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Which of these factors is likely to have the biggest impact on our economy over the next 12 months?

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Bonds

Key to rip up RMA reforms

PM says will have to "rip up" RMA reforms and go back to drawing board; will abandon rewrite of sections 6 and 7; denies 'tide is turning' talk and says most will say 'yeah whatever'

90 seconds at 9 am: A tax on bank deposits

US growth cools, confidence holds; Greece eyes drachma comeback; China wary of deflation; Aust to tax bank deposits; bond yields rise; oil and gold falls; NZ$1 = 75.6 USc, TWI = 80.2

Winston wins Northland by-election

Updated
NZ First Leader Winston Peters wins Northland by-election with 4,012 vote majority; National will need Dunne, Maori or NZ First to pass RMA; Key's first loss

90 seconds at 9 am: Oil worries

Arabian Peninsula woes; Oil price surges; US jobless claims fall; yields higher; NZ$1 = US75.62

90 seconds at 9 am: 'Rigged remuneration'

US durable goods orders fall; Greece caught short; RBA worried about commercial property; 'rigged remuneration'; yields lower; commodity prices higher; NZ$1 = 76.1 USc, TWI = 80.4

What happened Wednesday

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Wednesday; Fonterra disappoints, Ruataniwha gets lifeline, China's consumers smiling, trade surplus vanishing, mortgage approvals peak, swap curve flattens

Bernard's Top 10

Will the maturing KiwiSaver money be leveraged up and pumped into rental property?; Diamonds aren't forever; Greece's April 20 brick wall; Clarke and Dawe; Dilbert

90 seconds at 9 am: Cheap money

US CPI suggests inflation uptick; US new home sales jump, factories busier; EU factories also busier; China sees slowdown; NZ$1 = 76.4 USc, TWI = 80.7

What happened Tuesday

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Tuesday; Spark borrows at 4.5%, Grant Spencer gets big OECD role, MRP to shut capacity, Payments NZ gets new members

English sanguine about record high NZ$

English says record high NZ$ good for consumers, but hard for exporters; won't press RBNZ for OCR cut; defends social housing reforms; concerned about NZ$1.2 bln Housing NZ repair bill