Economic growth
Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
12th Dec 22, 1:26pm
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Latest 'consensus' economists' forecasts released by the NZIER show a substantial deterioration in the past three months of how the economists view prospects - particularly in three years' time
Figures to be released in the coming week will show the economy has continued to grow quite strongly. The Reserve Bank's attempts to 'engineer' a recession are still very much in the future yet
12th Dec 22, 9:00am
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Figures to be released in the coming week will show the economy has continued to grow quite strongly. The Reserve Bank's attempts to 'engineer' a recession are still very much in the future yet
Economist Brian Easton tackles Matthew Hooton's ideological alarmism, saying the cliché, ‘never waste a good crisis’, is not an excuse for trying to manufacture one
24th Oct 22, 9:00am
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Economist Brian Easton tackles Matthew Hooton's ideological alarmism, saying the cliché, ‘never waste a good crisis’, is not an excuse for trying to manufacture one
The super hot labour market is the biggest threat to the Reserve Bank's efforts to get inflation back under control. David Hargreaves has a crunch of some numbers
22nd Sep 22, 10:00am
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The super hot labour market is the biggest threat to the Reserve Bank's efforts to get inflation back under control. David Hargreaves has a crunch of some numbers
David Hargreaves thinks the Reserve Bank will actually be very comfortable with the latest GDP data - even if economists are not
20th Sep 22, 12:11pm
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David Hargreaves thinks the Reserve Bank will actually be very comfortable with the latest GDP data - even if economists are not
Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
15th Sep 22, 11:01am
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Surging demand in the country's service industries after Covid restrictions saw the country easily avoid recession in the June quarter
BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
12th Sep 22, 3:10pm
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BNZ economists say a very wide range of forecasts for the outcome of GDP figures this week likely reflects the 'noise' in the component parts
Figures to be released in the coming week will likely show the country stayed well clear of recession in the June quarter - but the outlook for the economy is looking, as the Reserve Bank has indicated, pretty anaemic
11th Sep 22, 6:00am
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Figures to be released in the coming week will likely show the country stayed well clear of recession in the June quarter - but the outlook for the economy is looking, as the Reserve Bank has indicated, pretty anaemic
David Hargreaves attempts to caution us against talking ourselves into a lingering economic downturn
12th Jul 22, 12:42pm
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David Hargreaves attempts to caution us against talking ourselves into a lingering economic downturn
[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
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The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show GDP growth in future years of only about 2%, while inflation's expected to now be more persistent
13th Jun 22, 2:33pm
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NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show GDP growth in future years of only about 2%, while inflation's expected to now be more persistent
This week's release of March quarter GDP figures is likely to reflect the impact of the surge of Omicron - but the immediate prospects are for a future slowdown in any case
13th Jun 22, 10:16am
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This week's release of March quarter GDP figures is likely to reflect the impact of the surge of Omicron - but the immediate prospects are for a future slowdown in any case
David Malpass urges policymakers to focus on five areas in order to avert a prolonged period of high inflation and low growth
8th Jun 22, 9:55am
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David Malpass urges policymakers to focus on five areas in order to avert a prolonged period of high inflation and low growth
Alison Brook is wondering if we about to get a bullwhip sting, where an amplified demand surge is followed by an amplified plummeting of demand - and a global recession
18th May 22, 12:50pm
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Alison Brook is wondering if we about to get a bullwhip sting, where an amplified demand surge is followed by an amplified plummeting of demand - and a global recession
Alison Brook isn't dismissing the stagflation fears. Our debt is skewed towards housing, so fast-rising interest rates could slam consumer demand and set the foundations in place for stagflation
16th Apr 22, 9:39am
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Alison Brook isn't dismissing the stagflation fears. Our debt is skewed towards housing, so fast-rising interest rates could slam consumer demand and set the foundations in place for stagflation
The economy bounced back in the last quarter of 2021 from the lockdown blues - but the bounce was nowhere near as strong as economists thought it would be
17th Mar 22, 10:58am
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The economy bounced back in the last quarter of 2021 from the lockdown blues - but the bounce was nowhere near as strong as economists thought it would be
This week's December quarter GDP figures will show a recovery from the sharp fall in September but all eyes will be on what the figures point to in the more problematic months ahead
14th Mar 22, 8:55am
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This week's December quarter GDP figures will show a recovery from the sharp fall in September but all eyes will be on what the figures point to in the more problematic months ahead
Nouriel Roubini warns that the invasion of Ukraine will have steep stagflationary effects, even in otherwise strong economies
26th Feb 22, 10:12am
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Nouriel Roubini warns that the invasion of Ukraine will have steep stagflationary effects, even in otherwise strong economies
Nouriel Roubini lists the policy, geopolitical, and systemic risks that investors will need to consider this year
9th Jan 22, 12:13pm
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Nouriel Roubini lists the policy, geopolitical, and systemic risks that investors will need to consider this year
Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
16th Dec 21, 11:00am
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Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
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This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
Reserve Bank wary of households' sensitivity to interest rate changes in a tightening environment
25th Nov 21, 7:37am
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Reserve Bank wary of households' sensitivity to interest rate changes in a tightening environment
Alison Brook wonders if public policy makers have the patience to deleverage through a mix of cutting spending, reducing debt, transferring wealth and printing money to avoid a disastrous end to the debt supercycle
25th Oct 21, 10:00am
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Alison Brook wonders if public policy makers have the patience to deleverage through a mix of cutting spending, reducing debt, transferring wealth and printing money to avoid a disastrous end to the debt supercycle
Yu Yongding considers the likely impact of the energy crisis and the Evergrande debacle on China's growth prospects
23rd Oct 21, 10:45am
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Yu Yongding considers the likely impact of the energy crisis and the Evergrande debacle on China's growth prospects
Alison Brook wonders if persistently low interest rates may be doing more harm than good. They lead to debt accumulation, increasing asset prices, and ultimately limit the economy's ability to grow
2nd Oct 21, 9:55am
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Alison Brook wonders if persistently low interest rates may be doing more harm than good. They lead to debt accumulation, increasing asset prices, and ultimately limit the economy's ability to grow