Interest rates
Market pricing in 80% chance of OCR being 25bps higher in 12 months’ time; highest expectation since April 2012
14th Feb 13, 8:38am
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Market pricing in 80% chance of OCR being 25bps higher in 12 months’ time; highest expectation since April 2012
Reduction in bank funding costs feeding through to borrowers, offsetting rises in swaps
13th Feb 13, 8:30am
Reduction in bank funding costs feeding through to borrowers, offsetting rises in swaps
House prices drop by 4.9% in January but market remains strong; Median price NZ$370,000; Number of homes sold up 21% compared with a year ago
12th Feb 13, 9:38am
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House prices drop by 4.9% in January but market remains strong; Median price NZ$370,000; Number of homes sold up 21% compared with a year ago
Recent sell-off in NZ bonds improves relative valuation to AU equivalents
12th Feb 13, 8:23am
Recent sell-off in NZ bonds improves relative valuation to AU equivalents
Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
11th Feb 13, 2:26pm
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Roger J Kerr says the Q4 employment data may be suspect but it is a lagging indicator anyway pointing backwards not forwards. You agree?
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
11th Feb 13, 1:43pm
Roger J Kerr says only a change to the value of the USD itself can break the Kiwi dollar range-trading deadlock. Your view?
Housing data takes on greater significance since RBNZ’s statement on house price inflation
11th Feb 13, 9:03am
Housing data takes on greater significance since RBNZ’s statement on house price inflation
Latest government tender of inflation indexed bond heavily oversubscribed
Inaugural NZ inflation-indexed bond auction attracted 6.5x bid-to-cover ratio and pricing suggests genuine demand
8th Feb 13, 7:40am
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Inaugural NZ inflation-indexed bond auction attracted 6.5x bid-to-cover ratio and pricing suggests genuine demand
US 10-year bond yields consolidate at 2% while German bonds continue to creep higher
7th Feb 13, 8:23am
US 10-year bond yields consolidate at 2% while German bonds continue to creep higher
U.S. 10-year bonds slip below 2%; Market pricing in greater certainty of RBNZ rate hikes by year-end
5th Feb 13, 8:22am
U.S. 10-year bonds slip below 2%; Market pricing in greater certainty of RBNZ rate hikes by year-end
Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
4th Feb 13, 10:30am
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Roger J Kerr says our swap rates can and will move higher soon for as range of reasons and interest rates are about to rise. Are you prepared?
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
4th Feb 13, 9:18am
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD is now more vulnerable to AUD and EUR moves and a sudden pullback is quite possible. What do you think?
NZ 2-year swap yields highest close since April 2012; market now prices 45% chance of 25bps OCR hike by year-end
4th Feb 13, 8:43am
NZ 2-year swap yields highest close since April 2012; market now prices 45% chance of 25bps OCR hike by year-end
Marginally hawkish RBNZ statement has market pricing in 35% chance of OCR rise by year-end
1st Feb 13, 8:20am
Marginally hawkish RBNZ statement has market pricing in 35% chance of OCR rise by year-end
US 10-year yields fell on the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. Q4 GDP
31st Jan 13, 8:03am
US 10-year yields fell on the release of weaker-than-expected U.S. Q4 GDP
Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme six - All about jobs
30th Jan 13, 3:17pm
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Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme six - All about jobs
RBNZ statement expected to be balanced; any hawkish strains will be latched onto by market
30th Jan 13, 8:31am
RBNZ statement expected to be balanced; any hawkish strains will be latched onto by market
Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:40pm
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Roger J Kerr warns that the rush to fix 'which always comes' as homeowners chase low rates, will unbalance the swap market and will raise rates across the curve. Your view?
Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
29th Jan 13, 2:15pm
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Roger J Kerr finds the calls for 'fortress NZ' exchange rates a disturbing misunderstanding of the damage they would do. Your view?
Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme five - Asia; taking the story from the macro to the micro - it's all about execution
29th Jan 13, 1:30pm
Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme five - Asia; taking the story from the macro to the micro - it's all about execution
Yields vulnerable to pull-back if US Fed Chairman Bernanke ramps up dovish rhetoric
29th Jan 13, 8:16am
Yields vulnerable to pull-back if US Fed Chairman Bernanke ramps up dovish rhetoric
Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme four - a polarised compass, and what it is doing to NZ
28th Jan 13, 12:00pm
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Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme four - a polarised compass, and what it is doing to NZ
Expect volatility if US data beats expectations, with US long yields to break higher 'convincingly'
28th Jan 13, 8:48am
Expect volatility if US data beats expectations, with US long yields to break higher 'convincingly'
Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme three - sovereign risk, why it matters for NZ
25th Jan 13, 2:02pm
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Opinion: ANZ NZ's economics team look at key themes for 2013; Here's theme three - sovereign risk, why it matters for NZ