Jason Wong

Risk appetite is higher on optimism that the worst is over in the Iran conflict, while the reality is that nothing much has changed on the battleground. Brent crude falls to just over US$100/bbl. IEA says more emergency oil stocks available if required

Risk appetite is higher on optimism that the worst is over in the Iran conflict, while the reality is that nothing much has changed on the battleground. Brent crude falls to just over US$100/bbl. IEA says more emergency oil stocks available if required

The IEA agreed to release 400m barrels from strategic oil reserves; small mercies whilst the Strait of Hormuz effectively remains closed; Brent crude trading near top of daily range. US CPI data in line, but US Treasury yields show steady grind higher

The IEA agreed to release 400m barrels from strategic oil reserves; small mercies whilst the Strait of Hormuz effectively remains closed; Brent crude trading near top of daily range. US CPI data in line, but US Treasury yields show steady grind higher

Risk sentiment has improved further following the tumble in oil prices, taking Brent crude to USD86 per barrel US Treasury yields show only small movement while European rates have played catch-up and are much lower

Risk sentiment has improved further following the tumble in oil prices, taking Brent crude to USD86 per barrel US Treasury yields show only small movement while European rates have played catch-up and are much lower

Risk sentiment improves considerably, with markets eyeing potential release of strategic oil reserves. US equities weaker, US treasury yields steadily fall overnight

Risk sentiment improves considerably, with markets eyeing potential release of strategic oil reserves. US equities weaker, US treasury yields steadily fall overnight

There is no sign of an end to the conflict in the Middle East; if anything, the conflict has extended across the region. Risk sentiment has soured. US Treasury yields push higher for a fourth consecutive day

There is no sign of an end to the conflict in the Middle East; if anything, the conflict has extended across the region. Risk sentiment has soured. US Treasury yields push higher for a fourth consecutive day

After initial caution, investors are take pessimistic view of the Mid-East conflict seeing less chance of a quick resolution. Global equities tumble; US Treasury yields a little higher while European rates are much higher on inflation concerns

After initial caution, investors are take pessimistic view of the Mid-East conflict seeing less chance of a quick resolution. Global equities tumble; US Treasury yields a little higher while European rates are much higher on inflation concerns

Market focus on Middle East. Brent crude up 6%. Gas prices surge. Equity markets mostly weaker, but US equities recover from initial hit. Initial safe haven bid for bonds quickly fades as inflation concerns dominate. USD broadly stronger

Market focus on Middle East. Brent crude up 6%. Gas prices surge. Equity markets mostly weaker, but US equities recover from initial hit. Initial safe haven bid for bonds quickly fades as inflation concerns dominate. USD broadly stronger

Negative risk vibe overnight. Weaker tech stocks drag down US equities despite strong Nvidia result. US Treasuries supported. Oil prices higher on war risk

Negative risk vibe overnight. Weaker tech stocks drag down US equities despite strong Nvidia result. US Treasuries supported. Oil prices higher on war risk

US 10% global tariff comes into effect; no sign yet of the threatened higher 15% rate. US equities have recovered some of yesterday’s losses. Global rates have shown only minor movements

US 10% global tariff comes into effect; no sign yet of the threatened higher 15% rate. US equities have recovered some of yesterday’s losses. Global rates have shown only minor movements

Risk sentiment weaker as markets digest the implications of the latest saga on Trump’s tariff policy. US equities down over 1%, with rotation towards defensive sector; US Treasury yields down 4-8bps Safe haven CHF and JPY currencies have outperformed

Risk sentiment weaker as markets digest the implications of the latest saga on Trump’s tariff policy. US equities down over 1%, with rotation towards defensive sector; US Treasury yields down 4-8bps Safe haven CHF and JPY currencies have outperformed

Oil prices up nearly +4% on US-Iran "agreement" doubts. US equities respond positively to stronger second-tier US economic data. US Treasury yields and USD nudge higher

Oil prices up nearly +4% on US-Iran "agreement" doubts. US equities respond positively to stronger second-tier US economic data. US Treasury yields and USD nudge higher

Choppy market conditions overnight but net movements modest. Oil prices are lower. US Treasury yields push higher after earlier falls as risk of war in the Middle East fades. Domestic focus on RBNZ MPS

Choppy market conditions overnight but net movements modest. Oil prices are lower. US Treasury yields push higher after earlier falls as risk of war in the Middle East fades. Domestic focus on RBNZ MPS

