Recession
Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng say without multilateral cooperation and global coordination on fiscal and monetary policies, the world economy could sleepwalk into a recession that would likely trigger more debt and financial crises, as well as proxy wars
27th Apr 23, 10:34am
7
Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng say without multilateral cooperation and global coordination on fiscal and monetary policies, the world economy could sleepwalk into a recession that would likely trigger more debt and financial crises, as well as proxy wars
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
13th Apr 23, 9:45am
75
The banks are demonstrating that they won't hike interest rates just because the Reserve Bank would like them to - so it might be better for the RBNZ to adopt more of a waiting game
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
6th Apr 23, 8:45am
103
BNZ's head of research says the RBNZ should have opted for a smaller Official Cash Rate rise and caution that further rate rises might be needed; approach taken 'will most definitely generate heightened volatility'
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
5th Apr 23, 2:55pm
115
The Reserve Bank has double-pumped the Official Cash Rate with its surprise 50 basis point hike in an effort to blindside the markets. But is it now going to run out of ammo?
NZIER’s quarterly survey of business opinion shows RBNZ winning inflation battle and causing recession
4th Apr 23, 2:00pm
23
NZIER’s quarterly survey of business opinion shows RBNZ winning inflation battle and causing recession
NZIER’s quarterly survey shows economic capacity pressures are easing and businesses are more worried about sales than hiring
4th Apr 23, 10:07am
36
NZIER’s quarterly survey shows economic capacity pressures are easing and businesses are more worried about sales than hiring
Federal Reserve’s ‘soft landing’ goal has become bumpier with rate hike plan hit by bank turbulence
25th Mar 23, 9:31am
2
Federal Reserve’s ‘soft landing’ goal has become bumpier with rate hike plan hit by bank turbulence
[updated]
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
23rd Feb 23, 9:37am
71
'People who took out high leveraged loans in the 2020-21 period will be facing very high interest servicing costs'; RBNZ says gap between mortgage and deposit interest rates 'more extreme over recent times'
[updated]
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
22nd Feb 23, 2:11pm
138
The Reserve Bank says while there are early signs of demand easing it continues to outpace supply, as reflected in strong domestic inflation; sees recent storm damage adding 0.3 percentage points to inflation in the March and June 2023 quarters
Keynes warned us that practical men and women are but slaves of defunct economists. Economist Brian Easton says the comment is particularly relevant as we try to understand the prospects for inflation
13th Feb 23, 9:23am
8
Keynes warned us that practical men and women are but slaves of defunct economists. Economist Brian Easton says the comment is particularly relevant as we try to understand the prospects for inflation
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of a very quick beginning to the year, which means we are unlikely to be able to draw breath until the October election is over. Expect drama
24th Jan 23, 11:05am
51
David Hargreaves tries to make sense of a very quick beginning to the year, which means we are unlikely to be able to draw breath until the October election is over. Expect drama
David Hargreaves has a quick check on the temperature of the economy with a recap of where we left off in 2022 as we now look towards what appears likely to be a very fast start to things financial in 2023
16th Jan 23, 11:43am
60
David Hargreaves has a quick check on the temperature of the economy with a recap of where we left off in 2022 as we now look towards what appears likely to be a very fast start to things financial in 2023
Economist Brian Easton says the two most comprehensive forecasts of the New Zealand economy are by the Reserve Bank and the Treasury. They are especially important because they inform monetary and fiscal policy. What do they say?
16th Jan 23, 8:30am
13
Economist Brian Easton says the two most comprehensive forecasts of the New Zealand economy are by the Reserve Bank and the Treasury. They are especially important because they inform monetary and fiscal policy. What do they say?
Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng are not surprised that economic planners in China and elsewhere are preparing for a recession
30th Dec 22, 9:34am
4
Andrew Sheng and Xiao Geng are not surprised that economic planners in China and elsewhere are preparing for a recession
Motu Executive Director and ex-RBNZ Assistant Governor John McDermott assesses the state of the local & international economies as 2022 hurtles towards 2023
21st Dec 22, 7:30am
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Motu Executive Director and ex-RBNZ Assistant Governor John McDermott assesses the state of the local & international economies as 2022 hurtles towards 2023
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
14th Dec 22, 2:33pm
46
Reserve Bank Governor says our banks need to take a long term view on their customer base 'because it is a lifetime of earnings they get off each customer'
Govt extends petrol tax cut by two months to end of March, but diesel RUCs cut will end as scheduled on Jan 31
14th Dec 22, 2:02pm
74
Govt extends petrol tax cut by two months to end of March, but diesel RUCs cut will end as scheduled on Jan 31
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
7th Dec 22, 8:08am
78
Kiwibank economists say the RBNZ is 'doggedly determined to deliver' OCR hikes and it is 'likely to be too much'; see bigger house price falls now, of 21%, taking prices back to 2020 levels
Economist Brian Easton asks: Is leaving inflation fighting to the Reserve Bank all we can do?
5th Dec 22, 9:19am
28
Economist Brian Easton asks: Is leaving inflation fighting to the Reserve Bank all we can do?
David Hargreaves continues to highlight some of the issues he’s looking out for in 2023 and says that while he hates elections, he concedes that next year's one will be crucial
4th Dec 22, 6:00am
242
David Hargreaves continues to highlight some of the issues he’s looking out for in 2023 and says that while he hates elections, he concedes that next year's one will be crucial
Putting a spotlight on the Reserve Bank's inflation fight with Fisher Funds Management's David McLeish
3rd Dec 22, 9:00am
20
Putting a spotlight on the Reserve Bank's inflation fight with Fisher Funds Management's David McLeish
David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2023. There are a lot of them, so, this is going to be part I of a two-parter
2nd Dec 22, 10:40am
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David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2023. There are a lot of them, so, this is going to be part I of a two-parter
ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says 'good on' the Reserve Bank for recognising the scale of the inflation problem 'and fronting up to the fact that hoping inflation just goes away is likely to lead to worse outcomes in the end'
30th Nov 22, 2:56pm
13
ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says 'good on' the Reserve Bank for recognising the scale of the inflation problem 'and fronting up to the fact that hoping inflation just goes away is likely to lead to worse outcomes in the end'
Kiwibank economists believe the interest rate hikes that have already been delivered will have a huge impact on households and discretionary income will evaporate for many mortgagees
28th Nov 22, 1:57pm
119
Kiwibank economists believe the interest rate hikes that have already been delivered will have a huge impact on households and discretionary income will evaporate for many mortgagees
Juniper Research sees economic downturn and energy costs as key factors in technology trends for 2023
25th Nov 22, 11:16am
Juniper Research sees economic downturn and energy costs as key factors in technology trends for 2023