Recession
Westpac NZ's Michael Gordon expecting OCR cuts from early 2024 given RBNZ forecast for GFC-style downturn
24th Nov 22, 9:27am
100
Westpac NZ's Michael Gordon expecting OCR cuts from early 2024 given RBNZ forecast for GFC-style downturn
[updated]
Reserve Bank Governor says the central bank is sorry that New Zealanders are being buffeted by significant shocks and inflation is above target; inflation is no one’s friend and causes economic costs
24th Nov 22, 8:56am
100
Reserve Bank Governor says the central bank is sorry that New Zealanders are being buffeted by significant shocks and inflation is above target; inflation is no one’s friend and causes economic costs
Reserve Bank raises Official Cash Rate to a level not seen since 2008; now sees OCR peaking at 5.5% and holding there for a year; forecasting a RECESSION from mid-2023
23rd Nov 22, 2:10pm
301
Reserve Bank raises Official Cash Rate to a level not seen since 2008; now sees OCR peaking at 5.5% and holding there for a year; forecasting a RECESSION from mid-2023
Economists surprised by fall in retail spending in the June quarter, which raises the possibility the country may have gone into a technical recession in the first half of the year
25th Aug 22, 12:59pm
62
Economists surprised by fall in retail spending in the June quarter, which raises the possibility the country may have gone into a technical recession in the first half of the year
John Mauldin says the US is probably in an as-yet-undeclared recession, but he can't recall any other recession coinciding with record-low unemployment and jammed airports
2nd Aug 22, 11:29am
22
John Mauldin says the US is probably in an as-yet-undeclared recession, but he can't recall any other recession coinciding with record-low unemployment and jammed airports
BNZ Interest Rate Strategist Nick Smyth explains how financial markets are behaving in a recessionary manner
31st Jul 22, 11:10am
59
BNZ Interest Rate Strategist Nick Smyth explains how financial markets are behaving in a recessionary manner
Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality
18th Jul 22, 8:32am
17
Economist Brian Easton says the ongoing decline in market income inequality stopped in the 1980s. Since then it has been stable, while 1990 public policy actively increased disposable income inequality
Economist Brian Easton says we cannot be sure if we are facing secular stagnation, but the answer matters - even in the short term
11th Jul 22, 8:32am
9
Economist Brian Easton says we cannot be sure if we are facing secular stagnation, but the answer matters - even in the short term
Ex-RBNZ Deputy Governor and Acting Governor Grant Spencer says the RBNZ should've started increasing the OCR sooner to combat inflation, gives his outlook for inflation
17th Jun 22, 12:57pm
54
Ex-RBNZ Deputy Governor and Acting Governor Grant Spencer says the RBNZ should've started increasing the OCR sooner to combat inflation, gives his outlook for inflation
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
12th Jun 22, 6:00am
151
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on why he expects the OCR to be hiked another 100 basis points by August, but why the RBNZ doesn't need to go as high as its 4% OCR forecast
29th May 22, 6:00am
140
Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on why he expects the OCR to be hiked another 100 basis points by August, but why the RBNZ doesn't need to go as high as its 4% OCR forecast
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
27th May 22, 10:52am
10
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
BNZ economists say the chances of a recession increase by the day and they are predicting economic growth to 'stall' completely next year; house price falls to get worse
11th May 22, 1:30pm
164
BNZ economists say the chances of a recession increase by the day and they are predicting economic growth to 'stall' completely next year; house price falls to get worse
Stephen Roach says predictions of 'the perfect soft landing' for the global economy could be wishful thinking
26th Apr 22, 3:59pm
6
Stephen Roach says predictions of 'the perfect soft landing' for the global economy could be wishful thinking
David Hargreaves says the poor planning of the Government coupled with a worsening economic scenario doesn't bode well for our moves to reconnect with the world
24th Mar 22, 2:39pm
40
David Hargreaves says the poor planning of the Government coupled with a worsening economic scenario doesn't bode well for our moves to reconnect with the world
John Mauldin says with energy spikes preceding almost every recession in the past 80 years, another one is coming now and it will be global
14th Mar 22, 12:05pm
26
John Mauldin says with energy spikes preceding almost every recession in the past 80 years, another one is coming now and it will be global
David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
9th Dec 21, 10:03am
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David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
7th Dec 21, 9:30am
16
The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
Stephen Roach is getting that 1970s feeling from the Federal Reserve's sanguine view of recent price data
26th May 21, 9:49am
27
Stephen Roach is getting that 1970s feeling from the Federal Reserve's sanguine view of recent price data
Stephen Roach explains why he expected a double-dip US recession this year, and why that call now lies in tatters
25th Apr 21, 8:59am
12
Stephen Roach explains why he expected a double-dip US recession this year, and why that call now lies in tatters
Pinelopi Goldberg points out that poor countries aren't becoming richer so much as rich countries are becoming poorer
30th Jan 21, 3:35pm
1
Pinelopi Goldberg points out that poor countries aren't becoming richer so much as rich countries are becoming poorer
Stephen Roach explains why the negative impact on supply and demand will not end when the pandemic does
28th Dec 20, 7:59am
26
Stephen Roach explains why the negative impact on supply and demand will not end when the pandemic does
David Hargreaves with a wish list for 2021, which includes vaccines, open borders and cooling house prices
13th Dec 20, 7:02am
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David Hargreaves with a wish list for 2021, which includes vaccines, open borders and cooling house prices
David Hargreaves reviews 2020 - a year that proved to be anything but the 'stable and boring' one he was looking for
6th Dec 20, 6:31am
14
David Hargreaves reviews 2020 - a year that proved to be anything but the 'stable and boring' one he was looking for
Stephen Roach points out that while a COVID-19 vaccine promises a spring of hope, a winter of despair is coming first for the US
25th Nov 20, 12:27pm
18
Stephen Roach points out that while a COVID-19 vaccine promises a spring of hope, a winter of despair is coming first for the US