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Roger J Kerr says the opportunity will be in front of the next Government to address New Zealand’s lacklustre economic growth performance record
11th Sep 23, 8:11am
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Roger J Kerr says the opportunity will be in front of the next Government to address New Zealand’s lacklustre economic growth performance record
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar has only been able to appreciate upwards on three occasions in August over the last 14 years
4th Sep 23, 8:09am
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar has only been able to appreciate upwards on three occasions in August over the last 14 years
Roger J Kerr says despite the abundance of negative economic fundamentals supposedly weighing the Kiwi dollar down, the over-powering offshore forces are likely to deliver the opposite outcome
28th Aug 23, 8:20am
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Roger J Kerr says despite the abundance of negative economic fundamentals supposedly weighing the Kiwi dollar down, the over-powering offshore forces are likely to deliver the opposite outcome
Our national airline soars from the financial trough of the pandemic to emerge with its second-highest profit ever
24th Aug 23, 9:38am
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Our national airline soars from the financial trough of the pandemic to emerge with its second-highest profit ever
If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
22nd Aug 23, 11:34am
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If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
Westpac economists say if the RBNZ's judgement is wrong, then New Zealand could be facing a protracted period of strong domestic inflation pressures
21st Aug 23, 2:23pm
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Westpac economists say if the RBNZ's judgement is wrong, then New Zealand could be facing a protracted period of strong domestic inflation pressures
Roger J Kerr says, looking ahead, the increase in US bond yields will not continue and the perceived China risk factor will also abate
21st Aug 23, 8:49am
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Roger J Kerr says, looking ahead, the increase in US bond yields will not continue and the perceived China risk factor will also abate
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr expects to serve out his five-year term despite polls pointing to a change in government
17th Aug 23, 5:03pm
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RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr expects to serve out his five-year term despite polls pointing to a change in government
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
16th Aug 23, 2:18pm
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Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
Job ads are continuing to decline in the BNZ/SEEK Employment Report - suggesting that the anticipated sharp cooling in the labour market is beginning
15th Aug 23, 11:57am
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Job ads are continuing to decline in the BNZ/SEEK Employment Report - suggesting that the anticipated sharp cooling in the labour market is beginning
New Zealand has formally entered the post-pandemic era as the Government shifts covid-19 into business as usual
14th Aug 23, 4:32pm
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New Zealand has formally entered the post-pandemic era as the Government shifts covid-19 into business as usual
Roger J Kerr says local NZ factors have not driven the NZD/USD exchange rate movements in recent years, however the remarkably close connection with business confidence should not be ignored
14th Aug 23, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says local NZ factors have not driven the NZD/USD exchange rate movements in recent years, however the remarkably close connection with business confidence should not be ignored
Motu Economic and Public Policy Research says wage subsidy successfully protected jobs and sole traders during the pandemic
9th Aug 23, 4:02pm
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Motu Economic and Public Policy Research says wage subsidy successfully protected jobs and sole traders during the pandemic
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey shows a slight rise in the expected level of inflation in two years time
9th Aug 23, 3:22pm
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Influential RBNZ survey shows a slight rise in the expected level of inflation in two years time
Economists at Westpac and ANZ still see the combination of economic resilience and 'sticky' inflation as forcing the Reserve Bank to raise the Official Cash Rate again
7th Aug 23, 1:33pm
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Economists at Westpac and ANZ still see the combination of economic resilience and 'sticky' inflation as forcing the Reserve Bank to raise the Official Cash Rate again
Roger J Kerr says the evidence is gathering that the US labour market is finally softening and with that inflation risks decreasing
7th Aug 23, 8:54am
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Roger J Kerr says the evidence is gathering that the US labour market is finally softening and with that inflation risks decreasing
The Reserve Bank is now set fair to 'watch, worry and wait' its way through the election
3rd Aug 23, 8:30am
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The Reserve Bank is now set fair to 'watch, worry and wait' its way through the election
Roger J Kerr says the pattern of lower inflation/stronger employment data in the US that has caused the repeating up/down NZD/USD movements may finally be coming to an end
31st Jul 23, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the pattern of lower inflation/stronger employment data in the US that has caused the repeating up/down NZD/USD movements may finally be coming to an end
The Reserve Bank expects labour market figures out in the coming week to show rising unemployment. If unemployment doesn't rise - or indeed if it even falls - this will heap more pressure back on our central bank in its inflation fight
30th Jul 23, 6:30am
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The Reserve Bank expects labour market figures out in the coming week to show rising unemployment. If unemployment doesn't rise - or indeed if it even falls - this will heap more pressure back on our central bank in its inflation fight
Roger J Kerr says repatriation of NZ bank profits to Aussie parents is the likely cause of the latest NZ dollar selling
24th Jul 23, 8:28am
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Roger J Kerr says repatriation of NZ bank profits to Aussie parents is the likely cause of the latest NZ dollar selling
Westpac economists say many things need to change if the tourism sector is to thrive in the post Covid era
21st Jul 23, 5:00am
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Westpac economists say many things need to change if the tourism sector is to thrive in the post Covid era
Roger J Kerr says his expectation that US inflation would decrease quickly has transpired into reality, with the inevitable USD sell-off allowing the NZD/USD exchange rate to make the gains he has been expecting and forecasting
17th Jul 23, 9:00am
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Roger J Kerr says his expectation that US inflation would decrease quickly has transpired into reality, with the inevitable USD sell-off allowing the NZD/USD exchange rate to make the gains he has been expecting and forecasting
New Kiwibank spending data shows that despite the cost of living squeeze we are still spending as we need to - but discretion is being applied
11th Jul 23, 11:22am
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New Kiwibank spending data shows that despite the cost of living squeeze we are still spending as we need to - but discretion is being applied
Roger J Kerr says the belated softening in US employment may be the catalyst that propels the NZD/USD exchange rate out of the top-end of its range at 0.6350
10th Jul 23, 9:24am
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Roger J Kerr says the belated softening in US employment may be the catalyst that propels the NZD/USD exchange rate out of the top-end of its range at 0.6350
Roger J Kerr continues to hold the view that the dominant US influence over the NZD/USD exchange rate will push the Kiwi dollar into to the high-US60c region over coming months
3rd Jul 23, 8:49am
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Roger J Kerr continues to hold the view that the dominant US influence over the NZD/USD exchange rate will push the Kiwi dollar into to the high-US60c region over coming months