New Zealand posted a smaller-than-expected surplus in April, reflecting a drop in the value of exports of milk powder, butter and cheese.
The trade surplus was $355 million last month, according to Statistics New Zealand. Economists had expected a surplus of $500 million, according a Reuters survey. For the 12 months ended April, there was a trade deficit of $541 million.
In April 2011, the trade surplus was $1.157 billion.
A decline in the value of dairy exports comes as Fonterra Cooperative Group, the world's biggest exporter, cut its forecast 2012 milk price and flagged lower payments in 2013.
Prices in Fonterra's GlobalDairyTrade auction have dropped 41 percent during the past 12 months, reflecting a slide in commodity prices as traders factor in weaker demand from China and European uncertainty, which has helped drive up the US dollar.
"Most commodities for exports fell this month, with primary products driving the decrease, although it should be noted that April 2011 had the highest exports value for any month on record so far,” Neil Kelly, industry and labour statistics manager, said in a statement.
Exports decreased to $3.89 billion in April from $4.21 billion in March, falling 17 percent from April 2011's record high of $4.69 billion. Imports were $3.53 billion, down from $4.02 billion last month and little changed from a year earlier.
Exports of milk powder, butter and cheese fell by 25 percent last month, with the leading contributors' being unsweetened milk powder and anhydrous milk fat.
Meat and edible offal fell 26 percent, led by frozen cuts of lamb, while crude oil was down 51 percent. Casein and caseinates recorded the largest offsetting increase, up 36 percent.
Exports to Australia, the nation's biggest export partner, once again showed a decline, falling 13 percent, led by crude oil. New Zealand's second biggest export market China, also recorded a decrease, of 11 percent. Exports to Japan fell 20 percent on a variety of commodities, including logs, wood and wood articles.
Exports rose to Malaysia, the US and Libya.
A 21 percent gain in capital goods helped monthly imports edge up slightly from a year earlier.
(BusinessDesk)
Trade balance, monthly
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5 Comments
For the 12 months ended April, there was a trade deficit of $541 million.
In April 2011, the trade surplus was $1.157 billion.
No wonder Key keeps babbling on about cutting the internal government deficit because the current A/C deficit will hardly go away as the trade shortfall needs financing - using covered bonds no doubt. When will this man take decisive action?
A decline in the value of dairy exports comes as Fonterra Cooperative Group, the world's biggest exporter, cut its forecast 2012 milk price and flagged lower payments in 2013.
But, but, but.... Treasury in their PREFU forecast said dairy export value would be up 8% (over the 12 months ending June 2011) in the 12 months ending June 2012.
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