Inflation
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
18th Jan 24, 4:08pm
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ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
16th Jan 24, 9:54am
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The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
ASB economists assess the key risks in the year ahead - there's plenty
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
15th Jan 24, 7:46am
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Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
8th Jan 24, 8:51am
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Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
20th Dec 23, 9:51am
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Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
18th Dec 23, 2:28pm
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ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
18th Dec 23, 8:23am
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Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
Overall inflation direction encouraging but bank economists cautious about stubborn non-tradeable inflation
14th Dec 23, 7:40am
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Overall inflation direction encouraging but bank economists cautious about stubborn non-tradeable inflation
Global economic researcher Capital Economics warns against any move to put a time limit on the RBNZ achieving its inflation target
12th Dec 23, 8:39am
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Global economic researcher Capital Economics warns against any move to put a time limit on the RBNZ achieving its inflation target
Roger J Kerr says the evidence from all the US economic data over the last month has to be that the risks have subsided, therefore the Fed have done enough with tight monetary policy to achieve their 2.00% inflation target
11th Dec 23, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the evidence from all the US economic data over the last month has to be that the risks have subsided, therefore the Fed have done enough with tight monetary policy to achieve their 2.00% inflation target
Spending looks soft as cash-strapped New Zealanders head into the Christmas period
10th Dec 23, 7:30am
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Spending looks soft as cash-strapped New Zealanders head into the Christmas period
Three ex central bank bosses explain why monetary policymakers must accept a deliberately narrow mandate
9th Dec 23, 9:30am
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Three ex central bank bosses explain why monetary policymakers must accept a deliberately narrow mandate
In its rush to bin the Productivity Commission, the new government should pause and consider its advice on immigration, Gareth Vaughan says
6th Dec 23, 11:42am
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In its rush to bin the Productivity Commission, the new government should pause and consider its advice on immigration, Gareth Vaughan says
Governor Adrian Orr explains what the Reserve Bank needs to see to have real confidence inflation pressures are easing off
5th Dec 23, 8:30am
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Governor Adrian Orr explains what the Reserve Bank needs to see to have real confidence inflation pressures are easing off
Westpac economists say we should expect the Reserve Bank to be unforgiving of any shocks that boost the growth and inflation outlook over the next year. Also, the RBNZ will likely be less willing to pre-emptively ease, as markets seem to currently expect
4th Dec 23, 12:15pm
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Westpac economists say we should expect the Reserve Bank to be unforgiving of any shocks that boost the growth and inflation outlook over the next year. Also, the RBNZ will likely be less willing to pre-emptively ease, as markets seem to currently expect
Roger J Kerr struggles to make sense of the Reserve Bank's latest 'stringent' message
4th Dec 23, 8:02am
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Roger J Kerr struggles to make sense of the Reserve Bank's latest 'stringent' message
Christopher Luxon’s Coalition Government wants to prove it's serious about inflation
3rd Dec 23, 6:00am
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Christopher Luxon’s Coalition Government wants to prove it's serious about inflation
Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr says there's limited headroom to absorb additional inflation surprises
30th Nov 23, 11:56am
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Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr says there's limited headroom to absorb additional inflation surprises
The Reserve Bank says it is willing to raise rates to offset increased demand from population growth
30th Nov 23, 7:48am
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The Reserve Bank says it is willing to raise rates to offset increased demand from population growth
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr said the central bank had recommended making inflation the primary policy goal
29th Nov 23, 6:23pm
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RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr said the central bank had recommended making inflation the primary policy goal
[updated]
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
29th Nov 23, 2:20pm
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Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.5% but warns if inflation proves stronger than expected it may have to hike the OCR again
Roger J Kerr says the fundamental premise of lower US inflation, equals lower US interest rates, equals a lower US dollar still holds as compelling today as it was in early 2023
27th Nov 23, 8:52am
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Roger J Kerr says the fundamental premise of lower US inflation, equals lower US interest rates, equals a lower US dollar still holds as compelling today as it was in early 2023
David Hargreaves says in contrast to the position it was in a year ago, the Reserve Bank will need to make a 'do nothing' Official Cash Rate decision in the coming week in a sufficiently 'hawkish' way that keeps pressure on inflation over summer
26th Nov 23, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves says in contrast to the position it was in a year ago, the Reserve Bank will need to make a 'do nothing' Official Cash Rate decision in the coming week in a sufficiently 'hawkish' way that keeps pressure on inflation over summer
New Argentinian president Javier Milei promises to ‘take a chainsaw’ to country’s crippled economy
22nd Nov 23, 12:56pm
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New Argentinian president Javier Milei promises to ‘take a chainsaw’ to country’s crippled economy