monetary policy
ANZ economists now see no further cuts at all to the Official Cash Rate this year after only a matter of weeks ago forecasting three further cuts
21st Jan 20, 11:45am
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ANZ economists now see no further cuts at all to the Official Cash Rate this year after only a matter of weeks ago forecasting three further cuts
David Hargreaves cunningly avoids making any predictions as he outlines some of the economic-related issues he's looking out for in the year ahead
15th Jan 20, 11:10am
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David Hargreaves cunningly avoids making any predictions as he outlines some of the economic-related issues he's looking out for in the year ahead
ANZ economists say 'if things really start to get silly' in the housing market, the Reserve Bank would have the option of tightening loan to value ratio restrictions again
13th Jan 20, 1:12pm
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ANZ economists say 'if things really start to get silly' in the housing market, the Reserve Bank would have the option of tightening loan to value ratio restrictions again
Miao Yanliang explains the dilemma facing monetary policymakers when interest rates get stuck at or near the zero-lower bound
8th Jan 20, 11:33am
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Miao Yanliang explains the dilemma facing monetary policymakers when interest rates get stuck at or near the zero-lower bound
Koichi Hamada asks why the business cycle seems to function so differently today than it did when the late Paul Volker was US Fed chief
31st Dec 19, 10:34am
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Koichi Hamada asks why the business cycle seems to function so differently today than it did when the late Paul Volker was US Fed chief
Economist Rodney Dickens wonders if bank lending criteria are the reason the housing market remains sluggish despite interest rate cuts
18th Dec 19, 2:07pm
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Economist Rodney Dickens wonders if bank lending criteria are the reason the housing market remains sluggish despite interest rate cuts
David Hargreaves tries to overcome his astonishment at the speed with which 2019 has disappeared and outlines some of the key economic developments as he has seen it over the past 12 months
17th Dec 19, 8:11am
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David Hargreaves tries to overcome his astonishment at the speed with which 2019 has disappeared and outlines some of the key economic developments as he has seen it over the past 12 months
Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
16th Dec 19, 1:02pm
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Economists forecast that GDP figures out this week will show growth in the September quarter came in above Reserve Bank expectations
David Hargreaves assesses the country's missed infrastructure opportunity while conceding that the Coalition has set itself up well for the election campaign next year
12th Dec 19, 2:42pm
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David Hargreaves assesses the country's missed infrastructure opportunity while conceding that the Coalition has set itself up well for the election campaign next year
S&P comfortable with Govt upping debt as economic growth eases; Economists see less need for OCR cuts; Construction sector wants detail on infrastructure spend so it can gear up; National unhappy with deficit forecast for 2020
11th Dec 19, 5:09pm
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S&P comfortable with Govt upping debt as economic growth eases; Economists see less need for OCR cuts; Construction sector wants detail on infrastructure spend so it can gear up; National unhappy with deficit forecast for 2020
David Hargreaves looks at the astonishing change in mood across the country in the last few weeks and how that leaves us placed for next year - election year
10th Dec 19, 10:23am
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David Hargreaves looks at the astonishing change in mood across the country in the last few weeks and how that leaves us placed for next year - election year
ANZ economists say a 'realistic guess' is that the Government will lift its net debt to about 23% of GDP, from the current 20%, by the year 2022
5th Dec 19, 2:43pm
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ANZ economists say a 'realistic guess' is that the Government will lift its net debt to about 23% of GDP, from the current 20%, by the year 2022
ANZ economists now see OCR only going as low as 0.75% following a softening of the RBNZ proposals for bank capital, combined with a more positive domestic outlook and in particular upside to government infrastructure spending
5th Dec 19, 1:22pm
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ANZ economists now see OCR only going as low as 0.75% following a softening of the RBNZ proposals for bank capital, combined with a more positive domestic outlook and in particular upside to government infrastructure spending
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of the Government's signalled plans to have a spend-up on infrastructure
2nd Dec 19, 10:23am
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David Hargreaves tries to make sense of the Government's signalled plans to have a spend-up on infrastructure
ASB economists now say they expect just one more cut to the Official Cash Rate, in May next year; see some 'material upside risk' to GDP growth forecasts
28th Nov 19, 3:48pm
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ASB economists now say they expect just one more cut to the Official Cash Rate, in May next year; see some 'material upside risk' to GDP growth forecasts
This week's OCR review was the first of four key pre-Christmas announcements that will collectively have a big influence on the economy next year. David Hargreaves reads the tea leaves
17th Nov 19, 6:02am
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This week's OCR review was the first of four key pre-Christmas announcements that will collectively have a big influence on the economy next year. David Hargreaves reads the tea leaves
RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr says more detail on unconventional monetary policy thinking coming soon, but we are not in a recession as he highlights the RBNZ's 'ability to use different levers in concert with each other' including the OCR, LVRs & bank capital
15th Nov 19, 1:23pm
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RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr says more detail on unconventional monetary policy thinking coming soon, but we are not in a recession as he highlights the RBNZ's 'ability to use different levers in concert with each other' including the OCR, LVRs & bank capital
Having declined to cut the OCR in its last review of 2019, does this mean the RBNZ can ease bank lending restrictions without setting the housing market on fire? We asked the Assistant Governor
14th Nov 19, 4:28pm
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Having declined to cut the OCR in its last review of 2019, does this mean the RBNZ can ease bank lending restrictions without setting the housing market on fire? We asked the Assistant Governor
'You don't have to keep shouting... I imagine it's been heard' - RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr on his calls for the Government to spend more to stimulate the economy
14th Nov 19, 7:36am
'You don't have to keep shouting... I imagine it's been heard' - RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr on his calls for the Government to spend more to stimulate the economy
'You don't have to keep shouting... I imagine it's been heard' - RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr on his calls for the Government to spend more to stimulate the economy
14th Nov 19, 7:36am
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'You don't have to keep shouting... I imagine it's been heard' - RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr on his calls for the Government to spend more to stimulate the economy
Reserve Bank says economic developments since its August Monetary Policy Statement do not warrant a change to the already stimulatory monetary setting at this time; dollar rises, wholesale interest rates shoot up
13th Nov 19, 2:07pm
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Reserve Bank says economic developments since its August Monetary Policy Statement do not warrant a change to the already stimulatory monetary setting at this time; dollar rises, wholesale interest rates shoot up
The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
11th Nov 19, 11:28am
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The market is unusually divided about whether the RBNZ will cut interest rates or not in its next review this week - but either way a strong reaction can be expected
September quarter labour market data unlikely to be a game-changer for the RBNZ. Unemployment rate increases to 4.2%, wages rise to 2.4%
6th Nov 19, 11:00am
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September quarter labour market data unlikely to be a game-changer for the RBNZ. Unemployment rate increases to 4.2%, wages rise to 2.4%
Westpac NZ CEO David McLean doubts further OCR cuts would stimulate the economy, doesn't offer an alternative suggestion but argues this is something we should be debating
6th Nov 19, 9:59am
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Westpac NZ CEO David McLean doubts further OCR cuts would stimulate the economy, doesn't offer an alternative suggestion but argues this is something we should be debating
Economists divided over whether the RBNZ will next week look through labour market data in the same way it did when it cut interest rates by 50 points in August off the back of a low unemployment reading
4th Nov 19, 4:07pm
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Economists divided over whether the RBNZ will next week look through labour market data in the same way it did when it cut interest rates by 50 points in August off the back of a low unemployment reading