CPI
Kiwibank economists are hoping the Reserve Bank can be deterred from its signalled 75 basis point Official Cash Rate hike and 'meet in the middle' with a 50 point rise
23rd Jan 23, 11:00am
62
Kiwibank economists are hoping the Reserve Bank can be deterred from its signalled 75 basis point Official Cash Rate hike and 'meet in the middle' with a 50 point rise
Our central bank is picking that inflation will have hit a new 32-year high of 7.5% when December quarter figures are released in the coming week. If it's right, expect a further hefty 75 point rise to the Official Cash Rate next month
22nd Jan 23, 6:00am
119
Our central bank is picking that inflation will have hit a new 32-year high of 7.5% when December quarter figures are released in the coming week. If it's right, expect a further hefty 75 point rise to the Official Cash Rate next month
[updated]
Stats NZ says the seasonally adjusted spending fall in December was the first for nine months and was a 'large' fall for a December month; economists say consumers have taken on board Reserve Bank warnings about spending
18th Jan 23, 11:00am
57
Stats NZ says the seasonally adjusted spending fall in December was the first for nine months and was a 'large' fall for a December month; economists say consumers have taken on board Reserve Bank warnings about spending
David Hargreaves says as the Reserve Bank is forced to raise the Official Cash Rate higher than it intended, the stakes also get higher for our economy
9th Nov 22, 11:07am
43
David Hargreaves says as the Reserve Bank is forced to raise the Official Cash Rate higher than it intended, the stakes also get higher for our economy
Statistics New Zealand says annual inflation for households was 7.7% in the year to September, fueled by housing and food costs
26th Oct 22, 11:37am
21
Statistics New Zealand says annual inflation for households was 7.7% in the year to September, fueled by housing and food costs
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway says 'tradeable', or imported, inflation has been 'our friend' in recent decades, but this era could be coming to an end
25th Oct 22, 2:55pm
43
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway says 'tradeable', or imported, inflation has been 'our friend' in recent decades, but this era could be coming to an end
David Hargreaves says that as the Reserve Bank prepares for its last interest rate review of the year next month its credibility is facing a massive test
19th Oct 22, 2:01pm
64
David Hargreaves says that as the Reserve Bank prepares for its last interest rate review of the year next month its credibility is facing a massive test
[updated]
Searing domestic inflation has the financial markets now picking a 75-point rise to the Official Cash Rate from the Reserve Bank next month and a peak OCR of over 5%
18th Oct 22, 11:01am
272
Searing domestic inflation has the financial markets now picking a 75-point rise to the Official Cash Rate from the Reserve Bank next month and a peak OCR of over 5%
Annual inflation figures out in the coming week are widely expected to drop from the 32-year highs seen in the June quarter - but that won't necessarily be a cause of huge comfort
16th Oct 22, 6:00am
111
Annual inflation figures out in the coming week are widely expected to drop from the 32-year highs seen in the June quarter - but that won't necessarily be a cause of huge comfort
Statistics New Zealand says the highest spending households are more affected by the rising mortgage rates
26th Jul 22, 11:26am
30
Statistics New Zealand says the highest spending households are more affected by the rising mortgage rates
BNZ economists see unemployment rate falling further and say unless there are soon signs 'the worm is turning' the RBNZ will have to contemplate 'a more aggressive interest rate track'
25th Jul 22, 3:07pm
39
BNZ economists see unemployment rate falling further and say unless there are soon signs 'the worm is turning' the RBNZ will have to contemplate 'a more aggressive interest rate track'
Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it
25th Jul 22, 11:54am
76
Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it
The surprisingly high inflation figure revealed this week has put the focus very firmly on some forthcoming economic events
19th Jul 22, 2:30pm
88
The surprisingly high inflation figure revealed this week has put the focus very firmly on some forthcoming economic events
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
18th Jul 22, 1:53pm
67
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see a higher peak of 4% for the OCR and say a 75-point rise next month 'is a very real possibility'; ASB also sees a chance of a 75-pointer
Latest inflation figures have come in even hotter than economists and the Reserve Bank had forecast
18th Jul 22, 10:54am
212
Latest inflation figures have come in even hotter than economists and the Reserve Bank had forecast
Annual inflation is widely expected to hit a 32-year high of at least 7% when the latest official data is released - but the real issue is whether this will be the peak
15th Jul 22, 9:07am
90
Annual inflation is widely expected to hit a 32-year high of at least 7% when the latest official data is released - but the real issue is whether this will be the peak
The latest research series from the RBNZ highlights just how urgent it is that we avoid the toxic combination of fast rising population, masses of cheap debt and constrained housing supply in future, David Hargreaves says
6th Jul 22, 8:21am
194
The latest research series from the RBNZ highlights just how urgent it is that we avoid the toxic combination of fast rising population, masses of cheap debt and constrained housing supply in future, David Hargreaves says
RBNZ research and modelling shows that actual housing allocations in New Zealand household balance sheets could have been even higher than already-large present levels
4th Jul 22, 1:18pm
78
RBNZ research and modelling shows that actual housing allocations in New Zealand household balance sheets could have been even higher than already-large present levels
RBNZ research shows higher population growth & larger drops in mortgage rates in NZ than most comparable countries, and the biggest rise in house prices
1st Jul 22, 8:03am
85
RBNZ research shows higher population growth & larger drops in mortgage rates in NZ than most comparable countries, and the biggest rise in house prices
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
30th Jun 22, 12:04pm
86
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
As the world faces the prospect of recession, David Hargreaves sifts through the events of the past two years in an attempt to put things in perspective
21st Jun 22, 1:33pm
83
As the world faces the prospect of recession, David Hargreaves sifts through the events of the past two years in an attempt to put things in perspective
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see the Reserve Bank making another two double-jumps in the OCR at the next two reviews; not ruling out 75 point hike in July
20th Jun 22, 12:13pm
60
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see the Reserve Bank making another two double-jumps in the OCR at the next two reviews; not ruling out 75 point hike in July
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
14th Jun 22, 2:12pm
70
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
3rd Jun 22, 8:30am
134
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
172
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range