Here's my summary of the key news overnight in 90 seconds at 9 am, including news that China is casting a shadow over Thursday's RBNZ decisions.
China’s benchmark interest rate for short-term interbank financing fell to a 21-month low yesterday on speculation that the slowing growth is reducing the demand for cash. An export slump is raising concerns. That interbank rate is now 2.37% the lowest level since June 1, 2012, a slump of 113 basis points since last week.
The tightening of credit in February at the same time as the slowing of growth has seen the yuan fall its most since 2012. And that may be the official plan.
And the iron ore price suffered one of its biggest falls on record on the same concerns. It dropped 8.3% to US$104.70 a tonne late yesterday – its second biggest one-day percentage fall on record. Traders say it is now in a bear market.
And China's inflation rate is falling. Consumer prices rose just 2% in February, its lowest rate in more than a year and a sharp decline from 3.2% in October.
Meanwhile in Japan, their current account deficit hit a record 1.5 tln yen (US$15 bln) in January, as economic growth figures for Q4 2013 are revised down.
While the US is still on the improve, for New Zealand stuttering in both China and Japan may create concerning echoes here.
The oil price is down more than US$1/barrel for both the US and Brent benchmarks. Gold is up to almost $1,345/oz and benchmark UST 10yr bonds are steady at 2.79% today.
As an aside, coffee prices are taking off and that will affect the cost of your morning brew soon. Arabica bean prices are up an amazing 76% since the beninning of the year!
Yesterday's jump in swap rates is following through to our exchange rate today. While we are nowhere near records for any one of our TWI components we are starting today at a record high on the TWI at 79.33. We are at 84.6 USc, 93.9 AUc and 87.4 yen.
If you want to catch up with all the changes yesterday, we have an update here.
The easiest place to stay up with today's event risk is by following our Economic Calendar here »
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