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Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
30th Jan 24, 10:55am
50
Reserve Bank chief economist Paul Conway suggests softer GDP and CPI data doesn't mean the central bank will cut interest rates
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
30th Jan 24, 7:52am
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; less trade, more jobs, bigger intervention capacity, mortgage interest cost jumps, swaps firm, NZS holds, & more
29th Jan 24, 3:59pm
19
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; less trade, more jobs, bigger intervention capacity, mortgage interest cost jumps, swaps firm, NZS holds, & more
Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
29th Jan 24, 8:30am
4
Roger J Kerr says the still-high level of inflation that has declined a bit isn't yet cause for celebration and the RBNZ needs to explore more options to get it lower. But he sees US inflation march lower even if their economic data remains mixed
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
29th Jan 24, 7:44am
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate cuts, more holiday interruptions, eyes on some large equity retreats, swaps little-changed, NZD stable, & more
26th Jan 24, 3:59pm
36
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate cuts, more holiday interruptions, eyes on some large equity retreats, swaps little-changed, NZD stable, & more
Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
26th Jan 24, 10:01am
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Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
26th Jan 24, 8:34am
1
GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; both mortgage & TD rate changes, Crown accounts reveal slowdown, household savings up, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
25th Jan 24, 3:59pm
19
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; both mortgage & TD rate changes, Crown accounts reveal slowdown, household savings up, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
US equities rise to fresh record high. China surprises with 50bps cut to RRR; Bank of Canada drops tightening bias; Global PMI data support the market. NZ inflation moderates
25th Jan 24, 8:11am
US equities rise to fresh record high. China surprises with 50bps cut to RRR; Bank of Canada drops tightening bias; Global PMI data support the market. NZ inflation moderates
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; inflation falls but still high, real estate agent commissions at 4yr low, credit card use withers, swaps up, NZD forms, & more
24th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; inflation falls but still high, real estate agent commissions at 4yr low, credit card use withers, swaps up, NZD forms, & more
CPI inflation falls to a two year low of 4.7% as food prices decline, albeit domestic inflation tops RBNZ expectations
24th Jan 24, 10:56am
161
CPI inflation falls to a two year low of 4.7% as food prices decline, albeit domestic inflation tops RBNZ expectations
Stocks in Hong Kong surged amid reports that Chinese authorities are considering a range of measures to help stabilise equity markets after a significant period of weakness. The US dollar extended its 2024 gains
24th Jan 24, 7:50am
1
Stocks in Hong Kong surged amid reports that Chinese authorities are considering a range of measures to help stabilise equity markets after a significant period of weakness. The US dollar extended its 2024 gains
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Service sector slips into contraction, DTIs coming, Fitch pares some ratings, farmer spending plans on hold, swaps unchanged, NZD falls, & more
23rd Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Service sector slips into contraction, DTIs coming, Fitch pares some ratings, farmer spending plans on hold, swaps unchanged, NZD falls, & more
US equities continue their record-breaking run, a contrast with the slump in Chinese equities. Global rates push lower, US 10-year rate down slightly. No change expected from the BoJ later today
23rd Jan 24, 7:48am
US equities continue their record-breaking run, a contrast with the slump in Chinese equities. Global rates push lower, US 10-year rate down slightly. No change expected from the BoJ later today
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Auckland house stock expands, yuan defended, nickel & lithium under pressure, swaps stable, NZD firms, & more
22nd Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Auckland house stock expands, yuan defended, nickel & lithium under pressure, swaps stable, NZD firms, & more
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
22nd Jan 24, 3:05pm
4
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
22nd Jan 24, 7:55am
2
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
The S&P500 reached a record high close underpinned by a strong performance by technology companies. US Fed speakers push back against near term rate cuts as the blackout period begins for the January FOMC
22nd Jan 24, 7:39am
The S&P500 reached a record high close underpinned by a strong performance by technology companies. US Fed speakers push back against near term rate cuts as the blackout period begins for the January FOMC
Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
21st Jan 24, 6:00am
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Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate changes, ugly PMI, spotty tourism, surging immigration, IMF reports on Australia, swaps up, NZD down, & more
19th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate changes, ugly PMI, spotty tourism, surging immigration, IMF reports on Australia, swaps up, NZD down, & more
US 10-year rate up to a fresh high for the year of 4.15%, driven by US initial jobless claims showing a surprising fall to a 16-month low. Global forces push up NZ rates, with a weak first bond tender of the year not helping NZGBs
19th Jan 24, 7:48am
US 10-year rate up to a fresh high for the year of 4.15%, driven by US initial jobless claims showing a surprising fall to a 16-month low. Global forces push up NZ rates, with a weak first bond tender of the year not helping NZGBs
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; REINZ December data soft, Truckometer shows weakness, inflation components stay up, benefits little-changed, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
18th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; REINZ December data soft, Truckometer shows weakness, inflation components stay up, benefits little-changed, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
Global equites fell and bond yields moved higher as investors trimmed expectations for rate cuts by major central banks. US retail sales were higher than consensus estimates. 2-year treasury yields increased 15bps supporting the US dollar
18th Jan 24, 8:01am
Global equites fell and bond yields moved higher as investors trimmed expectations for rate cuts by major central banks. US retail sales were higher than consensus estimates. 2-year treasury yields increased 15bps supporting the US dollar
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; some credit card rates rise, a work visa rush, weak retail, dairy prices up, house prices down, swaps on hold, NZD soft, & more
17th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; some credit card rates rise, a work visa rush, weak retail, dairy prices up, house prices down, swaps on hold, NZD soft, & more