GDP
ANZ economists are still forecasting another Official Cash Rate hike next year and say domestic inflation is still sky high, and yet to capitulate, while 'a lot still needs to go right' for the OCR to not need to eventually go higher
7th Nov 23, 1:40pm
17
ANZ economists are still forecasting another Official Cash Rate hike next year and say domestic inflation is still sky high, and yet to capitulate, while 'a lot still needs to go right' for the OCR to not need to eventually go higher
The economy is growing much slower than usual and unemployment is rising
Economist Brian Easton says there is a view that the world economy is entering a period of higher inflation and higher nominal interest rates, but who knows? Presumably New Zealand has to follow
6th Nov 23, 9:46am
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Economist Brian Easton says there is a view that the world economy is entering a period of higher inflation and higher nominal interest rates, but who knows? Presumably New Zealand has to follow
Roger J Kerr says US dollar bulls are hastily reversing their long-USD positions as the scenario for next year of US interest rates decreasing well ahead in time of all others starts to become a higher probability
6th Nov 23, 9:09am
Roger J Kerr says US dollar bulls are hastily reversing their long-USD positions as the scenario for next year of US interest rates decreasing well ahead in time of all others starts to become a higher probability
Just as the Reserve Bank appears to be turning the inflation battle in its favour, here comes the double trouble of rampant immigration and a refreshed housing market
5th Nov 23, 6:00am
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Just as the Reserve Bank appears to be turning the inflation battle in its favour, here comes the double trouble of rampant immigration and a refreshed housing market
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a bounce in most activity indicators; ANZ chief economist says 'it would clearly be a stretch to argue there's been no election impact'
31st Oct 23, 1:46pm
49
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a bounce in most activity indicators; ANZ chief economist says 'it would clearly be a stretch to argue there's been no election impact'
Economist Brian Easton says the more informed an economist is, the more they keep their head down during elections
30th Oct 23, 8:32am
12
Economist Brian Easton says the more informed an economist is, the more they keep their head down during elections
Roger J Kerr says an RBA interest rate hike next week would certainly propel the AUD/USD exchange rate higher, and the NZD/USD rate will follow
30th Oct 23, 8:14am
6
Roger J Kerr says an RBA interest rate hike next week would certainly propel the AUD/USD exchange rate higher, and the NZD/USD rate will follow
Statistics NZ says food and housing continue to be key drivers of increased costs for households
26th Oct 23, 11:13am
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Statistics NZ says food and housing continue to be key drivers of increased costs for households
Roger J Kerr sees the US playing a very high-stakes 'game' that cannot last, raising the risks of an American recession. The USD is over-valued and until it comes down, American interest rates will stay high
23rd Oct 23, 7:00am
11
Roger J Kerr sees the US playing a very high-stakes 'game' that cannot last, raising the risks of an American recession. The USD is over-valued and until it comes down, American interest rates will stay high
Housing and petrol prices were the largest contributors to inflation during September
17th Oct 23, 11:00am
105
Housing and petrol prices were the largest contributors to inflation during September
Roger J Kerr says policy initiatives from the new Government should attract inwards capital and portfolio investors
16th Oct 23, 8:37am
4
Roger J Kerr says policy initiatives from the new Government should attract inwards capital and portfolio investors
More economists are seeing a likelihood that the Reserve Bank will not start cutting the Official Cash Rate till 2025
9th Oct 23, 2:36pm
15
More economists are seeing a likelihood that the Reserve Bank will not start cutting the Official Cash Rate till 2025
Economist Brian Easton says while Singapore and New Zealand have rather different economic structures, the two small economies work together in the international political economy
9th Oct 23, 8:39am
2
Economist Brian Easton says while Singapore and New Zealand have rather different economic structures, the two small economies work together in the international political economy
Roger J Kerr says part of the explanation for the recent NZ dollar stability in the face of a stronger US dollar and weaker global equity markets, is the expectation of a change of Government
9th Oct 23, 8:21am
6
Roger J Kerr says part of the explanation for the recent NZ dollar stability in the face of a stronger US dollar and weaker global equity markets, is the expectation of a change of Government
Independent economic researchers Capital Economics say it is 'increasingly clear' monetary policy tightening is doing its work and the rate-hiking cycle is already over, with cuts coming next year
4th Oct 23, 11:21am
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Independent economic researchers Capital Economics say it is 'increasingly clear' monetary policy tightening is doing its work and the rate-hiking cycle is already over, with cuts coming next year
Economists are cheered by signs the Reserve Bank's monetary tightening is getting traction but caution that inflationary pressures are still strong
3rd Oct 23, 2:01pm
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Economists are cheered by signs the Reserve Bank's monetary tightening is getting traction but caution that inflationary pressures are still strong
The latest survey of business opinion from NZIER shows fewer firms are feeling negative
3rd Oct 23, 10:17am
4
The latest survey of business opinion from NZIER shows fewer firms are feeling negative
Economist Brian Easton says while the economy is not doing too badly in output terms, external circumstances are not favourable, and there is probably a sizeable group of households struggling because of rising interest rates
2nd Oct 23, 8:57am
5
Economist Brian Easton says while the economy is not doing too badly in output terms, external circumstances are not favourable, and there is probably a sizeable group of households struggling because of rising interest rates
Roger J Kerr says there has been a rapid shift in sentiment and direction of the Kiwi dollar over the last two weeks
2nd Oct 23, 8:35am
2
Roger J Kerr says there has been a rapid shift in sentiment and direction of the Kiwi dollar over the last two weeks
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a mixed picture of a 'patchy' economy, with inflationary pressures gradually waning, but with cost and wage expectations remaining very elevated
28th Sep 23, 1:28pm
18
The latest ANZ Business Outlook survey shows a mixed picture of a 'patchy' economy, with inflationary pressures gradually waning, but with cost and wage expectations remaining very elevated
The Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Index has turned negative for the first time in two-and-a-half years
27th Sep 23, 9:09am
26
The Westpac McDermott Miller Employment Confidence Index has turned negative for the first time in two-and-a-half years
ANZ economists have raised their forecast of house price growth and now see a 4% rise for the second half of this year
25th Sep 23, 2:36pm
116
ANZ economists have raised their forecast of house price growth and now see a 4% rise for the second half of this year
Synlait says while it is confident in its strategy 'to right-size its cost base', the uncertainty of 'broader macroeconomic factors' means the company is not providing result guidance for the coming year at this stage
25th Sep 23, 11:02am
3
Synlait says while it is confident in its strategy 'to right-size its cost base', the uncertainty of 'broader macroeconomic factors' means the company is not providing result guidance for the coming year at this stage
Roger J Kerr says the US bond market’s adverse reaction to the Fed's 'interest rates higher for longer' message appears to be an extreme response by bond speculators
25th Sep 23, 9:05am
2
Roger J Kerr says the US bond market’s adverse reaction to the Fed's 'interest rates higher for longer' message appears to be an extreme response by bond speculators