yield curve
What does five year mortgage rates being lower than one and two year rates mean?
25th Jul 23, 11:15am
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What does five year mortgage rates being lower than one and two year rates mean?
BNZ Interest Rate Strategist Nick Smyth explains how financial markets are behaving in a recessionary manner
31st Jul 22, 11:10am
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BNZ Interest Rate Strategist Nick Smyth explains how financial markets are behaving in a recessionary manner
Harbour Asset Management's Mark Brown says some interesting interpretations can be inferred from the signals embedded in yield curves
16th Feb 22, 9:25am
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Harbour Asset Management's Mark Brown says some interesting interpretations can be inferred from the signals embedded in yield curves
Those both pro and anti the way the RBNZ has done its QE programme acknowledge it had no choice but to intervene to calm the bond market back in March
13th Sep 20, 6:02am
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Those both pro and anti the way the RBNZ has done its QE programme acknowledge it had no choice but to intervene to calm the bond market back in March
Michael Reddell on why there is a much stronger case than is generally recognised for a cut at the RBNZ's review of the OCR next week
16th Sep 19, 1:18pm
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Michael Reddell on why there is a much stronger case than is generally recognised for a cut at the RBNZ's review of the OCR next week
ANZ's Sandeep Parekh probes whether we should be worried that the New Zealand yield curve has been inverted recently
25th Jul 19, 12:30pm
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ANZ's Sandeep Parekh probes whether we should be worried that the New Zealand yield curve has been inverted recently
John Mauldin of Mauldin Economics says in such bizarre times all bets are off, but the storm clouds are gathering and someone, potentially you, is likely to get hit
22nd Jul 19, 2:05pm
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John Mauldin of Mauldin Economics says in such bizarre times all bets are off, but the storm clouds are gathering and someone, potentially you, is likely to get hit
Interest rates around the world drop sharply - many to record lows - after the US Federal Reserve signals strongly toward a future interest rate cut
20th Jun 19, 4:00pm
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Interest rates around the world drop sharply - many to record lows - after the US Federal Reserve signals strongly toward a future interest rate cut
Kiwibank economists say following re-election of the Coalition the RBA is free to cut interest rates across the Tasman and this will increase pressure on the Reserve Bank to cut the Official Cash Rate again here
20th May 19, 1:10pm
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Kiwibank economists say following re-election of the Coalition the RBA is free to cut interest rates across the Tasman and this will increase pressure on the Reserve Bank to cut the Official Cash Rate again here
Rates continue to sink in the light of global uncertainties and in the wake of the Reserve Bank's Official Cash rate cut
15th May 19, 1:39pm
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Rates continue to sink in the light of global uncertainties and in the wake of the Reserve Bank's Official Cash rate cut
Global gloom following signs of falling EU and US growth drives NZ swap rate to record low
25th Mar 19, 2:37pm
Global gloom following signs of falling EU and US growth drives NZ swap rate to record low
Jarrod Kerr with the Top 10 things to think about into 2019 from trade wars to yield curve inversion, wage growth, property, Italy and more
14th Dec 18, 10:12am
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Jarrod Kerr with the Top 10 things to think about into 2019 from trade wars to yield curve inversion, wage growth, property, Italy and more
Markets take Powell's speech as 'dovish' despite asset price risk and labour market tightness comments. Fed sees more hikes to achieve 'neutral' rate position
27th Aug 18, 8:24am
Markets take Powell's speech as 'dovish' despite asset price risk and labour market tightness comments. Fed sees more hikes to achieve 'neutral' rate position
UST yields and US dollar fall on US Q2 GDP estimate. Fed's PCE inflation guage lower than expected. A NZD short squeeze likely. Eyes on big data and policy releases
30th Jul 18, 7:51am
UST yields and US dollar fall on US Q2 GDP estimate. Fed's PCE inflation guage lower than expected. A NZD short squeeze likely. Eyes on big data and policy releases
Markets respond to improved earnings and new China stimulus. Risk appetities rise. Copper rebounds. Eyes on US-EU summit. Bond yields stabilise
25th Jul 18, 7:58am
Markets respond to improved earnings and new China stimulus. Risk appetities rise. Copper rebounds. Eyes on US-EU summit. Bond yields stabilise
Signals the Bank of Japan is readying changes to its policy framework sets off market scramble likely to echo locally today. PBOC injects more liquidity. US yields rise, curve steepens
24th Jul 18, 8:08am
Signals the Bank of Japan is readying changes to its policy framework sets off market scramble likely to echo locally today. PBOC injects more liquidity. US yields rise, curve steepens
US claims Mexico trade deal closer, claims EU offering better deal. Markets unimpressed. But market volatility shifts lower. Local rates shift lower
19th Jul 18, 8:14am
US claims Mexico trade deal closer, claims EU offering better deal. Markets unimpressed. But market volatility shifts lower. Local rates shift lower
Fed chairman's prepared Senate testimony adds the caveat 'for now' in relation to the rate hike track. With less hawkish stance, equity markets rise
18th Jul 18, 8:14am
Fed chairman's prepared Senate testimony adds the caveat 'for now' in relation to the rate hike track. With less hawkish stance, equity markets rise
Fed's Powell faces Congress as markets price in another rate rise. Trade impacts will be the focus. But US growth for Q2-18 now looks like it will be reported strong
17th Jul 18, 8:34am
Fed's Powell faces Congress as markets price in another rate rise. Trade impacts will be the focus. But US growth for Q2-18 now looks like it will be reported strong
US earnings season results take market focus. But Powell views on trade risks to be keenly observed. Major Chinese data due. UST yields slip
16th Jul 18, 7:49am
US earnings season results take market focus. But Powell views on trade risks to be keenly observed. Major Chinese data due. UST yields slip
Oil prices move higher on more restrained output targets. US yield curve flattest since 2007. Fed official reports significant change in US corporate mood
19th Jun 18, 8:06am
Oil prices move higher on more restrained output targets. US yield curve flattest since 2007. Fed official reports significant change in US corporate mood
If financial markets are driven by two powerful emotions, greed and fear, then the lack of fear in bond markets suggests a cavalier attitude that may not end well
31st Dec 17, 8:02am
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If financial markets are driven by two powerful emotions, greed and fear, then the lack of fear in bond markets suggests a cavalier attitude that may not end well
Jacob Shapiro warns that when the next US recession comes, it will strike with inequality at new heights, which is likely to translate into massive political change
22nd Nov 17, 8:42am
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Jacob Shapiro warns that when the next US recession comes, it will strike with inequality at new heights, which is likely to translate into massive political change
ASB's Barbara Chapman sceptical on 10-year home loans saying 'locking yourself up isn't attractive for everyone'
12th Feb 15, 10:19am
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ASB's Barbara Chapman sceptical on 10-year home loans saying 'locking yourself up isn't attractive for everyone'
Even though a negative rate slope is not likely in the next few weeks, Westpac picks an inversion to happen after that and last maybe a year
26th Jan 15, 10:49am
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Even though a negative rate slope is not likely in the next few weeks, Westpac picks an inversion to happen after that and last maybe a year