight; S&P500 up while Treasury yields show little net movement. AUD rises so that NZD/AUD fell to a 9-month low overnight
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots sees rising sales, fewer building consents issued, weak spending, swaps little-changed, NZD up, & more
4th Apr 24, 3:59pm
43
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots sees rising sales, fewer building consents issued, weak spending, swaps little-changed, NZD up, & more
A softer than expected US services ISM moved markets but Powell didn't. Eurozone CPI below estimates in March; ECB might start rate cuts in June. Gold prices extend to fresh record highs having gained more than 15% since mid-February
4th Apr 24, 7:43am
A softer than expected US services ISM moved markets but Powell didn't. Eurozone CPI below estimates in March; ECB might start rate cuts in June. Gold prices extend to fresh record highs having gained more than 15% since mid-February
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, filled jobs rise but labour force rises faster, another huge syndicated bond success, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
3rd Apr 24, 4:02pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, filled jobs rise but labour force rises faster, another huge syndicated bond success, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
Global rates higher; US 10-year Treasury yield reaches fresh high for the year not helped by oil prices rising to fresh year-to-date highs. Equity investors show further signs of fatigue. Currency moves modest
3rd Apr 24, 7:41am
Global rates higher; US 10-year Treasury yield reaches fresh high for the year not helped by oil prices rising to fresh year-to-date highs. Equity investors show further signs of fatigue. Currency moves modest
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; housing market's unsold inventory swells, Synlait in trouble, Rabobank in good shape, car sales sluggish, swaps up, NZD stays low, & more
2nd Apr 24, 3:59pm
58
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; housing market's unsold inventory swells, Synlait in trouble, Rabobank in good shape, car sales sluggish, swaps up, NZD stays low, & more
The US ISM manufacturing PMI rose to exceed all economist estimates. It was the first time the index moved into expansionary territory since September 2022. US treasury yields spiked higher in response and the USD rose
2nd Apr 24, 7:21am
The US ISM manufacturing PMI rose to exceed all economist estimates. It was the first time the index moved into expansionary territory since September 2022. US treasury yields spiked higher in response and the USD rose
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; consumer & business sentiment sinks, benefits & minimum wage rise, debt growth timid, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
28th Mar 24, 3:59pm
99
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; consumer & business sentiment sinks, benefits & minimum wage rise, debt growth timid, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
Global equity markets are generally higher in the absence of economic data or fresh catalysts. Japanese policy makers huddle to seek plan to rescue the Yen
28th Mar 24, 7:47am
Global equity markets are generally higher in the absence of economic data or fresh catalysts. Japanese policy makers huddle to seek plan to rescue the Yen
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no NZ Govt surplus likely either, new NZSF boss, dairy farmers face crunch, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
27th Mar 24, 3:59pm
94
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no NZ Govt surplus likely either, new NZSF boss, dairy farmers face crunch, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more