CPI Inflation
ANZ economists say services-sector inflation is showing no signs of slowing and should that continue we may see inflation 'get stuck' above the targeted 1% to 3% band
7th Mar 23, 11:43am
78
ANZ economists say services-sector inflation is showing no signs of slowing and should that continue we may see inflation 'get stuck' above the targeted 1% to 3% band
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
6th Mar 23, 10:05am
16
BNZ chief economist Mike Jones says significant mortgage rate relief is unlikely this year and he's 'not confident' the housing market can 'right itself' till it is clear mortgage rates have stopped rising
[updated]
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
23rd Feb 23, 9:37am
71
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
22nd Feb 23, 2:11pm
138
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate review, the first for three months, and one that will see the RBNZ probably juggling between either a large, or extra-large OCR hike. But what about the weather?
19th Feb 23, 8:04am
90
David Hargreaves examines the coming week's Reserve Bank Official Cash Rate review, the first for three months, and one that will see the RBNZ probably juggling between either a large, or extra-large OCR hike. But what about the weather?
Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank should hold fire with any increase of the Official Cash Rate while the country deals with the impact of Cyclone Gabrielle
16th Feb 23, 1:28pm
130
Kiwibank economists believe the Reserve Bank should hold fire with any increase of the Official Cash Rate while the country deals with the impact of Cyclone Gabrielle
'There comes a time when such restraint is no longer necessary. We are definitely approaching that time,' says BNZ head of research
15th Feb 23, 11:35am
40
'There comes a time when such restraint is no longer necessary. We are definitely approaching that time,' says BNZ head of research
Stats NZ says food prices were up 10.3% in the year to January 2023 - which is down on the 32-year high increase of 11.3% seen as at December
14th Feb 23, 11:08am
35
Stats NZ says food prices were up 10.3% in the year to January 2023 - which is down on the 32-year high increase of 11.3% seen as at December
Keynes warned us that practical men and women are but slaves of defunct economists. Economist Brian Easton says the comment is particularly relevant as we try to understand the prospects for inflation
13th Feb 23, 9:23am
8
Keynes warned us that practical men and women are but slaves of defunct economists. Economist Brian Easton says the comment is particularly relevant as we try to understand the prospects for inflation
[updated]
Path to achieving a soft landing for the economy remains narrow, Reserve Bank of Australia says as it lifts cash rate again
7th Feb 23, 4:43pm
21
Path to achieving a soft landing for the economy remains narrow, Reserve Bank of Australia says as it lifts cash rate again
David Hargreaves says with key economic data starting to turn out softer than expected, crunch time is looming for the Reserve Bank in its inflation battle and in how far it wants to drive up interest rates
2nd Feb 23, 12:20pm
60
David Hargreaves says with key economic data starting to turn out softer than expected, crunch time is looming for the Reserve Bank in its inflation battle and in how far it wants to drive up interest rates
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
25th Jan 23, 4:12pm
55
Bank economists are now suggesting the Reserve Bank should dial back its intentions on how far and high the Official Cash Rate will go
ANZ economists change their call and now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the Official Cash Rate by 50 points next month, rather than the signalled 75 points; Kiwibank economists see peak OCR of 5% - 'enough is enough'
25th Jan 23, 11:00am
162
ANZ economists change their call and now expect the Reserve Bank to lift the Official Cash Rate by 50 points next month, rather than the signalled 75 points; Kiwibank economists see peak OCR of 5% - 'enough is enough'
Kiwibank economists are hoping the Reserve Bank can be deterred from its signalled 75 basis point Official Cash Rate hike and 'meet in the middle' with a 50 point rise
23rd Jan 23, 11:00am
62
Kiwibank economists are hoping the Reserve Bank can be deterred from its signalled 75 basis point Official Cash Rate hike and 'meet in the middle' with a 50 point rise
Our central bank is picking that inflation will have hit a new 32-year high of 7.5% when December quarter figures are released in the coming week. If it's right, expect a further hefty 75 point rise to the Official Cash Rate next month
22nd Jan 23, 6:00am
119
Our central bank is picking that inflation will have hit a new 32-year high of 7.5% when December quarter figures are released in the coming week. If it's right, expect a further hefty 75 point rise to the Official Cash Rate next month
[updated]
Stats NZ says the seasonally adjusted spending fall in December was the first for nine months and was a 'large' fall for a December month; economists say consumers have taken on board Reserve Bank warnings about spending
18th Jan 23, 11:00am
57
Stats NZ says the seasonally adjusted spending fall in December was the first for nine months and was a 'large' fall for a December month; economists say consumers have taken on board Reserve Bank warnings about spending
Economist Brian Easton says the two most comprehensive forecasts of the New Zealand economy are by the Reserve Bank and the Treasury. They are especially important because they inform monetary and fiscal policy. What do they say?
16th Jan 23, 8:30am
13
Economist Brian Easton says the two most comprehensive forecasts of the New Zealand economy are by the Reserve Bank and the Treasury. They are especially important because they inform monetary and fiscal policy. What do they say?
Motu Executive Director and ex-RBNZ Assistant Governor John McDermott assesses the state of the local & international economies as 2022 hurtles towards 2023
21st Dec 22, 7:30am
102
Motu Executive Director and ex-RBNZ Assistant Governor John McDermott assesses the state of the local & international economies as 2022 hurtles towards 2023
[updated]
Rick Jones argues it's simply too important for New Zealand to NOT have monthly CPI inflation data
15th Dec 22, 12:28pm
36
Rick Jones argues it's simply too important for New Zealand to NOT have monthly CPI inflation data
RBNZ Deputy Governor Christian Hawkesby says the only impact from higher interest rates so far is falling house prices and a cooling construction pipeline
14th Dec 22, 4:42pm
62
RBNZ Deputy Governor Christian Hawkesby says the only impact from higher interest rates so far is falling house prices and a cooling construction pipeline
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
14th Dec 22, 2:33pm
46
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
[updated]
Despite seasonal falls in fruit and vegetable prices, the annual rate of food price inflation increased to 10.7% in November; it's a crisis at the checkout, says National Party
13th Dec 22, 11:08am
163
Despite seasonal falls in fruit and vegetable prices, the annual rate of food price inflation increased to 10.7% in November; it's a crisis at the checkout, says National Party
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
12th Dec 22, 1:26pm
43
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
7th Dec 22, 8:08am
78
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
[updated]
Reserve Bank of Australia sees more interest rate increases ahead, but says its course isn't pre-set
6th Dec 22, 4:43pm
10
Reserve Bank of Australia sees more interest rate increases ahead, but says its course isn't pre-set