business confidence surveys
This week's OCR review was the first of four key pre-Christmas announcements that will collectively have a big influence on the economy next year. David Hargreaves reads the tea leaves
17th Nov 19, 6:02am
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This week's OCR review was the first of four key pre-Christmas announcements that will collectively have a big influence on the economy next year. David Hargreaves reads the tea leaves
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
11th Nov 19, 11:28am
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The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
4th Nov 19, 1:42pm
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ASB economists don't believe the recent mood shift in financial markets and say the economic evidence points to a need for the Reserve Bank to make further interest rate cuts
Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows a mixed picture but has broken the recent pattern of continually falling confidence levels
31st Oct 19, 1:25pm
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Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows a mixed picture but has broken the recent pattern of continually falling confidence levels
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's latest messages inject uncertainty about what the central bank will say and do at its next interest rate review next month
29th Oct 19, 3:00pm
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BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's latest messages inject uncertainty about what the central bank will say and do at its next interest rate review next month
International independent research firm Capital Economics says the risks are 'skewed' to the RBNZ making more cuts, possibly into negative interest rates - 'if the Government doesn't step up it's game soon'
9th Oct 19, 3:29pm
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International independent research firm Capital Economics says the risks are 'skewed' to the RBNZ making more cuts, possibly into negative interest rates - 'if the Government doesn't step up it's game soon'
David Hargreaves says with an Official Cash Rate that could well be as low as 0.5% by Christmas, it is not too hard to imagine an OCR with a minus sign in front of it by later next year
6th Oct 19, 4:46am
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David Hargreaves says with an Official Cash Rate that could well be as low as 0.5% by Christmas, it is not too hard to imagine an OCR with a minus sign in front of it by later next year
Latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion suggests GDP could fall below 1% later this year; RBNZ likely to be forced to cut interest rates further
1st Oct 19, 10:13am
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Latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion suggests GDP could fall below 1% later this year; RBNZ likely to be forced to cut interest rates further
Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows that the Reserve Bank's 'shock and Orr' cut to interest rates last month has done little to improve sentiment in the business community
30th Sep 19, 1:23pm
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Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows that the Reserve Bank's 'shock and Orr' cut to interest rates last month has done little to improve sentiment in the business community
The big bank economists are mulling what the flagging business confidence and drooping inflation expectations mean for the economy, with one economist even questioning whether the economy is heading for 'stall speed'
2nd Sep 19, 2:32pm
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The big bank economists are mulling what the flagging business confidence and drooping inflation expectations mean for the economy, with one economist even questioning whether the economy is heading for 'stall speed'
ANZ Business Outlook Survey says there's 'nothing good to say' about business confidence as it hits the lowest level in over 11 years while increasing numbers of firms intend to reduce staff numbers
29th Aug 19, 1:14pm
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ANZ Business Outlook Survey says there's 'nothing good to say' about business confidence as it hits the lowest level in over 11 years while increasing numbers of firms intend to reduce staff numbers
ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows the worst sentiment in the construction sector since 2009, while overall business confidence has sagged again and more firms are expecting to cut staff
31st Jul 19, 1:26pm
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ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows the worst sentiment in the construction sector since 2009, while overall business confidence has sagged again and more firms are expecting to cut staff
Westpac economists pare back their economic growth forecasts and now see annual GDP growth of just 2.4% through the first half of this year, however, they reckon house price growth could be even stronger than they previously forecast
8th Jul 19, 11:17am
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Westpac economists pare back their economic growth forecasts and now see annual GDP growth of just 2.4% through the first half of this year, however, they reckon house price growth could be even stronger than they previously forecast
NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows a net 31% of businesses see deteriorating conditions over the next 12 months; survey results likely to put more downward pressure on outlook for interest rates
2nd Jul 19, 10:23am
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NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows a net 31% of businesses see deteriorating conditions over the next 12 months; survey results likely to put more downward pressure on outlook for interest rates
ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows considerable improvement in mood in residential construction sector, though the overall construction outlook remains grim
27th Jun 19, 1:45pm
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ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows considerable improvement in mood in residential construction sector, though the overall construction outlook remains grim
ANZ economists highlight their preferred option if the Reserve Bank decides to take monetary policy beyond merely dropping the Official Cash Rate; but the ANZ economists stress that any unconventional monetary policy is risky
17th Jun 19, 2:34pm
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ANZ economists highlight their preferred option if the Reserve Bank decides to take monetary policy beyond merely dropping the Official Cash Rate; but the ANZ economists stress that any unconventional monetary policy is risky
ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank should not wait for any potential global crisis before lowering interest rates further if it thinks more cuts are needed
10th Jun 19, 2:48pm
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ANZ economists say the Reserve Bank should not wait for any potential global crisis before lowering interest rates further if it thinks more cuts are needed
BNZ economists see the likelihood of another interest rate cut increased by the results of the latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey
29th May 19, 4:32pm
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BNZ economists see the likelihood of another interest rate cut increased by the results of the latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey
A net 27% of respondents to the ANZ Business Outlook survey expect weaker conditions in residential construction, while the employment outlook in the sector is now at a 10-year low too
29th May 19, 1:15pm
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A net 27% of respondents to the ANZ Business Outlook survey expect weaker conditions in residential construction, while the employment outlook in the sector is now at a 10-year low too
Business confidence stuck in slump according to ANZ survey; Residential construction intentions continue to trend downward
30th Apr 19, 1:57pm
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Business confidence stuck in slump according to ANZ survey; Residential construction intentions continue to trend downward
ANZ's latest Business Outlook survey shows the recent improvement in levels of business confidence have stopped and a net 31% of survey respondents expect deteriorating conditions this year
28th Feb 19, 1:10pm
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ANZ's latest Business Outlook survey shows the recent improvement in levels of business confidence have stopped and a net 31% of survey respondents expect deteriorating conditions this year
ANZ's latest Business Outlook Survey shows shows sharp drop in intentions to construct in both residential and commercial sectors; ANZ Chief Economist says next official interest rate move is more likely to be a cut than a hike
31st Oct 18, 1:14pm
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ANZ's latest Business Outlook Survey shows shows sharp drop in intentions to construct in both residential and commercial sectors; ANZ Chief Economist says next official interest rate move is more likely to be a cut than a hike
David Hargreaves ponders where the turbulent forces of a falling dollar, rising fuel prices and falling business confidence may take us
9th Oct 18, 11:16am
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David Hargreaves ponders where the turbulent forces of a falling dollar, rising fuel prices and falling business confidence may take us
David Hargreaves ponders whether the bottoming levels of business confidence are really pointing to a substantial economic slowdown
3rd Oct 18, 3:09pm
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David Hargreaves ponders whether the bottoming levels of business confidence are really pointing to a substantial economic slowdown
ANZ says latest results of its Business Outlook Survey suggest that while 'the economy may have hit a pothole, the wheels are not falling off'
26th Sep 18, 1:37pm
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ANZ says latest results of its Business Outlook Survey suggest that while 'the economy may have hit a pothole, the wheels are not falling off'