Oil Prices
Roger J Kerr says if the RBNZ hope that lower mortgage interest rates will stimulate more consumer spending and that demand will push up prices in the economy, they will be disappointed
13th May 19, 8:35am
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Roger J Kerr says if the RBNZ hope that lower mortgage interest rates will stimulate more consumer spending and that demand will push up prices in the economy, they will be disappointed
Roger J Kerr explains why he thinks neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor its Australian counterpart will cut rates this week
6th May 19, 8:13am
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Roger J Kerr explains why he thinks neither the Reserve Bank of New Zealand nor its Australian counterpart will cut rates this week
Roger J Kerr gives both the local and international reasons why the markets will be forced to rethink their view of the New Zealand currency
29th Apr 19, 7:58am
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Roger J Kerr gives both the local and international reasons why the markets will be forced to rethink their view of the New Zealand currency
Roger J Kerr gives six reasons why the Official Cash Rate should not be cut and says a reversal of the value of the New Zealand dollar upwards again is inevitable once the Reserve Bank leaves the OCR unchanged on May 8
23rd Apr 19, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr gives six reasons why the Official Cash Rate should not be cut and says a reversal of the value of the New Zealand dollar upwards again is inevitable once the Reserve Bank leaves the OCR unchanged on May 8
Roger J Kerr says there a high hurdle to any reduction in the Official Cash Rate by the Reserve Bank; outlines why interest rate cuts are not warranted
15th Apr 19, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr says there a high hurdle to any reduction in the Official Cash Rate by the Reserve Bank; outlines why interest rate cuts are not warranted
Roger J Kerr says there is a fair chance Reserve Bank's next statement in May will again surprise the financial markets as being more balanced on the economic outlook than the outright dovish tone currently expected
8th Apr 19, 9:12am
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Roger J Kerr says there is a fair chance Reserve Bank's next statement in May will again surprise the financial markets as being more balanced on the economic outlook than the outright dovish tone currently expected
Roger J Kerr questions the change in stance of the Reserve Bank and says conditions in the economy have not really changed to justify the renewed dovish tone
1st Apr 19, 8:57am
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Roger J Kerr questions the change in stance of the Reserve Bank and says conditions in the economy have not really changed to justify the renewed dovish tone
Roger J Kerr says it will take some 'extraordinarily positive' news to propel the Kiwi dollar through the US70c barrier in coming months
25th Mar 19, 9:04am
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Roger J Kerr says it will take some 'extraordinarily positive' news to propel the Kiwi dollar through the US70c barrier in coming months
Roger J Kerr says the stage is set for a big turnaround in the Australian exchange rate and when that happens the NZ dollar-Aussie dollar cross-rate will reverse back towards A93c 'as it always does'
18th Mar 19, 8:16am
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Roger J Kerr says the stage is set for a big turnaround in the Australian exchange rate and when that happens the NZ dollar-Aussie dollar cross-rate will reverse back towards A93c 'as it always does'
Roger J Kerr says the current pessimism around the Australian and New Zealand currencies is not justified
11th Mar 19, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says the current pessimism around the Australian and New Zealand currencies is not justified
Roger J Kerr says being over-reliant on a particular exchange forecast when managing FX risks has its own dangers when those forecasts suddenly change or are extreme and thus seem a long way from reality
4th Mar 19, 8:33am
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Roger J Kerr says being over-reliant on a particular exchange forecast when managing FX risks has its own dangers when those forecasts suddenly change or are extreme and thus seem a long way from reality
After a wild week for the NZ dollar, Roger J Kerr says a positive trade outcome between the US and China would be good for the Kiwi currency
25th Feb 19, 8:36am
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After a wild week for the NZ dollar, Roger J Kerr says a positive trade outcome between the US and China would be good for the Kiwi currency
Roger J Kerr says the 'reef fish' are still with us in the foreign exchange market and they've been forced to hastily swim back the other way
18th Feb 19, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says the 'reef fish' are still with us in the foreign exchange market and they've been forced to hastily swim back the other way
Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter
11th Feb 19, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says the latest unemployment figure seems like a 'rogue' number and he believes in time it will be proven that the labour market did not suddenly turn soft in the December quarter
Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months
4th Feb 19, 8:01am
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Roger J Kerr says a combination of a recovering Australian dollar and a weaker American currency has helped to push the NZ dollar higher; sees further gains for the Kiwi in coming weeks and months
Roger J Kerr says low local inflation has reduced the risk of a NZD selloff, the NZD won't fall relative to the major currencies, and the gloomy AUD view is overdone
28th Jan 19, 8:13am
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Roger J Kerr says low local inflation has reduced the risk of a NZD selloff, the NZD won't fall relative to the major currencies, and the gloomy AUD view is overdone
Roger J Kerr says the NZD isn't rising on improving global risk tolerance, and upcoming inflation figures will be key to the Kiwi's direction
21st Jan 19, 7:50am
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Roger J Kerr says the NZD isn't rising on improving global risk tolerance, and upcoming inflation figures will be key to the Kiwi's direction
Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift
14th Jan 19, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr sees the neagtives accumulating for the US dollar allowing the Kiwi dollar to rise along with a global sentiment shift
Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility
7th Jan 19, 7:54am
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Roger J Kerr looks at the new year currency puzzle and sees the Kiwi dollar caught in the backwash of global market volatility
Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves
21st Dec 18, 10:10am
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Roger J Kerr ends the year with some specific predictions on how the Kiwi dollar will track in 2019. He sees a game of three halves
Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower
17th Dec 18, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says the mood towards the US dollar value over 2019 should turn more negative, with the sharp increase in the US Government’s budget deficit cited as a reason to adjust USD currency holdings lower
Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar
10th Dec 18, 8:08am
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Roger J Kerr says moves in the US and Australian currencies will determine the next direction for the New Zealand dollar
Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range
3rd Dec 18, 8:26am
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Roger J Kerr suggests the Kiwi dollar may have struck fair equilibrium value in the US68c to US70c range
Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices
26th Nov 18, 8:37am
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Roger J Kerr examines the positives for the New Zealand dollar - and the negatives for global oil prices
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi
19th Nov 18, 8:16am
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar is now likely to go above US70c in coming weeks as speculators continue to unwind 'short-sold' positions and climb back into the Kiwi