US equity futures flat, US Treasury futures slightly higher, implying further modest downward pressure on yields. BofA fund manager survey shows record short positioning for the USD

US equity futures flat, US Treasury futures slightly higher, implying further modest downward pressure on yields. BofA fund manager survey shows record short positioning for the USD

US equities fall by more than 1%, US Treasury yields lower on risk-off vibe. Yen and ultra-long JGBs continue to rally after Takaichi's big election win

US equities fall by more than 1%, US Treasury yields lower on risk-off vibe. Yen and ultra-long JGBs continue to rally after Takaichi's big election win

Stronger than expected US labour market figures all round - payrolls up 130k, unemployment rate drops to 4.3%. Market pares expected rate cuts this year, US Treasuries curve flattens

Stronger than expected US labour market figures all round - payrolls up 130k, unemployment rate drops to 4.3%. Market pares expected rate cuts this year, US Treasuries curve flattens

Broadly weaker USD overnight. Strong rise in Japanese equities after PM Takaichi wins a strong mandate to govern. JPY recovers after early weakness

Broadly weaker USD overnight. Strong rise in Japanese equities after PM Takaichi wins a strong mandate to govern. JPY recovers after early weakness

Lower tech stocks drive down US equities while investors rotate to value. Gold and silver prices recover strongly. RBA hikes as expected, supporting higher Australian rates and the AUD, with positive spillover into the NZD

Lower tech stocks drive down US equities while investors rotate to value. Gold and silver prices recover strongly. RBA hikes as expected, supporting higher Australian rates and the AUD, with positive spillover into the NZD

The US ISM manufacturing index makes a strong recovery. Markets settle after volatile open to the week; US Treasury yields push higher. Oil prices plunge nearly 5%

The US ISM manufacturing index makes a strong recovery. Markets settle after volatile open to the week; US Treasury yields push higher. Oil prices plunge nearly 5%

Follow-through in currency markets after Friday's "price checks" on yen. Coordinated action between Japan and NY Fed raised speculation that a weaker USD is part of the plan alongside reducing speculative selling in the yen

Follow-through in currency markets after Friday's "price checks" on yen. Coordinated action between Japan and NY Fed raised speculation that a weaker USD is part of the plan alongside reducing speculative selling in the yen

US Dollar debasement trade supports gold and silver; Oil jumps over 3% on weaker USD and fears of future US military action in Iran. NZ annual CPI inflation of 3.1% at top of market estimates

US Dollar debasement trade supports gold and silver; Oil jumps over 3% on weaker USD and fears of future US military action in Iran. NZ annual CPI inflation of 3.1% at top of market estimates

Global equity markets extend gains after Trump's Greenland TACO even though details of the "deal" remain sketchy. UST 2-year rate up to top of its range; 10-year rate remains range-bound

Global equity markets extend gains after Trump's Greenland TACO even though details of the "deal" remain sketchy. UST 2-year rate up to top of its range; 10-year rate remains range-bound

US and European equities recover after Trump dials down aggression at Davos, ruling out military force to acquire Greenland. US Treasury yields range-bound; some order restored to Japan’s bond market after the recent meltdown

US and European equities recover after Trump dials down aggression at Davos, ruling out military force to acquire Greenland. US Treasury yields range-bound; some order restored to Japan’s bond market after the recent meltdown

Weaker risk sentiment on US-EU political tensions; global equities extend losses; US equities down sharply. No safe-haven bid for bonds; Meltdown in Japan's JGB market spills over into other markets. UST yields push higher

Weaker risk sentiment on US-EU political tensions; global equities extend losses; US equities down sharply. No safe-haven bid for bonds; Meltdown in Japan's JGB market spills over into other markets. UST yields push higher

Market reaction modest, so far, to Trump's weekend threats. USD broadly weaker although JPY also weak as new election in Japan confirmed. Equities retreat

Market reaction modest, so far, to Trump's weekend threats. USD broadly weaker although JPY also weak as new election in Japan confirmed. Equities retreat

US equities are notably weaker, dragged down by the tech sector. Softer UK CPI data locks in BoE rate cut tonight. NZ Q3 GDP data today expected to show bounce back after Q2 contraction

US equities are notably weaker, dragged down by the tech sector. Softer UK CPI data locks in BoE rate cut tonight. NZ Q3 GDP data today expected to show bounce back after Q2 contraction