Unemployment
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
12th Jun 22, 6:00am
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David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
3rd Jun 22, 8:30am
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David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
172
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on why he expects the OCR to be hiked another 100 basis points by August, but why the RBNZ doesn't need to go as high as its 4% OCR forecast
29th May 22, 6:00am
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Kiwibank Chief Economist Jarrod Kerr on why he expects the OCR to be hiked another 100 basis points by August, but why the RBNZ doesn't need to go as high as its 4% OCR forecast
Governor Adrian Orr tells Bloomberg it's a 'very plausible outcome' that the OCR isn't increased as high as the RBNZ forecasts
27th May 22, 8:15am
24
Governor Adrian Orr tells Bloomberg it's a 'very plausible outcome' that the OCR isn't increased as high as the RBNZ forecasts
BNZ's Stephen Toplis argues the labour market is causing RBNZ monetary policy more problems than the highest inflation in 30 years
18th May 22, 12:40pm
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BNZ's Stephen Toplis argues the labour market is causing RBNZ monetary policy more problems than the highest inflation in 30 years
Influential RBNZ survey shows that even though the central bank has already hiked interest rates to fight inflation, people believe that high inflation is going to be with us for quite some time
12th May 22, 3:21pm
34
Influential RBNZ survey shows that even though the central bank has already hiked interest rates to fight inflation, people believe that high inflation is going to be with us for quite some time
Statistics New Zealand says food prices climbed 0.1% last month, with the rise in minimum wage having an impact
12th May 22, 11:14am
7
Statistics New Zealand says food prices climbed 0.1% last month, with the rise in minimum wage having an impact
BNZ economists say the chances of a recession increase by the day and they are predicting economic growth to 'stall' completely next year; house price falls to get worse
11th May 22, 1:30pm
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BNZ economists say the chances of a recession increase by the day and they are predicting economic growth to 'stall' completely next year; house price falls to get worse
Domestic political risks with global economic & geopolitical consequences loom large around the world from China to the US. David Skilling says brace for shocks
8th May 22, 6:00am
24
Domestic political risks with global economic & geopolitical consequences loom large around the world from China to the US. David Skilling says brace for shocks
Friday breakfast briefing: Stagflation fears dominate financial markets, Bank of England hikes, modest oil supply increase from OPEC
6th May 22, 7:35am
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Friday breakfast briefing: Stagflation fears dominate financial markets, Bank of England hikes, modest oil supply increase from OPEC
Thursday breakfast briefing: US Fed hikes, eyes quantitative tightening from June, EU to ban Russian crude oil
5th May 22, 7:30am
117
Thursday breakfast briefing: US Fed hikes, eyes quantitative tightening from June, EU to ban Russian crude oil
Statistics New Zealand says private sector wage costs rose 3.1% in the past year
4th May 22, 11:04am
25
Statistics New Zealand says private sector wage costs rose 3.1% in the past year
Wednesday breakfast briefing: Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike sees NZ dollar drop, dairy prices tumble, equity markets remain choppy
4th May 22, 7:25am
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Wednesday breakfast briefing: Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike sees NZ dollar drop, dairy prices tumble, equity markets remain choppy
Tuesday breakfast briefing: US dollar strength, NZ dollar soft v greenback, US 10-year Treasury tops 3%, RBA rate rise expected
3rd May 22, 7:25am
41
Tuesday breakfast briefing: US dollar strength, NZ dollar soft v greenback, US 10-year Treasury tops 3%, RBA rate rise expected
This week's labour market figures are expected to see unemployment drop even further, but arguably more important will be whether wage rates are starting to take off
2nd May 22, 11:20am
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This week's labour market figures are expected to see unemployment drop even further, but arguably more important will be whether wage rates are starting to take off
US Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia & Bank of England expected to raise rates this week, with NZ unemployment set for a new low
2nd May 22, 7:24am
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US Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia & Bank of England expected to raise rates this week, with NZ unemployment set for a new low
NZ faces rising living costs and higher unemployment at a time a large number of people already require government support
21st Apr 22, 5:17pm
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NZ faces rising living costs and higher unemployment at a time a large number of people already require government support
David Hargreaves says we need to be keeping a close eye on what happens when households face - as they will - enormous increases in mortgage payments
20th Apr 22, 2:13pm
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David Hargreaves says we need to be keeping a close eye on what happens when households face - as they will - enormous increases in mortgage payments
Why has a chasm opened up between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's OCR and Reserve Bank of Australia's Cash Rate Target?
20th Apr 22, 10:05am
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Why has a chasm opened up between the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's OCR and Reserve Bank of Australia's Cash Rate Target?
ASB economists say short term fixed mortgage rate rises 'still have quite a way to go' this year
19th Apr 22, 2:44pm
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ASB economists say short term fixed mortgage rate rises 'still have quite a way to go' this year
RBNZ Governor says the central bank needs to 'retain anti-inflation bias in everything we do' to prevent inflation expectations becoming 'baked in' to price setting
19th Apr 22, 9:51am
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RBNZ Governor says the central bank needs to 'retain anti-inflation bias in everything we do' to prevent inflation expectations becoming 'baked in' to price setting
Matt Nolan argues the government's push for an unemployment insurance scheme should be slowed down or implemented in a less ambitious way to start with
17th Apr 22, 6:00am
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Matt Nolan argues the government's push for an unemployment insurance scheme should be slowed down or implemented in a less ambitious way to start with
David Hargreaves says the RBNZ needed to send a message to the markets that rampant inflation is its sole priority at the moment; an approach that is made possible by the - for now - buoyant state of the labour market
13th Apr 22, 2:12pm
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David Hargreaves says the RBNZ needed to send a message to the markets that rampant inflation is its sole priority at the moment; an approach that is made possible by the - for now - buoyant state of the labour market
Statistics New Zealand says the 7.6% annual hike in food prices is the biggest since 2011 - and that was affected by a GST rise; general inflation set to top 7% annual rate as at end of March
13th Apr 22, 11:15am
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Statistics New Zealand says the 7.6% annual hike in food prices is the biggest since 2011 - and that was affected by a GST rise; general inflation set to top 7% annual rate as at end of March