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Recession

[updated]
RBNZ hits pause after two years of OCR hikes as economy shows signs of slowing. Says house prices at 'more sustainable levels'
12th Jul 23, 2:15pm
128
RBNZ hits pause after two years of OCR hikes as economy shows signs of slowing. Says house prices at 'more sustainable levels'
Two more RBA rate hikes, tumbling inflation, and a high chance of recession: how The Conversation's forecasting panel sees Australia's 2023-24
4th Jul 23, 10:01am
by Guest
8
Two more RBA rate hikes, tumbling inflation, and a high chance of recession: how The Conversation's forecasting panel sees Australia's 2023-24
Economist Brian Easton wonders whether we are evaluating the economy on the right criteria and says perhaps we should be paying more attention to rising overseas debt
4th Jul 23, 8:21am
8
Economist Brian Easton wonders whether we are evaluating the economy on the right criteria and says perhaps we should be paying more attention to rising overseas debt
Latest Reserve Bank figures show non-performing housing loans rose nearly 12% in May, climbing to levels last seen around eight years ago
3rd Jul 23, 1:40pm
62
Latest Reserve Bank figures show non-performing housing loans rose nearly 12% in May, climbing to levels last seen around eight years ago
Andrew Sheng & Xiao Geng highlight the challenges China faces in implementing its 'dual circulation' strategy
1st Jul 23, 9:41am
by Guest
2
Andrew Sheng & Xiao Geng highlight the challenges China faces in implementing its 'dual circulation' strategy
No longer seeing a doom-loop, Nouriel Roubini now anticipates a short and shallow recession, though with the potential for more worrying knock-on effects
28th Jun 23, 2:11pm
32
No longer seeing a doom-loop, Nouriel Roubini now anticipates a short and shallow recession, though with the potential for more worrying knock-on effects
The amount spent overseas by Kiwis on their credit cards has hit a new record high for a May month
22nd Jun 23, 3:41pm
38
The amount spent overseas by Kiwis on their credit cards has hit a new record high for a May month
David Hargreaves casts his mind forward over the next six months and outlines what he's looking out for in terms of the good, bad and potentially very ugly for the economy till the end of 2023
22nd Jun 23, 5:00am
164
David Hargreaves casts his mind forward over the next six months and outlines what he's looking out for in terms of the good, bad and potentially very ugly for the economy till the end of 2023
BNZ economists say a solid bounce in economic activity is expected in the second half of next year, but in the meantime there is more pain to be felt as the economy bounces along the bottom - torn between rising immigration and higher interest rates
21st Jun 23, 2:04pm
13
BNZ economists say a solid bounce in economic activity is expected in the second half of next year, but in the meantime there is more pain to be felt as the economy bounces along the bottom - torn between rising immigration and higher interest rates
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and assesses how the unfolding of various economic events has matched up against what was expected to happen
18th Jun 23, 6:00am
163
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and assesses how the unfolding of various economic events has matched up against what was expected to happen
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
16th Jun 23, 6:39am
50
A high rate of migration has offset a steeper decline in New Zealand’s GDP per capita
Stats NZ says the economy contracted 0.1% in the March quarter - the second quarter in a row of contraction
15th Jun 23, 10:57am
169
Stats NZ says the economy contracted 0.1% in the March quarter - the second quarter in a row of contraction
Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
12th Jun 23, 3:22pm
21
Economists at the country's biggest banks are neatly divided as to whether the economy has or has not gone into recession, but there's great consensus that things are slowing and that our current account deficit's very big
Figures to be released in the coming week may or may not show the country entering a 'technical recession' - but either way, the Reserve Bank will be content enough if the data shows heat coming out of the economy
11th Jun 23, 6:00am
18
Figures to be released in the coming week may or may not show the country entering a 'technical recession' - but either way, the Reserve Bank will be content enough if the data shows heat coming out of the economy
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
31st May 23, 7:52am
49
The Reserve Bank may have just ensured it won't become the meat in the political sandwich during the forthcoming election campaign
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
29th May 23, 1:55pm
18
ASB economists rue the whiplash derived from last week's big 'dovish' shift by the Reserve Bank, while Westpac economists still see a further Official Cash Rate hike in August and ANZ economists expect one in November
The Reserve Bank says the OCR has gone high enough and recession may be avoided
24th May 23, 6:33pm
92
The Reserve Bank says the OCR has gone high enough and recession may be avoided
[updated]
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
24th May 23, 2:11pm
150
Reserve Bank raises interest rates as expected but throws in a major surprise by indicating this will be the last rise
Significant amounts of new spending in Budget 2023 could provoke the RBNZ to push the OCR higher
18th May 23, 7:24pm
84
Significant amounts of new spending in Budget 2023 could provoke the RBNZ to push the OCR higher
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
17th May 23, 12:05pm
65
BNZ economists say the Reserve Bank's next move is likely to be heavily influenced by its assumptions of the supply and demand impacts of a net migration inflow that is 'much stronger than anyone believed'
What recession? New Zealand is still adding jobs, Statistics NZ's March employment indicator shows
28th Apr 23, 1:29pm
36
What recession? New Zealand is still adding jobs, Statistics NZ's March employment indicator shows
Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng say without multilateral cooperation and global coordination on fiscal and monetary policies, the world economy could sleepwalk into a recession that would likely trigger more debt and financial crises, as well as proxy wars
27th Apr 23, 10:34am
by Guest
7
Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng say without multilateral cooperation and global coordination on fiscal and monetary policies, the world economy could sleepwalk into a recession that would likely trigger more debt and financial crises, as well as proxy wars
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
75
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
103
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
115
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?