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A new kind of multilateral platform could improve cross-border payments, leveraging technological innovations for public policy objectives, the IMF says

Banking / opinion
A new kind of multilateral platform could improve cross-border payments, leveraging technological innovations for public policy objectives, the IMF says
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By Tobias Adrian and Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli

Crypto assets have been more of a disappointment than a revolution for many users, and global bodies like the IMF and the Financial Stability Board urge tighter regulation.

Some of the rapidly evolving technology behind crypto, however, may ultimately hold greater promise. The private sector keeps innovating and customizing financial services.

But the public sector too should leverage technology to upgrade its payment infrastructure and ensure interoperability, safety, and efficiency in digital finance, as we noted in a recent working paper: A Multi-Currency Exchange and Contracting Platform. Others too are advancing similar views.

Technology has jumped ahead

New payment technologies include tokenization, encryption, and programmability:

  • Tokenization means representing property rights to an asset, such as money, on an electronic ledgera database held by all market participants, optimized to be widely accessible, synchronized, easily updatable, and tamper-proof. Anonymity of token balances and transactions is not required (and in fact undermines financial integrity).
     
  • Encryption helps decouple compliance checks from transactions so only authorized parties access sensitive information. This facilitates transparency while promoting trust.
     
  • Programmability allows financial contracts to be more easily written and automatically executed, such as with “smart contracts,” without relying on a trusted third party.

Private-sector innovation

With these new tools in hand, the private sector is innovating in ways that may be more transformative than the initial wave of crypto assets: tokenization of financial assets, tokenization of money, and automation.

The tokenization of stocks, bonds, and other assets may cut trading costs, integrate markets, and enlarge access. But paying for such assets will require money on a compatible ledger. One example is stablecoins, are one example to the extent they comply with regulation. More importantly, banks are testing tokenized checking accounts. And automation is widespread, allowing third parties to program functionality much as developers build smartphone apps.

While the private sector pushes the boundaries of innovation and customization, it will not ensure that transactions are safe, efficient, and interoperable, even if well regulated. Rather, the private sector is likely to create client-only networks for trading assets and making payments. Open ledgers may emerge in an attempt to bridge private networks, but are likely to lack standardization and sufficient investment given limited profit potential. And using private forms of money to settle transactions would put counterparties at risk.

Central bank role

Central bank digital currencies can help because of their dual nature as both a monetary instrument—a store of value and means of payment—but also as infrastructure essential to clear and settle transactions. Policy discussions have mostly focused on the first aspect, but we believe the second should receive just as much attention.

As a monetary instrument, CBDC provides safety; it alleviates counterparty risks and provides liquidity in payments. But as infrastructure, CBDC could bring interoperability and efficiency among private networks for digital money and even assets.

Payments could be made from one private money to another, through the CBDC ledger or platform. Money could be escrowed on the CBDC platform, then released when certain conditions are met, such as when a tokenized asset is received. And the CBDC platform could offer a basic programming language to ensure smart contracts are trusted and compatible with one another. That too will become a public good in tomorrow’s digital world.

Cross-border payments

The same vision applies to cross-border payments, although governance gets more complicated (an important topic we leave for another time).

A public platform could allow banks and other regulated financial institutions to trade digital representations of domestic central bank reserves across borders, as suggested in our working paper.

Participants could trade safe central bank reserves without being formally regulated by each central bank, nor requiring major changes to national payment systems.

Again, transactions require more than the movement of funds. Risk-sharing, currency exchange, liquidity management—all are part of the package.

Thanks to the single ledger and programmability, currencies could be exchanged simultaneously, so one party does not bear the risk of the other walking away. More generally, risk-sharing contracts can be written, auctions can support thinly traded currency markets, and limits on capital flows (which exist in many countries) can be automated.

Importantly, the platform would minimize risks inherent in such contracts. It would ensure that contracts be fully backed with escrowed money, automatically executed to avoid failed trades, and consistent with one another. For instance, a contract to receive a payment tomorrow could be pledged as collateral today, lowering costs of idle funds.

Beyond the transfer of value, encryption can help manage the transfer of information. For instance, the platform could check that participants comply with anti-money laundering requirements, but allow them to bid anonymously on the platform for, say, foreign exchange, while still seeing the aggregate balance between bids and asks.

Technology can thus support key public policy objectives:

  • Interoperability among national currencies;
     
  • Safety thanks to escrowed central bank reserves, settlement finality, and automatic contract execution;
     
  • Efficiency from low transaction costs, open participation, contract consistency, and transparency.

Much remains to be explored, and this vision is still taking shape. Crypto was fueled by an attempt to circumvent intermediaries and public oversight. Ironically, its real value may come from the technology that the public sector can leverage to upgrade payments and financial infrastructure for the public good—to inject interoperability, safety, and efficiency into private sector innovation and customization.

—This article is based on joint research work with Federico GrinbergRobert M. Townsend, and Nicolas Zhang.


Tobias Adrian is the Director of the IMF's Monetary and Capital Markets Department. Tommaso Mancini-Griffoli is Division Chief in the Monetary and Capital Markets Department. This is a re-post of an article that ran on the IMF blog.

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13 Comments

TLDR: the big boys want in on it, but they want to be the ground floor, rather than the early adopters.

They'll probably win, because they'll hand some out for free and then jack up the price.

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They may win, and they may subsequently make a total mess of it too.

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Why not both?

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That's what I'm saying, so far some cryptos have failed or been used as scams. But most people accept the risk they may being buying into a S#!& Coin.

When a CB implements its own CBDC and is successful in adoption many people will have blind trust in that currency.

What happens when the CB uses that currency for the purposes of monetary policy, you'll get volatility and distrust.

How that will affect non-CDBC cryptos and fiats I have no idea, but with there's always someone benefitting from someone else's loss. 

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CBDC and store of value in one sentence, I'll believe it when I see it but certainly not willing to be the canary in the coal mine on that one.

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Bitcoin is really cool and we're secretly jealous of everything it can do, so we're gonna make our own one.

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Yes, and we'll tell people it's just as secure even though it won't be decentralized. Once they're hooked we'll surprise them with the unlimited supply we can create in an instant.

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Bitcoin is great with a market cap of 21 million of them.  Less the 4 million already lost.  How long before we lose another 4 million?  

The early adopters might be savvy in loss prevention, but let the common person use it?  "Damn I had to buy a new cold wallet, I forgot my seed phrase.  Oh well, was only 100 Satoshis" multiplied over however many people lose their EFTPOS card or forget their internet banking password each year.  

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1 bitcoin = 100,000,000 satoshis. Each of those being 1x tradable unit of account. Meaning a total of 2,100,000,000,000,000 (quadrillion) satoshis are available. 

If your assumption is 4 million are lost, that still gives you more than 200,000 satoshis per person at todays population.

 

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20% of the total number of Bitcoin, Satoshis, whatever you want to call them have been lost forever.  Say we lose another 4 million Bitcoin, then there's 150k Satoshis per person.  Population grows to 10b, now it's 105k Satoshis per person.  Does everyone give up on average 45k Satoshis per person to keep trade going?   

Do we stop at Satoshis?  Or do we just keep dividing down therefore having a limitless number of tradeable units?  Sounds like a recipe for deflation.  

 

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Nzdan, you're making it sound like a currency experiment made up essentially for shits and giggles is somehow less than perfect.

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Oh, my bad.  I thought Bitcoin was the future and was going to replace FIAT once Governments click on to how useful it is.  

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Don't click on that link Government!!!!

Even with free NFTs - remember them???? hahaha

 

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